MLB Power Ranking: Dodgers are Clearcut #1 With Mookie Betts… Yankees #2 With Cole

1LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Projected Record: 109-53

Even with the juice, the Dodgers are a good betting value. Their 30.6% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. The Dodgers are averaging 108.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 98.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the NL. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 99.6 wins. Their 106-56 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the money line (+355).

When the perception of a team is very different than how good or bad they really are there is often very good betting value. Sportsline.com is the best place to find value each day based on objective computer simulations.

2NEW YORK YANKEES
Projected Record: 99-63

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 16.3% chance is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 3/1, 25%. The Yankees are averaging 98.9 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 101.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AL. They went 103-59 last season. They were very good against the spread going 94-68 for (+1643 profit).

3HOUSTON ASTROS
Projected Record: 102-60

They win the championship in 14.9% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. The Astros are averaging 101.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 94.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL. They went 107-55 last season. They were not good against the spread going 89-73 (-226 loss).

4MINNESOTA TWINS
Projected Record: 95-67

They win the championship in 6.1% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Twins are averaging 94.9 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 90.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AL. Their 101-61 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 90.4-71.6. They were very good against the money line (+1407).

5CHICAGO CUBS
Projected Record: 90-72

They win the championship in 5.3% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Cubs are averaging 89.8 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 84.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the NL. They went 84-78 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1148 loss).

6TAMPA BAY RAYS
Projected Record: 94-68

They are a good bet to win the championship (4.9 percent chance). Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Rays are averaging 94.4 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 89.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the AL. They went 96-66 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-1041 loss).

7ATLANTA BRAVES
Projected Record: 86-76

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 3.3% chance is #7 in the league. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. The Braves are averaging 86.2 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 90.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NL. They went 97-65 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-490 loss).

8MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Projected Record: 85-77

Even with the juice, the Brewers are a good betting value. Their 2.8% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #8 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Brewers are averaging 85.3 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 82.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the NL. They were expected to win 53% of their games last season so their 89-74 met expectations. Against the money line they turned a +34 profit. They broke even against the money line.

9OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Projected Record: 90-72

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 2.7% chance is #9 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Athletics are averaging 90.3 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 88.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the AL. Their 97-65 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 53%. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +1524.

10WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Projected Record: 85-77

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 2.7% chance is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. The Nationals are averaging 85.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 90.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the NL. They went 94-69 last season. They were very good against the spread going 92-71 for (+736 profit).

11ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Projected Record: 86-76

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 2.6% chance is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 14/1, 6.7%. The Cardinals are averaging 85.9 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 88.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the NL. They went 91-71 last season. They were very good against the spread going 88-74 for (+312 profit).

12ARIZONA D-BACKS
Projected Record: 86-76

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the D-Backs would be a good betting value. Their 2.1% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #12 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The D-Backs are averaging 85.5 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 83.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NL. They went 85-77 last season. They were very good against the spread going 89-73 for (+258 profit).

13CLEVELAND INDIANS
Projected Record: 90-72

Their 1.8% chance is #13 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Indians are averaging 90 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 84.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the AL. They were expected to win 58% of their games last season so their 93-69 met expectations. Money Line bettors lost -682 on them.

14NEW YORK METS
Projected Record: 84-78

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 1.7% chance is #14 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. The Mets are averaging 84.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 86.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the NL. They went 86-76 last season. They were not good against the spread going 82-80 (-512 loss).

15BOSTON RED SOX
Projected Record: 90-72

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 1.3% chance is #15 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Red Sox are averaging 90.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 87.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the AL. They went 84-78 last season. They were not good against the spread going 68-94 (-4111 loss).

16LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Projected Record: 82-80

Their 0.3% chance is #16 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Angels are averaging 81.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 84.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the AL. They went 72-90 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-837 loss).

17PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Projected Record: 77-85

Their 0.3% chance is #17 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 18/1, 5.3%. The Phillies are averaging 76.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 85.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the NL. They went 81-81 last season. They were not good against the spread going 78-84 (-1222 loss).

18CINCINNATI REDS
Projected Record: 76-86

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.2% chance is #18 in the league. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Reds are averaging 75.6 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 83.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the NL. They were expected to win 49% of their games last season so their 75-87 met expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1364 units.

19CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Projected Record: 77-85

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The White Sox are averaging 77.2 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 83.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the AL. They went 72-89 last season. They were not good against the spread going 80-81 (-236 loss).

20SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Projected Record: 75-87

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. The Giants are averaging 74.9 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 68.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the NL. They went 77-85 last season. They were not good against the spread going 80-82 (-1664 loss).

21COLORADO ROCKIES
Projected Record: 75-87

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Rockies are averaging 75.1 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 74.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NL. They went 71-91 last season. They were not good against the spread going 73-89 (-2542 loss).

22SEATTLE MARINERS
Projected Record: 76-86

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 500/1, 0.2%. The Mariners are averaging 75.5 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 68.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the AL. They went 68-94 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-1511 loss).

23SAN DIEGO PADRES
Projected Record: 73-89

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Padres are averaging 72.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 82.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the NL. They went 70-92 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2051 loss).

24PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Projected Record: 67-95

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. The Pirates are averaging 66.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 72.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL. They went 69-93 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2736 loss).

25TEXAS RANGERS
Projected Record: 70-92

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Rangers are averaging 70.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 79.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the AL. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 72 wins. Their 78-84 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the money line (+466).

26MIAMI MARLINS
Projected Record: 65-97

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Marlins are averaging 64.9 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 62.5 games. In simulations they finish last in the NL based on projected wins. They went 57-105 last season. They were not good against the spread going 83-79 (-787 loss).

27KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Projected Record: 69-93

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 500/1, 0.2%. The Royals are averaging 69 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 64.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AL. They went 59-103 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1890 loss).

28TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Projected Record: 68-94

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Blue Jays are averaging 67.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 75.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the AL. They went 67-95 last season. They were not good against the spread going 80-82 (-236 loss).

29BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Projected Record: 59-103

They do not win the World Series in any simulations. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Orioles are averaging 58.8 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 56.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the AL. They went 54-108 last season. They were not good against the spread going 71-91 (-2138 loss).

30DETROIT TIGERS
Projected Record: 52-110

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Tigers are averaging 51.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 56.5 wins. In simulations they finish last in the AL based on projected wins. They went 47-114 last season. They were not good against the spread going 65-96 (-3266 loss).