There is little movement in Scout's Latest MLB Power Rankings. The Astros take the top spot, and the Dodgers are close behind at #2. The Red Sox have fallen out of the top-10, and their chances of making the postseason continue to decrease.
1. Houston Astros (77-41; Last 10: 8-2; Championship Odds: 2/1)
Projected Record: 108-54
The Astros have been rolling. They are 8-1 in the month of July and are the healthiest that they have been all season. They are the favorites in the AL, and they are loaded with both pitching and hitting. Computer simulations give them a 44.6% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 5/8. They have a 28.1 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 2/1).
2. L.A. Dodgers (79-41; Last 10: 8-2; Championship Odds: 5/2)
Projected Record: 106-56
The Dodgers are tied with the Yankees for the best record in baseball. They surprised many by mostly staying pat at the trade deadline, but they didn't have many issues to fix. Top pitching prospect Dustin May looks like he could be the missing piece that the Dodgers needed for a championship run. The rotation of Kershaw, Buehler, Ryu, Maeda, and May rivals the Astros for the best in baseball, and OF Cody Bellinger has been one of the best players in baseball this season. Their current odds of winning the NL are 5/9 and in simulations they win the conference 46.2% of the time. They have a 27.4% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 5/2.
3. New York Yankees (79-41; Last 10: 8-2; Championship Odds: 6/1)
Projected Record: 103-59
The Yankees didn't add anyone at the deadline, but that hasn't stopped them from winning games. The Yankees have a 9.0 game lead over the Rays in the AL East and are 16.0 games up over the rival Red Sox. Pitching and injuries are still concerns heading into the postseason. They have a 24.4 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 11/4). The odds of them winning the World Series are 6/1 and they win it all in 11.3 percent of our latest simulations.
4. Cleveland Indians (72-47; Last 10: 8-2; Championship Odds: 16/1)
Projected Record: 99-63
The Indians have taken over the lead from the Twins in the AL Central and are playing their best baseball as of late. Corey Kluber is in the midst of a rehab assignment and could provide a big boost for the Indians down the stretch after they traded Trevor Bauer to the Reds. Jose Ramirez has heated up after struggling for a majority of the first half of the season, and Franmil Reyes and Yasiel Puig were key acquisitions that should boost their lineup. Computer simulations give them a 13.8% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 7/1. They have a 6 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 16/1). Their chances are up significantly from 2.3% on 7/14.
5. Minnesota Twins (71-47; Last 10: 5-5; Championship Odds: 18/1)
Projected Record: 98-64
The Twins are still in solid position to make the playoffs but have lost 5 of 6 games during a crucial point in the season. The Twins are a bit dinged up, but it looks like Michael Pineda and Nelson Cruz shouldn't be out for too much longer. Computer simulations give them a 10.8% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 9/1. They have a 4.3 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 18/1).
6. Atlanta Braves (70-50; Last 10: 5-5; Championship Odds: 10/1)
Projected Record: 92-70
The Braves' play has been a bit uneven lately and are 6-5 so far in the month of August. The Braves made several moves at the trade deadline, landing relief pitchers Shane Greene, Mark Melancon, and Chris Martin, but all three acquisitions have had some rough outings for the Braves. The Braves are going to need more consistent pitching from their starters and relievers if they are going to make a deep postseason run. Their current odds of winning the NL are 9/2 and in simulations they win the conference 12.9% of the time. They have a 5.2% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 10/1.
7. Chicago Cubs (64-54; Last 10: 7-3; Championship Odds: 10/1)
Projected Record: 89-73
The Cubs could finally be separating themselves from the rest of the NL Central. They are up 2.0 games over the Cards and 2.5 games over the Brewers. Nick Castellanos has been a nice addition and has 10 XBH in 11 games since being traded to the Cubs. The Cubs' pitching has been inconsistent, and it doesn't help that RPs Brandon Kintzler and Craig Kimbrel are on the IL. They have a 19.3 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 7/1). They have a 7.4 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 10/1).
8. Oakland Athletics (67-51; Last 10: 6-4 Championship Odds: 40/1)
Projected Record: 94-68
The A's are just 2.0 games out of a Wild Card spot but upcoming series against the Astros and Yankees could end up deciding the fate of their season. They have continued to win games the past two seasons despite an underwhelming lineup. Computer simulations give them a 2.2% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 20/1. They have a 1% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 40/1.
9. Tampa Bay Rays (70-50; Last 10: 8-2; Championship Odds: 25/1)
Projected Record: 95-67
The Rays have won 8 of their 10 games in August and look to be in good position to make the Wild Card. Trade deadline acquisitions Eric Sogard and Jesus Aguilar have provided a boost to the lineup. If the Rays can get Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, and Brandon Lowe back before the postseason, they can be dangerous in the postseason.They have a 4.1 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 12/1). The odds of them winning the World Series are 25/1 and they win it all in 1.6 percent of our latest simulations.
10.Washington Nationals (63-55; Last 10: 6-4; Championship Odds: 40/1)
Projected Record: 89-73
The Nationals blew a couple of late leads against the Mets that they would love to have back. They could've closed the gap in the NL East to 4.0 games but instead are 6.0 games back. The Nationals should get a boost if/when Max Scherzer returns. Their current odds of winning the NL are 20/1 and in simulations they win the conference 9.2% of the time. The odds of them winning the World Series are 40/1 and they win it all in 3.3 percent of our latest simulations.