MLB Power Rankings: Yankees Advance But Still Behind Astros

1HOUSTON ASTROS (107-55, 66%): Winning 67% of Neutral Field Simulations
Percent Chance of Winning World Series: 28.4%

All of the pressure is on the Astros but they are favored by 70% based on the odds in Game 5. They are 64 percent+ favorites in a matchup vs the Yankees. They win the championship in 28.4% of simulations. Their odds heading into the playoffs were 7/5, 41.7%. They finished the regular season with the best record in the AL. After 162 games, their expected win percentage is 64% based on the money line odds. At 107-55 they ahead of expectations. Based on this season's game odds they 'should have had' 104 wins. Their 107-55 record this season was ahead of what was expected of them. Money Line bettors lost -246 on them.

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2LOS ANGELES DODGERS (106-56, 65.4%): Winning 66% of Neutral Field Simulations
Percent Chance of Winning World Series: 28%

Walker Buehler and the Dodgers are favored in Game 5 simulations winning over 60 percent of the time. Their current chance to win the World Series are 28%. Their odds heading into the playoffs were 5/2, 28.6%. They finished the regular season with the best record in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 99.6-62.4. They are ahead of expectations with their 106-56 record. They overachieved this season. Their game odds projected to 99.6 wins. Their 106-56 record this season was way ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the money line (+355).

3NEW YORK YANKEES (103-59, 63.6%): Winning 62% of Neutral Field Simulations
Percent Chance of Winning World Series: 23.7%

Fans want to see the Astros and Yankees in the ALCS. The Yankees fans probably prefer to face Tampa Bay. New York has a 68 percent chance to beat the Rays but around a 35 percent chance to beat the Astros. Their current chance to win the World Series are 23.7%. Their odds heading into the playoffs were 3/1, 25%. Their regular season win total had them at #2 in the AL. After 162 games, their expected win percentage is 59% based on the money line odds. At 103-59 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 59% of their games this season so their 103-59 met expectations. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +872.

4ATLANTA BRAVES (97-65, 59.9%): Winning 59% of Neutral Field Simulations
Percent Chance of Winning World Series: 7.8%

Their current chance to win the World Series are 7.8%. Their odds heading into the playoffs were 9/1, 10%. Their regular season win total had them at #2 in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 87.9-74.1. They are ahead of expectations with their 97-65 record. Based on this season's game odds they 'should have had' 87.9 wins. Their 97-65 record this season was ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the money line (+1106).

5WASHINGTON NATIONALS (93-69, 57.4%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Percent Chance of Winning World Series: 5.5%

The Nationals forced a Game 5. But the Dodgers are the clear favorite in the game. They win the championship in 5.5% of simulations. Their odds heading into the playoffs were 16/1, 5.9%. Their regular season win total had them at #3 in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 90-72. At 93-69 they are in line with these expectations. Their 93-69 record this season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 90-72. They broke even against the money line. They were down slightly (-2) against the money line.

6ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (91-71, 56.2%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Percent Chance of Winning World Series: 3.4%

They win the championship in 3.4% of simulations. Their odds heading into the playoffs were 20/1, 4.8%. Their regular season win total had them at #4 in the NL. After 162 games, their expected win percentage is 53% based on the money line odds. At 91-71 they ahead of expectations. Their 91-71 record this season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 85.7-76.3. They were very good against the money line (+664).

7TAMPA BAY RAYS (96-66, 59.3%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Percent Chance of Winning World Series: 3.3%

The Rays impressively extended their series vs Houston to 5 games. They still have roughly a 30 percent chance of winning. But that was the case in Game 4 as well. Their current chance to win the World Series are 3.3%. Their odds heading into the playoffs were 100/1, 1%. Their regular season win total had them at #5 in the AL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 94-68. At 96-66 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 58% of their games this season so their 96-66 met expectations. They broke even against the money line. They were down slightly (-17) against the money line.

8MINNESOTA TWINS (101-61, 62.3%): Winning 59% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 84 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #3 in the AL. The Twins have won their division and are in the playoffs. They were a +210 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 101-61 record this season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 90.4-71.6. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +1407. They were very good against the spread going 90-72 for (+322 profit). They went over 81 times and came in under 75 times.

9OAKLAND ATHLETICS (96-65, 59.6%): Winning 58% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 81.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #4 in the AL. Even without winning the division they are making the playoffs. They were a +240 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 161 games, their expected win percentage is 53% based on the money line odds. At 96-65 they ahead of expectations. Their 96-65 record this season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 53%. They were very good against the money line (+1524).

10MILWAUKEE BREWERS (89-73, 54.9%): Winning 55% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 86.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #5 in the NL. Even without winning the division they are making the playoffs. They were a +150 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 53% of their games this season so their 89-73 met expectations. Taking them on the money line in every game turned a +134 profit. They were not good against the spread going 78-84 (-1233 loss). More of their games came in under (87) than went over (69).

11CLEVELAND INDIANS (93-69, 57.4%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 91 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #6 in the AL. They were a -750 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 58% of their games this season so their 93-69 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -682 units. They were solid against the spread going 86-76 for (+134 profit). More of their games came in under (88) than went over (72).

12NEW YORK METS (86-76, 53.1%): Winning 54% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 85.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #6 in the NL. They were a +170 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Oddsmakers expected them to win 86.9 based on their money line game odds. Their 86-76 record this season failed to meet expectations. Money Line bettors lost -557 on them. They went 82-80 against the spread (-72 loss). They went over 80 times and came in under 71 times.

13ARIZONA D-BACKS (85-77, 52.5%): Winning 52% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 75.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #7 in the NL. They were a +600 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 49% of their games this season so their 85-77 met expectations. They were very good against the money line (+688). They were very good against the spread going 89-73 for (+658 profit). They went over 75 times and came in under 77 times.

14BOSTON RED SOX (84-78, 51.9%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 93.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #7 in the AL. They were a -600 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 84-78 record this season was very disappointing. Their expected win percentage was 58%. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-2319) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good against the spread going 68-94 (-3581 loss). They went over 91 times and came in under 67 times.

15CHICAGO CUBS (84-78, 51.9%): Winning 54% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 87.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #8 in the NL. They were a -110 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 84-78 record this season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 88.2-73.8. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1337 units. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-748 loss). They went over 76 times and came in under 78 times.

16PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (81-81, 50%): Winning 51% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 89 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #9 in the NL. They were a +100 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 51% of their games this season so their 81-81 met expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -921 units. They were not good against the spread going 78-84 (-752 loss). They went over 74 times and came in under 81 times.

17TEXAS RANGERS (78-84, 48.1%): Winning 48% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 71 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #8 in the AL. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on this season's game odds they 'should have had' 72 wins. Their 78-84 record this season was ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the money line (+466). They were very good against the spread going 85-77 for (+328 profit). More of their games came in under (84) than went over (74).

18SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (77-85, 47.5%): Winning 47% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Over 73.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #10 in the NL. They were a +900 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 77-85 record this season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 45%. They were very good against the money line (+707). They were not good against the spread going 80-82 (-1144 loss). They went over 79 times and came in under 75 times.

19CINCINNATI REDS (75-87, 46.3%): Winning 46% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 79 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #11 in the NL. They were a +425 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 49% of their games this season so their 75-87 met expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1364 units. They went 83-79 against the spread (-200 loss). More of their games came in under (92) than went over (60).

20CHICAGO WHITE SOX (72-89, 44.7%): Winning 44% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 73.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #9 in the AL. They were a +800 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 42% of their games this season so their 72-89 met expectations. They were very good against the money line (+677). They were very good against the spread going 80-81 for (+224 profit). They went over 76 times and came in under 80 times.

21LOS ANGELES ANGELS (72-90, 44.4%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 82 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #10 in the AL. They were a +300 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 72-90 record this season was very disappointing. Their expected win percentage was 48%. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1625 units. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-397 loss). They went over 78 times and came in under 75 times.

22COLORADO ROCKIES (71-91, 43.8%): Winning 45% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 85.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #12 in the NL. They were a +190 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Oddsmakers expected them to win 74 based on their money line game odds. Their 71-91 record this season failed to meet expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1395 units. They were not good against the spread going 73-89 (-2052 loss). They went over 78 times and came in under 77 times.

23SAN DIEGO PADRES (70-92, 43.2%): Winning 45% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 78.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #13 in the NL. They were a +500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 70-92 record this season was very disappointing. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 78.9-83.1. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-2315) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1581 loss). They went over 74 times and came in under 78 times.

24PITTSBURGH PIRATES (69-93, 42.6%): Winning 44% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 78.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #14 in the NL. They were a +500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 69-93 record this season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 44%. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1346) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2236 loss). They went over 92 times and came in under 63 times.

25SEATTLE MARINERS (68-94, 42%): Winning 42% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 73.5 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #11 in the AL. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their 68-94 record this season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 44%. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1783) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-1071 loss). They went over 85 times and came in under 66 times.

26TORONTO BLUE JAYS (67-95, 41.4%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 74 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #12 in the AL. They were a +1000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 43% of their games this season so their 67-95 met expectations. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1262) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were very good against the spread going 80-82 for (+204 profit). They went over 75 times and came in under 79 times.

27KANSAS CITY ROYALS (59-103, 36.4%): Winning 38% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 69 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #13 in the AL. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 41% of their games this season so their 59-103 met expectations. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-2489) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1450 loss). They went over 82 times and came in under 75 times.

28MIAMI MARLINS (57-105, 35.2%): Winning 34% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 63.5 Games

They finished the regular season with the worst record in the NL. They were a +4000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. They were expected to win 38% of their games this season so their 57-105 met expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1681 units. They were not good against the spread going 83-79 (-357 loss). They went over 78 times and came in under 73 times.

29BALTIMORE ORIOLES (54-108, 33.3%): Winning 35% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 59 Games

Their regular season win total had them at #14 in the AL. They were a +4000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Oddsmakers had low expectations for them this season (expected win percentage = 37%) and they failed to live up to even these low expectations going 54-108. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1942) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good against the spread going 71-91 (-1618 loss). They went over 81 times and came in under 70 times.

30DETROIT TIGERS (47-113, 29.4%): Winning 29% of Neutral Field Simulations
Season Futures Result: Won Under 68 Games

They finished the regular season with the worst record in the AL. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Oddsmakers expected them to win 63.1 based on their money line game odds. Their 47-113 record this season was very disappointing. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -4376 units. They were not good against the spread going 65-96 (-2696 loss). More of their games came in under (80) than went over (69).