SUMMARY: 2 Major Upsets, No Slight Upsets, 5 Easy Expected Wins
Monday, September 09, 2019 was good for chalk bettors who played favorites. The -190 favored Astros were given a 64% chance of winning when you adjust the money line to remove the juice. But their 15 to 0 victory was much larger than expected. The Chicago Cubs also scored an easy 10 to 2 win over the San Diego Padres. They were -151 on the moneyline. There were multiple underdogs that won games. The Atlanta Braves were +125 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Philadelphia Phillies by 5 runs.
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| GAME | VEGAS EXPECTATION | PROJECTION | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves vs Phillies | PHI 4.7, ATL 4.3 | PHI 5.0, ATL 4.2 | ATL 7, PHI 2 Major Upset |
| Yankees vs Red Sox | NYY 4.8, BOS 4.7 | BOS 5.4, NYY 5.2 | NYY 5, BOS 0 Easy Expected win |
| Brewers vs Marlins | MIL 5.1, MIA 3.9 | MIL 5.9, MIA 3.8 | MIL 8, MIA 3 Easy Expected win |
| D-Backs vs Mets | NYM 4.4, ARI 3.1 | NYM 4.7, ARI 4.0 | NYM 3, ARI 1 Expected Win |
| Athletics vs Astros | HOU 5.2, OAK 4.3 | HOU 5.4, OAK 5.5 | HOU 15, OAK 0 Easy Expected win |
| Pirates vs Giants | SF 4.1, PIT 3.4 | SF 3.5, PIT 3.2 | PIT 6, SF 4 Major Upset |
| Indians vs Angels | CLE 4.7, LAA 3.8 | CLE 5.6, LAA 4.3 | CLE 6, LAA 2 Easy Expected win |
| Cubs vs Padres | CHC 4.5, SD 4.0 | CHC 4.6, SD 3.5 | CHC 10, SD 2 Easy Expected win |