MLB Recap from Saturday, September 21, 2019: Filled With Surprising Upset Winners

SUMMARY: 4 Major Upsets, 2 Slight Upsets, 5 Easy Expected Wins

Saturday, September 21, 2019, was notable for the upset wins. The biggest upset of the night was the Kansas City Royals beating the Minnesota Twins 12-5 despite being +291 underdogs. The computer simulation did not pick the Royals to win but it did peg them as being the better value on the money line. The Los Angeles Angels versus the Houston Astros was also an upset. Los Angeles won the game 8-4 and Vegas odds gave them a 27% chance of winning. There were multiple favorites, or even money teams, that won games by large margins. The Milwaukee Brewers were -264 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Pittsburgh Pirates by 9 runs.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Blue Jays vs YankeesNYY 5.7, TOR 3.8NYY 5.9, TOR 4.3NYY 7, TOR 2 Easy Expected win
Cardinals vs CubsCHC 6.2, STL 5.8CHC 4.4, STL 4.7STL 9, CHC 8 Slight Upset
Mets vs RedsNYM 5.0, CIN 4.5NYM 5.2, CIN 4.0CIN 3, NYM 2 Slight Upset
White Sox vs TigersCHW 5.0, DET 4.5CHW 5.3, DET 3.7CHW 5, DET 3 Expected Win
Nationals vs MarlinsWAS 4.9, MIA 3.1WAS 5.9, MIA 3.6WAS 10, MIA 4 Easy Expected win
Red Sox vs RaysTB 4.8, BOS 3.8TB 4.6, BOS 4.4TB 5, BOS 4 Expected Win
Mariners vs OriolesSEA 5.3, BAL 5.2SEA 5.4, BAL 4.4SEA 7, BAL 6 Expected Win
Phillies vs IndiansCLE 5.6, PHI 4.9CLE 4.6, PHI 4.4PHI 9, CLE 4 Major Upset
Angels vs AstrosHOU 5.6, LAA 3.9HOU 5.6, LAA 3.5LAA 8, HOU 4 Major Upset
Pirates vs BrewersMIL 5.4, PIT 4.0MIL 6.2, PIT 3.5MIL 10, PIT 1 Easy Expected win
Royals vs TwinsMIN 6.2, KC 4.3MIN 5.8, KC 4.1KC 12, MIN 5 Major Upset
Giants vs BravesATL 4.3, SF 3.7ATL 4.7, SF 4.0ATL 8, SF 1 Easy Expected win
D-Backs vs PadresARI 4.2, SD 3.8ARI 5.1, SD 3.7ARI 4, SD 2 Expected Win
Rangers vs AthleticsOAK 5.4, TEX 3.6OAK 5.5, TEX 3.9OAK 12, TEX 3 Easy Expected win
Rockies vs DodgersLAD 5.3, COL 3.2LAD 4.9, COL 3.8COL 4, LAD 2 Major Upset