MLB Recap from Sunday, April 14, 2019: A Decent Night for Chalk Bettors

SUMMARY: 2 Major Upsets, 3 Slight Upsets, 6 Easy Expected Wins

It was a night highlighted by favorites winning. The -150 favored Dodgers were given a 57% chance of winning when you adjust the money line to remove the juice. But their 7 to 1 victory was much larger than expected. SportsLine's computer was correct on this game when it made the Dodgers a good betting value with a 62% chance of winning. The Colorado Rockies also scored an easy 4 to 0 win over the San Francisco Giants. They were -116 on the moneyline. There were multiple underdogs that won games. The Atlanta Braves were +140 on the moneyline and ended up beating the New York Mets by 4 runs.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Orioles vs Red SoxBOS 5.5, BAL 4.0BOS 6.7, BAL 3.7BOS 4, BAL 0 Easy Expected win
White Sox vs YankeesNYY 5.0, CHW 4.0NYY 5.3, CHW 4.0CHW 5, NYY 2 Major Upset
Rays vs Blue JaysTB 4.2, TOR 3.8TB 4.9, TOR 3.7TB 8, TOR 4 Easy Expected win
Phillies vs MarlinsPHI 4.5, MIA 4.0PHI 5.1, MIA 4.1PHI 3, MIA 1 Expected Win
Pirates vs NationalsWAS 4.1, PIT 3.4WAS 4.8, PIT 3.6PIT 4, WAS 3 Slight Upset
Tigers vs TwinsMIN 4.4, DET 3.1MIN 5.3, DET 3.7MIN 6, DET 4 Expected Win
Indians vs RoyalsCLE 3.9, KC 3.6CLE 4.7, KC 3.9KC 9, CLE 8 Slight Upset
Athletics vs RangersOAK 5.3, TEX 4.7OAK 6.5, TEX 4.8TEX 8, OAK 7 Slight Upset
Rockies vs GiantsCOL 3.6, SF 3.4SF 3.9, COL 4.1COL 4, SF 0 Easy Expected win
Padres vs D-BacksARI 4.2, SD 3.8ARI 4.7, SD 3.7ARI 8, SD 4 Easy Expected win
Cardinals vs RedsSTL 5.2, CIN 4.8STL 5.4, CIN 3.9STL 9, CIN 5 Easy Expected win
Brewers vs DodgersLAD 4.7, MIL 4.3LAD 4.4, MIL 3.8LAD 7, MIL 1 Easy Expected win
Astros vs MarinersHOU 4.2, SEA 3.3HOU 4.4, SEA 3.9HOU 3, SEA 2 Expected Win
Mets vs BravesNYM 4.4, ATL 3.6ATL 4.7, NYM 4.9ATL 7, NYM 3 Major Upset