MLB Recap from Sunday, August 18, 2019: A Decent Night for Chalk Bettors

SUMMARY: 3 Major Upsets, One Slight Upset, 7 Easy Expected Wins

Sunday, August 18, 2019 was good for chalk bettors who played favorites. The -160 favored Angels were given a 60% chance of winning when you adjust the money line to remove the juice. But their 9 to 2 victory was much larger than expected. SportsLine's computer was correct on this game when it made the Angels a good betting value with a 62% chance of winning. The Chicago Cubs also scored an easy 7 to 1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. They were -160 on the moneyline. There were multiple underdogs that won games. The Washington Nationals were -106 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Milwaukee Brewers by 8 runs.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Orioles vs Red SoxBOS 6.8, BAL 5.2BOS 6.8, BAL 4.4BOS 13, BAL 7 Easy Expected win
Indians vs YankeesCLE 5.1, NYY 4.9NYY 5.4, CLE 4.8CLE 8, NYY 4 Easy Expected win
Padres vs PhilliesPHI 5.4, SD 5.1PHI 5.2, SD 4.4SD 3, PHI 2 Slight Upset
Mariners vs Blue JaysTOR 5.4, SEA 4.6TOR 4.9, SEA 3.5SEA 7, TOR 0 Major Upset
Cardinals vs RedsSTL 4.9, CIN 4.1STL 5.1, CIN 4.5STL 5, CIN 4 Expected Win
Tigers vs RaysTB 4.2, DET 3.3TB 4.9, DET 3.4TB 5, DET 4 Expected Win
Dodgers vs BravesATL 5.2, LAD 4.8LAD 5.3, ATL 4.2ATL 5, LAD 3 Expected Win
Brewers vs NationalsMIL 5.6, WAS 5.4MIL 5.9, WAS 5.2WAS 16, MIL 8 Major Upset
Mets vs RoyalsNYM 5.2, KC 4.3NYM 4.7, KC 4.3NYM 11, KC 5 Easy Expected win
Twins vs RangersTEX 5.5, MIN 5.0TEX 6.0, MIN 5.6MIN 6, TEX 3 Major Upset
Marlins vs RockiesCOL 7.2, MIA 6.3COL 5.6, MIA 5.1COL 7, MIA 6 Expected Win
White Sox vs AngelsLAA 4.8, CHW 4.2LAA 5.2, CHW 4.5LAA 9, CHW 2 Easy Expected win
Astros vs AthleticsHOU 5.2, OAK 4.3OAK 4.9, HOU 4.4HOU 4, OAK 1 Easy Expected win
Giants vs D-BacksARI 4.6, SF 4.4SF 4.3, ARI 4.1ARI 6, SF 1 Easy Expected win
Cubs vs PiratesCHC 5.4, PIT 4.6CHC 5.6, PIT 4.1CHC 7, PIT 1 Easy Expected win