MLB Recap from Tuesday, June 11, 2019: Filled With Surprising Upset Winners

SUMMARY: 5 Major Upsets, 3 Slight Upsets, 4 Easy Expected Wins

Tuesday, June 11, 2019, was notable for the upset wins. The Colorado Rockies beat the Chicago Cubs 10-3 despite being +120 underdogs. The computer simulation did not pick the Rockies to win but it did have them as being the better betting value. The New York Mets versus the New York Yankees was also an upset. The Mets won the game 10-4 and Vegas odds gave them a 35% chance of winning. There were multiple favorites, or even money teams, that won games by large margins. The New York Yankees were -152 on the moneyline and ended up beating the New York Mets by 7 runs.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Mets vs YankeesNYY 4.8, NYM 4.2NYY 5.3, NYM 4.5NYY 12, NYM 5 Easy Expected win
Blue Jays vs OriolesTOR 4.7, BAL 4.3BAL 4.5, TOR 3.9BAL 4, TOR 2 Slight Upset
Mets vs YankeesNYY 5.0, NYM 4.0NYY 5.4, NYM 4.3NYM 10, NYY 4 Major Upset
D-Backs vs PhilliesPHI 4.7, ARI 4.3PHI 4.8, ARI 5.1PHI 7, ARI 4 Easy Expected win
Rangers vs Red SoxBOS 5.7, TEX 4.8BOS 5.4, TEX 4.4TEX 9, BOS 5 Major Upset
Reds vs IndiansCLE 4.4, CIN 4.1CLE 5.1, CIN 4.1CLE 2, CIN 1 Expected Win
Cardinals vs MarlinsSTL 4.0, MIA 3.5STL 4.6, MIA 3.7STL 7, MIA 1 Easy Expected win
Athletics vs RaysTB 4.8, OAK 4.2TB 4.6, OAK 4.5OAK 4, TB 3 Slight Upset
Pirates vs BravesATL 5.2, PIT 4.8ATL 5.5, PIT 4.5ATL 7, PIT 5 Expected Win
Nationals vs White SoxWAS 5.2, CHW 4.3WAS 6.1, CHW 4.1CHW 7, WAS 5 Major Upset
Brewers vs AstrosHOU 4.3, MIL 4.2HOU 5.4, MIL 4.7HOU 10, MIL 8 Easy Expected win
Mariners vs TwinsMIN 5.2, SEA 4.3MIN 5.6, SEA 4.8MIN 6, SEA 5 Expected Win
Tigers vs RoyalsKC 4.5, DET 4.0KC 4.9, DET 3.8KC 3, DET 2 Expected Win
Cubs vs RockiesCHC 6.2, COL 5.8CHC 5.9, COL 5.2COL 10, CHC 3 Major Upset
Padres vs GiantsSD 4.3, SF 3.7SD 5.4, SF 3.5SF 6, SD 5 Slight Upset
Dodgers vs AngelsLAD 5.1, LAA 4.4LAD 6.3, LAA 5.3LAA 5, LAD 3 Major Upset