MLB Recap from Tuesday, September 10, 2019: A Decent Night for Chalk Bettors

SUMMARY: One Major Upset, 6 Slight Upsets, 4 Easy Expected Wins

Tuesday, September 10, 2019 was good for chalk bettors who played favorites. The -148 favored Indians were given a 58% chance of winning when you adjust the money line to remove the juice. But their 8 to 0 victory was much larger than expected. SportsLine's computer was correct on this game when it made the Indians a good betting value with a 67% chance of winning. The Minnesota Twins also scored an easy 5 to 0 win over the Washington Nationals. They were -141 on the moneyline. There were multiple underdogs that won games. The Oakland Athletics were +142 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Houston Astros by 14 runs.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Yankees vs TigersNYY 6.1, DET 4.4NYY 6.1, DET 4.1DET 12, NYY 11 Slight Upset
Dodgers vs OriolesLAD 5.9, BAL 4.1LAD 6.0, BAL 3.5LAD 7, BAL 3 Easy Expected win
Braves vs PhilliesATL 5.2, PHI 4.3PHI 5.1, ATL 4.7PHI 6, ATL 5 Slight Upset
Red Sox vs Blue JaysBOS 5.6, TOR 4.9BOS 5.8, TOR 4.6TOR 4, BOS 3 Slight Upset
Brewers vs MarlinsMIL 4.7, MIA 3.8MIL 6.0, MIA 3.8MIL 4, MIA 3 Expected Win
D-Backs vs MetsNYM 4.1, ARI 3.9NYM 4.7, ARI 4.2NYM 3, ARI 2 Expected Win
Nationals vs TwinsMIN 5.5, WAS 5.0MIN 5.4, WAS 5.2MIN 5, WAS 0 Easy Expected win
Rays vs RangersTB 4.7, TEX 4.3TB 4.5, TEX 4.0TB 5, TEX 3 Expected Win
Royals vs White SoxCHW 4.8, KC 4.7CHW 4.5, KC 4.4CHW 7, KC 3 Easy Expected win
Athletics vs AstrosHOU 5.3, OAK 4.7HOU 5.7, OAK 4.2OAK 21, HOU 7 Major Upset
Cardinals vs RockiesSTL 7.1, COL 6.4STL 6.2, COL 4.8COL 2, STL 1 Slight Upset
Pirates vs GiantsSF 4.4, PIT 4.1SF 4.3, PIT 3.7SF 5, PIT 4 Expected Win
Indians vs AngelsCLE 5.3, LAA 4.7CLE 6.2, LAA 4.4CLE 8, LAA 0 Easy Expected win
Cubs vs PadresCHC 4.9, SD 4.1CHC 4.7, SD 3.7SD 9, CHC 8 Slight Upset
Reds vs MarinersCIN 4.7, SEA 4.3SEA 4.9, CIN 4.8SEA 4, CIN 3 Slight Upset