MLB Recap from Wednesday, May 15, 2019: A Great Night for Chalk Bettors

SUMMARY: One Major Upset, No Slight Upsets, 5 Easy Expected Wins

Wednesday, May 15, 2019 was good for chalk bettors who played favorites. The -169 favored D-Backs were given a 60% chance of winning when you adjust the money line to remove the juice. But their 11 to 1 victory was much larger than expected. SportsLine's computer was correct on this game when it made the D-Backs a good betting value with a 66% chance of winning. The Texas Rangers also scored an easy 6 to 1 win over the Kansas City Royals. They were -117 on the moneyline. There was one underdog that won a game. The Milwaukee Brewers were +104 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Philadelphia Phillies by 3 runs.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Angels vs TwinsMIN 5.0, LAA 4.5MIN 5.2, LAA 5.0MIN 8, LAA 7 Expected Win
Orioles vs YankeesNYY 5.5, BAL 4.0NYY 5.9, BAL 4.1NYY 5, BAL 3 Expected Win
Pirates vs D-BacksARI 4.1, PIT 3.4ARI 4.7, PIT 3.6ARI 11, PIT 1 Easy Expected win
Blue Jays vs GiantsSF 4.0, TOR 3.5TOR 4.7, SF 3.9SF 4, TOR 3 Expected Win
Orioles vs YankeesNYY 4.9, BAL 3.6NYY 5.4, BAL 4.0NYY 3, BAL 1 Expected Win
Cubs vs RedsCIN 4.7, CHC 4.3CIN 4.4, CHC 4.2CIN 6, CHC 5 Expected Win
Brewers vs PhilliesPHI 4.6, MIL 4.4MIL 5.1, PHI 4.5MIL 5, PHI 2 Major Upset
Mets vs NationalsWAS 4.5, NYM 4.0WAS 5.2, NYM 4.7WAS 5, NYM 1 Easy Expected win
Rockies vs Red SoxBOS 4.8, COL 4.2BOS 5.5, COL 4.5BOS 6, COL 5 Expected Win
Astros vs TigersHOU 5.8, DET 3.7HOU 7.2, DET 2.9HOU 5, DET 1 Easy Expected win
Rays vs MarlinsTB 4.2, MIA 3.3TB 4.4, MIA 3.2TB 1, MIA 0 Expected Win
Cardinals vs BravesATL 4.9, STL 4.6STL 4.6, ATL 4.2ATL 4, STL 0 Easy Expected win
Rangers vs RoyalsTEX 4.9, KC 4.6TEX 5.8, KC 4.7TEX 6, KC 1 Easy Expected win
Padres vs DodgersLAD 4.1, SD 3.4LAD 4.2, SD 4.1LAD 2, SD 0 Expected Win