MLB World Series and League Futures: Dodgers Fans Will Like This

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There is a huge 14.3% gap between the Astros and the Rays. The Houston Astros lead with a 35.6 percent chance of winning the AL and the Tampa Bay Rays are at 21.3%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Rays chances are down from 25.4 percent. While 5.49 may not seem like a lot of wins, that amount of difference between the team with the #5 best record and the #6 best record is pretty large. This is a top heavy league with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

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AL FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN AL ODDSWIN AL SIM
Houston Astros108.299.8%99.9%9/4 (30.8%)35.6%
Tampa Bay Rays98.849.9%94.5%7/1 (12.5%)21.3%
New York Yankees96.230.8%89.4%3/1 (25%)15.5%
Boston Red Sox94.419.3%81.2%7/2 (22.2%)15.3%
Minnesota Twins93.275.3%83.3%6/1 (14.3%)8.8%
Cleveland Indians87.724.5%40.8%7/1 (12.5%)2.8%
Oakland Athletics79.90.1%4.3%50/1 (2%)0.4%
Seattle Mariners79.00.1%3.7%100/1 (1%)0.3%
Los Angeles Angels77.20.1%2.0%30/1 (3.2%)0.1%
Kansas City Royals70.60.1%0.2%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Chicago White Sox63.00.1%0.1%100/1 (1%)--
Texas Rangers73.90.1%0.7%250/1 (0.4%)--
Toronto Blue Jays66.00.1%0.1%250/1 (0.4%)--
Detroit Tigers58.90.1%0.1%250/1 (0.4%)--
Baltimore Orioles55.50.1%0.1%2500/1--

The percentage difference at the top of the NL is very large at 18.8%. The Chicago Cubs at 20.4% trail the Los Angeles Dodgers at 39.3%. The gap seems to be widening. The Cubs chances are down from 28.4 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #5 best record and the team with the #6 best record. This is a top heavy league with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

NL FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN NL ODDSWIN NL SIM
Los Angeles Dodgers102.194.1%98.9%2/1 (33.3%)39.3%
Chicago Cubs95.163.1%88.8%5/1 (16.7%)20.4%
Philadelphia Phillies88.351.3%61.1%7/1 (12.5%)13.5%
Milwaukee Brewers90.828.9%72.2%7/1 (12.5%)11.4%
St Louis Cardinals84.76.9%32.5%8/1 (11.1%)4.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks87.35.1%49.2%15/1 (6.2%)3.7%
Washington Nationals84.719.3%28.7%15/1 (6.2%)3.0%
New York Mets82.815.5%23.9%15/1 (6.2%)2.2%
Atlanta Braves82.013.8%21.3%12/1 (7.7%)1.1%
Colorado Rockies79.20.5%8.8%30/1 (3.2%)0.7%
Pittsburgh Pirates75.70.6%3.7%30/1 (3.2%)0.4%
San Diego Padres77.90.3%6.8%20/1 (4.8%)0.3%
Cincinnati Reds76.60.5%3.8%100/1 (1%)0.1%
San Francisco Giants65.90.1%0.1%250/1 (0.4%)--
Miami Marlins54.40.1%0.1%2500/1--

All playoff teams may think they have a shot at winning the World Series, but only 9 really do with at least a two percent chance. At the top, the Dodgers have a 4 percentage point lead over the Astros. At the bottom of the contenders list, 3.1 percentage points separate the Phillies from the Twins.

WS CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Los Angeles Dodgers5/116.7%23.9%UP
Houston Astros5/116.7%20.2%UP
Tampa Bay Rays14/16.7%10.0%--
Chicago Cubs10/19.1%9.6%DOWN
Boston Red Sox7/112.5%8.1%--
New York Yankees6/114.3%7.7%DOWN
Philadelphia Phillies14/16.7%5.9%--
Milwaukee Brewers14/16.7%5.4%DOWN
Minnesota Twins12/17.7%2.8%--
St Louis Cardinals16/15.9%1.6%DOWN
Arizona Diamondbacks30/13.2%1.3%DOWN
Washington Nationals30/13.2%1.1%DOWN