Must DFS Play (Hosmer) and Fade (Garver) Advice

Eric Hosmer

There are 3 other options at $3900 (Gerardo Parra, C.J. Cron, Aledmys Diaz) and Hosmer is the best option of these 4. Howie Kendrick (5.1 FP), Paul Goldschmidt (7.5 FP), Matt Adams (6.5 FP), Danny Santana (8 FP), and Christian Walker (7.6 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Hosmer but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.2 FPs, a value reached in 112 of 279 games (40%). The combined 'cover percentage' for first basemen expected to start is 35%.

There are 2 other options at $3300 (Joey Votto, James McCann) and Hosmer is the best option of these 3. Paul Goldschmidt (9.8 FP), Danny Santana (10.9 FP), Christian Walker (10.1 FP), Jose Abreu (11.2 FP), and Daniel Vogelbach (9.1 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Hosmer but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.6 FPs, a value reached in 131 of 279 games (47%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 46%.

Jose Trevino and Alex Gordon are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 8/19.

Mitch Garver

Projected for 2.4 DraftKings pts Mitch Garver is the #28 ranked catcher. At $5100 he is expected to be the #1 catcher. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Garver is worth $1.9K. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Jeff Mathis (3.5 FP), Yadier Molina (5.6 FP), Robinson Chirinos (5.9 FP), Kurt Suzuki (4.1 FP), and Matt Wieters (2.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.3 FPs, a value reached in 62 of 172 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for catchers expected to start is 46%.

Projected for 3.2 FanDuel pts Mitch Garver is the #56 ranked C/1Bs. At $3400 he is expected to be the #8 C/1Bs. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Christian Walker is also priced at $3400 and is a better option at this price. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Albert Pujols (10.2 FP), Miguel Cabrera (8 FP), Jeff Mathis (4.7 FP), Yadier Molina (7.2 FP), and Robinson Chirinos (8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.9 FPs, a value reached in 62 of 172 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 46%.

Aristides Aquino and Eric Sogard are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

This information was last updated at 8/19/2019 7:26:40 AM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 9.6) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS TEXAS RANGERS O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 11.1)

  • Kolby Allard (SP) 26.5 FD $7K, 13.3 DK $9.6K
  • Dillon Peters (SP) 25.8 FD $8.3K, 13.2 DK $9K
  • Mike Trout (OF) 15.3 FD $4.9K, 11.3 DK $5.6K
  • Kole Calhoun (OF) 12.7 FD $3K, 9.3 DK $4.2K
  • Nomar Mazara (OF) 11.9 FD $3.4K, 8.9 DK $4.3K

KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES O/U 10 (o-113, u-107)

  • John Means (SP) 23.7 FD $6.2K, 12.5 DK $6.4K
  • Jorge Lopez (SP) 20.4 FD $5.5K, 10.2 DK $4.8K
  • Whit Merrifield (OF FD, 2B DK) 14.3 FD $3.2K, 10.8 DK $5.1K
  • Trey Mancini (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 14.1 FD $4.1K, 10.6 DK $4.9K
  • Jonathan Villar (SS FD, 2B DK) 12.2 FD $3.5K, 9.2 DK $4.5K

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES O/U 10 (o-108, u-112)

  • Joe Ross (SP) 26.3 FD $7.3K, 12.6 DK $6.9K
  • Trevor Williams (SP) 24.4 FD $7.2K, 11.5 DK $5.9K
  • Starling Marte (OF) 12 FD $3.9K, 9.3 DK $4.9K
  • Josh Bell (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.2 FD $4.1K, 9.1 DK $5.2K
  • Anthony Rendon (3B) 11.8 FD $4.3K, 8.9 DK $5.2K

CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS MINNESOTA TWINS O/U 9.5 (o-112, u-108)

  • Kyle Gibson (SP) 30.5 FD $7.4K, 15.9 DK $10.1K
  • Ivan Nova (SP) 21.5 FD $7.7K, 9.8 DK $8.3K
  • Nelson Cruz (OF) 13.5 FD $4K, 10 DK $5.3K
  • Yoan Moncada (3B) 12.7 FD $3.4K, 9.7 DK $4.4K
  • Tim Anderson (SS) 11.4 FD $3.2K, 9 DK $4.6K

DETROIT TIGERS VS HOUSTON ASTROS O/U 9.5 (o-110, u-110)

  • Wade Miley (SP) 28.5 FD $9K, 15 DK $11.2K
  • Alex Bregman (3B) 14.9 FD $4.4K, 10.9 DK $5.3K
  • Yordan Alvarez (OF) 14.7 FD $4.4K, 10.9 DK $5.8K
  • George Springer (OF) 14.3 FD $4.3K, 10.7 DK $5.2K
  • Michael Brantley (OF) 13.1 FD $4.4K, 9.9 DK $5K

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST LOUIS CARDINALS O/U 9.5 (o-107, u-114)

  • Dakota Hudson (SP) 26.6 FD $6.7K, 12.3 DK $8.6K
  • Zach Davies (SP) 24.5 FD $6K, 12.6 DK $4.2K
  • Christian Yelich (OF) 15.1 FD $4.9K, 11.4 DK $5.7K
  • Mike Moustakas (3B FD, 2B DK) 11.4 FD $3.6K, 8.6 DK $4K
  • Marcell Ozuna (OF) 11.3 FD $4K, 8.5 DK $4.8K

COLORADO ROCKIES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 9.3)

  • Zac Gallen (SP) 28 FD $8K, 14.9 DK $9.3K
  • Kyle Freeland (SP) 23 FD $6.5K, 10.8 DK $5.3K
  • Trevor Story (SS) 13.2 FD $4.2K, 10 DK $5.2K
  • Ketel Marte (2B) 12.1 FD $4.1K, 9.3 DK $5.3K
  • Charlie Blackmon (OF) 11.8 FD $4.3K, 9 DK $5.4K

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS CINCINNATI REDS O/U 9 (o-110, u-111)

  • Trevor Bauer (SP) 36.2 FD $10.2K, 18.8 DK $11.7K
  • Eric Lauer (SP) 23.9 FD $6.3K, 12.2 DK $7.9K
  • Eric Hosmer (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.3 FD $3.3K, 9.2 DK $3.9K
  • Manny Machado (3B) 11.8 FD $3.8K, 8.9 DK $3.8K
  • Eugenio Suarez (3B) 10.9 FD $3.8K, 8.2 DK $4.6K

SEATTLE MARINERS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS O/U 8.5 (o-105, u-116)

  • Brendan McKay (SP) 30.1 FD $7.5K, 16.5 DK $7.5K
  • Marco Gonzales (SP) 29.5 FD $8.7K, 15.1 DK $10.6K
  • Thomas Pham (OF) 10.5 FD $3.7K, 8 DK $4K
  • Austin Meadows (OF) 10.1 FD $3.8K, 7.7 DK $4.2K
  • Kyle Seager (3B) 9.9 FD $3.5K, 7.5 DK $4K