Nelson Cruz is a Great DFS Value on Fanduel ($4.2K) and DraftKings ($5.7K) for 9/2

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is projected for 15 FanDuel points and 11.2 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is worth +$753 more than $4.2K on FanDuel and +$735 more than $5.7K on DraftKings. Their may be other options (see below) who are even better values, but barring a significant lineup change consider him a strong daily fantasy play. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (OF) 9/2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Nelson Cruz15 FD Points$4200
#2 Cody Bellinger14.4 FD Points$4600
#3 Bryce Harper14 FD Points$4300
#4 George Springer13.6 FD Points$4200
#5 Yordan Alvarez13.6 FD Points$4300
DRAFTKINGS (OF) 9/2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Nelson Cruz11.2 DK Points$5700
#2 Bryce Harper10.4 DK Points$5400
#3 Austin Meadows10.2 DK Points$4700
#4 Max Kepler9.7 DK Points$5300
#5 Thomas Pham9.6 DK Points$4600

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Nelson Cruz to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 91.39 projected fantasy points puts him ahead of J.D. Martinez making him our #1 ranked first baseman. He has averaged 3.43 fantasy points in his past 243 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.88 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 98%, he is the #11 most highly owned first baseman. Nelson Cruz is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #11 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (1B/DH) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#1 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)91 FP, 3.88 per game440 FP, 144 gp, 3.06 per game (#11)
#2 J.D. Martinez (100% OWN)83 FP, 3.67 per game600 FP, 150 gp, 4 per game (#1)
#3 Pete Alonso (100% OWN)83 FP, 3.42 per game600 FP, 150 gp, 4 per game (#1)
#4 Carlos Santana (100% OWN)82 FP, 3.62 per game466 FP, 161 gp, 2.89 per game (#15)
#5 Anthony Rizzo (100% OWN)82 FP, 3.27 per game487 FP, 150 gp, 3.25 per game (#5)

WEEK 24 AND 25 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Nelson Cruz is projected for 24.2 fantasy points in 6 games which is good enough to be the #1 ranked first baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is the highest ranked first baseman for the week, ahead of Carlos Santana. Week 25 will not be as good based on projected rank (#15). He is projected for 18.32 fantasy points.

9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (1B/DH)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)24.2 FP (87% ST)3.88 FP
#2 Carlos Santana (100% OWN)23 FP (98% ST)3.62 FP
#3 Cody Bellinger (100% OWN)21.6 FP (100% ST)3.81 FP
#4 Shin-Soo Choo (87% OWN)20.9 FP (70% ST)2.86 FP
#5 J.D. Martinez (100% OWN)20.6 FP (96% ST)3.67 FP
9/9 TO 9/15 RANK (1B/DH)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#13 Max Muncy (98% OWN)18.6 FP (48% ST)3.32 FP
#14 Matt Beaty (7% OWN)18.5 FP (5% ST)3.17 FP
#15 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)18.3 FP (87% ST)3.88 FP
#16 Jose Abreu (100% OWN)18.3 FP (97% ST)3.26 FP
#17 Khris Davis (81% OWN)17.9 FP (44% ST)2.97 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

NELSON CRUZFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 2019917.42215.99.90.1
-- Per Game (24 Proj)3.90.310.940.680.420.00
9/2 to 9/8 (6.5 Games)24.21.95.94.22.60.02
9/9 to 9/15 (5.4 Games)18.31.54.53.21.90.02
2019 Season393349165440
-- Per Game (99 GP)4.00.340.920.660.440.00
2018 to 201983371188135991
-- Per Game (243 GP)3.40.290.770.560.410.00