Nolan Arenado is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $4.5K and DraftKings at $5.4K on 8/16

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is projected for 11.4 FanDuel points and 8.4 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$366 short of $4.5K on FanDuel and -$486 short of $5.4K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (3B) 8/16 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#5 Kris Bryant12.1 FD Points$4000
#6 Brian Anderson11.7 FD Points$3300
#7 Nolan Arenado11.4 FD Points$4500
#8 Evan Longoria11.1 FD Points$2900
#9 Asdrubal Cabrera10.8 FD Points$2800
DRAFTKINGS (3B) 8/16 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#6 Brian Anderson8.9 DK Points$4700
#7 Evan Longoria8.4 DK Points$4000
#8 Nolan Arenado8.4 DK Points$5400
#9 Asdrubal Cabrera8.1 DK Points$3800
#10 Manny Machado8 DK Points$4200

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Nolan Arenado to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 141.69 projected fantasy points puts him at #3 behind Jose Ramirez and ahead of Alex Bregman. He has averaged 3.58 fantasy points in his past 273 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.56 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#4) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite third baseman. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Nolan Arenado is expected to slightly improve on this season-to-date's #4 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (3B) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)153 FP, 3.91 per game476 FP, 134 gp, 3.55 per game (#4)
#2 Jose Ramirez (100% OWN)143 FP, 3.78 per game619 FP, 157 gp, 3.94 per game (#1)
#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)142 FP, 3.56 per game555 FP, 155 gp, 3.58 per game (#3)
#4 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)140 FP, 3.77 per game592 FP, 157 gp, 3.77 per game (#2)
#5 Kris Bryant (100% OWN)129 FP, 3.28 per game306 FP, 101 gp, 3.03 per game (#11)

WEEK 21 AND 22 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Nolan Arenado is projected for 10.64 fantasy points in 3 games the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #5 ranked third baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Alex Bregman but behind Jose Ramirez the rest of the week. Week 22 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#3). He is projected for 24.06 fantasy points.

8/16 TO 8/18 RANK (3B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#3 Kris Bryant (100% OWN)11.4 FP (99% ST)3.28 FP
#4 Jose Ramirez (100% OWN)11.4 FP (99% ST)3.78 FP
#5 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)10.6 FP (96% ST)3.56 FP
#6 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)10.5 FP (99% ST)3.77 FP
#7 Brian Anderson (69% OWN)10.3 FP (60% ST)2.96 FP
8/19 TO 8/25 RANK (3B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)26 FP (95% ST)3.91 FP
#2 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)25.8 FP (99% ST)3.77 FP
#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)24.1 FP (96% ST)3.56 FP
#4 Yoan Moncada (98% OWN)21 FP (18% ST)3.07 FP
#5 Jose Ramirez (100% OWN)20.2 FP (99% ST)3.78 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

NOLAN ARENADOFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 20191429.7312614.10.4
-- Per Game (40 Proj)3.60.240.770.650.350.01
8/12 to 8/18 (2.9 Games)10.60.752.52.01.20.02
8/19 to 8/25 (6.9 Games)24.11.65.14.22.40.06
2019 Season424279077431
-- Per Game (118 GP)3.60.230.760.650.360.01
2018 to 2019978641991801163
-- Per Game (273 GP)3.60.230.730.660.420.01