Nolan Arenado Is a Better Value on DraftKings at $5.4K Than on FanDuel at $4.6 on 8/31

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is a better value on DrafKings than on FanDuel based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 12.8 FD points and is worth -$160 less than $4.6K on FD. On DK he is projected for 9.5 points and is worth +$244 more than $5.4K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (3B) 8/31 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Anthony Rendon13 FD Points$4400
#2 Jose Osuna12.9 FD Points$3300
#3 Nolan Arenado12.8 FD Points$4600
#4 Rafael Devers12.1 FD Points$4300
#5 Matt Chapman11.8 FD Points$3700
DRAFTKINGS (3B) 8/31 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Anthony Rendon9.6 DK Points$5300
#2 Nolan Arenado9.5 DK Points$5400
#3 Rafael Devers9 DK Points$5600
#4 Justin Turner8.6 DK Points$4500
#5 Kyle Seager8.2 DK Points$4900

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Nolan Arenado to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 90.97 projected fantasy points puts him at #3 behind Alex Bregman and ahead of Rafael Devers. He has averaged 3.66 fantasy points in his past 287 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.61 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite third baseman. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Nolan Arenado is expected to slightly improve on this season-to-date's #4 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (3B) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)106 FP, 3.91 per game476 FP, 134 gp, 3.55 per game (#4)
#2 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)97 FP, 4.01 per game592 FP, 157 gp, 3.77 per game (#2)
#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)91 FP, 3.61 per game555 FP, 155 gp, 3.58 per game (#3)
#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)89 FP, 3.53 per game300 FP, 120 gp, 2.5 per game (#14)
#5 Kris Bryant (100% OWN)84 FP, 3.13 per game306 FP, 101 gp, 3.03 per game (#9)

WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Nolan Arenado is projected for 8.27 fantasy points in 2 games the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #2 ranked third baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Anthony Rendon but behind Eugenio Suarez the rest of the week. Week 24 will be slightly worse based on projected rank (#3). He is projected for 20.16 fantasy points.

8/31 TO 9/1 RANK (3B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Eugenio Suarez (99% OWN)10.4 FP (95% ST)3.04 FP
#2 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)8.3 FP (100% ST)3.61 FP
#3 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)7.7 FP (99% ST)3.91 FP
#4 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)7.5 FP (100% ST)4.01 FP
#5 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)7 FP (92% ST)3.44 FP
9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (3B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)24.5 FP (99% ST)3.91 FP
#2 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)22.6 FP (100% ST)4.01 FP
#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)20.2 FP (100% ST)3.61 FP
#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)19.6 FP (98% ST)3.53 FP
#5 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)19.2 FP (92% ST)3.44 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

NOLAN ARENADOFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 2019916.419.016.48.80.3
-- Per Game (25 Proj)3.60.260.750.650.350.01
8/26 to 9/1 (1.9 Games)8.30.551.81.60.780.02
9/2 to 9/8 (5.9 Games)20.21.54.03.52.10.06
2019 Season4943410390461
-- Per Game (132 GP)3.70.260.780.680.350.01
2018 to 20191049712121931193
-- Per Game (287 GP)3.70.250.740.670.410.01