Nolan Arenado Is a Better Value on DraftKings at $5.6K Than on FanDuel at $4.6 on 9/1

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is a better value on DrafKings than on FanDuel based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 14.8 FD points and is worth +$388 more than $4.6K on FD. On DK he is projected for 11 points and is worth +$511 more than $5.6K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (3B) 9/1 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Nolan Arenado14.8 FD Points$4600
#2 Matt Chapman13.5 FD Points$3800
#3 Anthony Rendon13.1 FD Points$4400
#4 Jose Osuna13 FD Points$3300
#5 Yoan Moncada12.5 FD Points$3000
DRAFTKINGS (3B) 9/1 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Nolan Arenado11 DK Points$5600
#2 Matt Chapman10.1 DK Points$4600
#3 Anthony Rendon9.7 DK Points$5500
#4 Alex Bregman9.4 DK Points$5300
#5 Kris Bryant9.1 DK Points$4400

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Nolan Arenado to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 86.59 projected fantasy points puts him at #3 behind Alex Bregman and ahead of Rafael Devers. He has averaged 3.65 fantasy points in his past 288 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.57 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite third baseman. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Nolan Arenado is expected to slightly improve on this season-to-date's #4 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (3B) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)104 FP, 3.98 per game476 FP, 134 gp, 3.55 per game (#4)
#2 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)93 FP, 3.98 per game592 FP, 157 gp, 3.77 per game (#2)
#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)87 FP, 3.57 per game555 FP, 155 gp, 3.58 per game (#3)
#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)84 FP, 3.47 per game300 FP, 120 gp, 2.5 per game (#16)
#5 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)81 FP, 3.44 per game444 FP, 144 gp, 3.08 per game (#8)

WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Nolan Arenado is projected for 4.42 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #3 ranked third baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average game with more fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Alex Bregman but behind Eugenio Suarez the rest of the week. His projected rank in Week 24 is the same as it is in Week 23. He is projected for 20.4 fantasy points.

9/1 TO 9/1 RANK (3B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Matt Carpenter (72% OWN)5.2 FP (43% ST)2.82 FP
#2 Eugenio Suarez (99% OWN)4.98 FP (95% ST)3.11 FP
#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)4.42 FP (100% ST)3.57 FP
#4 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)3.82 FP (100% ST)3.98 FP
#5 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)3.8 FP (99% ST)3.98 FP
9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (3B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)25.3 FP (99% ST)3.98 FP
#2 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)22.3 FP (100% ST)3.98 FP
#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)20.4 FP (100% ST)3.57 FP
#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)19.5 FP (98% ST)3.47 FP
#5 Eugenio Suarez (99% OWN)19.4 FP (95% ST)3.11 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

NOLAN ARENADOFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 2019876.118.015.58.40.2
-- Per Game (24 Proj)3.60.250.740.640.350.01
8/26 to 9/1 (1 Game)4.40.280.860.820.510.02
9/2 to 9/8 (5.9 Games)20.41.54.13.62.00.07
2019 Season4963410490461
-- Per Game (133 GP)3.70.260.780.680.350.01
2018 to 20191050712131931193
-- Per Game (288 GP)3.60.250.740.670.410.01