As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE
He is projected for 5.6 FanDuel points and 4.3 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$640 short of $2.7K on FanDuel and -$1023 short of $4.6K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.
|FANDUEL (C/1B) 8/30 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#67 Roberto Perez||5.8 FD Points||$2900|
|#68 Tyler Flowers||5.8 FD Points||$2200|
|#69 Omar Narvaez||5.6 FD Points||$2700|
|#70 Alex Avila||5.5 FD Points||$2300|
|#71 Jonathan Lucroy||5.3 FD Points||$2300|
|DRAFTKINGS (C) 8/30 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#23 Tyler Flowers||4.4 DK Points||$3600|
|#24 Roberto Perez||4.3 DK Points||$3300|
|#25 Omar Narvaez||4.3 DK Points||$4600|
|#26 Alex Avila||4.1 DK Points||$4000|
|#27 Kevan Smith||4 DK Points||$2900|
These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Expect Omar Narvaez to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 46.42 projected fantasy points puts him at #14 behind Welington Castillo and ahead of Tucker Barnhart. He has averaged 2.3 fantasy points in his past 204 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 2.85 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#9) is better than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 94%, he is the #5 most highly owned catcher. Omar Narvaez is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #6 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (C)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#12 Jose Trevino (1% OWN)||49 FP, 2.32 per game||26 FP, 12 gp, 2.2 per game (#27)|
|#13 Welington Castillo (13% OWN)||48 FP, 2.18 per game||89 FP, 48 gp, 1.85 per game (#30)|
|#14 Omar Narvaez (94% OWN)||46 FP, 2.85 per game||188 FP, 95 gp, 1.98 per game (#24)|
|#15 Tucker Barnhart (25% OWN)||46 FP, 2.24 per game||279 FP, 134 gp, 2.08 per game (#19)|
|#16 Christian Vazquez (93% OWN)||45 FP, 2.68 per game||108 FP, 77 gp, 1.41 per game (#47)|
WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Omar Narvaez is projected for 4.41 fantasy points in 2 games the rest of the week in week 23 which ranks him as the #23 projected catcher for the week and a starter for most fantasy teams. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Jonathan Lucroy but behind Kevan Smith the rest of the week. Week 24 will not be as good based on projected rank (#32). He is projected for 8.67 fantasy points.
|8/30 TO 9/1 RANK (C)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#21 Tyler Flowers (7% OWN)||4.64 FP (5% ST)||2.34 FP|
|#22 Kevan Smith (1% OWN)||4.51 FP||2.39 FP|
|#23 Omar Narvaez (94% OWN)||4.41 FP (83% ST)||2.85 FP|
|#24 Jonathan Lucroy (20% OWN)||4.37 FP (10% ST)||2.37 FP|
|#25 Yan Gomes (14% OWN)||4.37 FP (8% ST)||2.37 FP|
|9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (C)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#30 Alex Avila (1% OWN)||8.7 FP (1% ST)||2.14 FP|
|#31 Josh Phegley (26% OWN)||8.7 FP (15% ST)||2.65 FP|
|#32 Omar Narvaez (94% OWN)||8.7 FP (83% ST)||2.85 FP|
|#33 James McCann (78% OWN)||8.7 FP (67% ST)||2.61 FP|
|#34 Francisco Mejia (47% OWN)||8.4 FP (35% ST)||2.46 FP|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||46.4||3.1||8.3||8.7||6.3||0.1|
|-- Per Game (16 Proj)||2.9||0.19||0.51||0.54||0.38||0.00|
|8/26 to 9/1 (1.9 Games)||4.4||0.19||0.88||0.83||0.81||0.02|
|9/2 to 9/8 (3.6 Games)||8.7||0.59||1.6||1.6||1.4||0.02|
|-- Per Game (109 GP)||2.6||0.17||0.45||0.52||0.37||0.00|
|2018 to 2019||470||28||79||87||78||0|
|-- Per Game (204 GP)||2.3||0.14||0.39||0.43||0.38||0.00|