As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE
He is projected for 12.1 FanDuel points and 9 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is worth +$672 more than $3.7K on FanDuel and +$524 more than $4.9K on DraftKings. There may be other options (see below) who are even better values, but barring a significant lineup change consider him a strong daily fantasy play. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.
|FANDUEL (C/1B) 9/22 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#1 Jose Abreu||12.2 FD Points||$3700|
|#2 Pete Alonso||12.1 FD Points||$3700|
|#3 Freddie Freeman||12.1 FD Points||$4200|
|#4 Carlos Santana||11.8 FD Points||$3800|
|#5 Rhys Hoskins||11.7 FD Points||$3500|
|DRAFTKINGS (1B) 9/22 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#1 Jose Abreu||9.1 DK Points||$4000|
|#2 Pete Alonso||9 DK Points||$4900|
|#3 Freddie Freeman||8.9 DK Points||$4700|
|#4 Yulieski Gurriel||8.7 DK Points||$4800|
|#5 Paul Goldschmidt||8.3 DK Points||$3800|
These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Based on our latest projection, you can expect Pete Alonso to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 23.72 projected fantasy points puts him at #3 behind Nelson Cruz and ahead of Anthony Rizzo. He has averaged 3.62 fantasy points in his past 152 games, which is more than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.18 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#13) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite first baseman. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. He is also currently the #3 ranked first baseman.
WEEK 26 AND 27 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Pete Alonso is projected for 3.27 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #9 ranked first baseman and a must start for most owners. His projected fantasy production is the same as his rest of season per game projection. He is ranked above J.D. Martinez but behind Jose Abreu the rest of the week. Week 27 will be better based on projected rank (#4). He is projected for 20.45 fantasy points.
|9/22 TO 9/22 RANK (1B/DH)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#7 Carlos Santana (100% OWN)||3.43 FP (97% ST)||3.5 FP|
|#8 Jose Abreu (100% OWN)||3.34 FP (97% ST)||3.2 FP|
|#9 Pete Alonso (100% OWN)||3.27 FP (98% ST)||3.18 FP|
|#10 J.D. Martinez (100% OWN)||3.24 FP (94% ST)||3.74 FP|
|#11 Hunter Dozier (93% OWN)||3.06 FP (80% ST)||3.07 FP|
|9/23 TO 9/29 RANK (1B/DH)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#2 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)||23.4 FP (83% ST)||4.26 FP|
|#3 Anthony Rizzo (98% OWN)||20.5 FP (77% ST)||3.43 FP|
|#4 Pete Alonso (100% OWN)||20.5 FP (98% ST)||3.18 FP|
|#5 Yulieski Gurriel (98% OWN)||19.5 FP (82% ST)||3.77 FP|
|#6 Jose Abreu (100% OWN)||19.3 FP (97% ST)||3.2 FP|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||23.7||1.9||5.0||4.3||3.3||0.1|
|-- Per Game (7 Proj)||3.2||0.25||0.67||0.58||0.45||0.01|
|9/16 to 9/22 (1 Game)||3.3||0.28||0.74||0.62||0.42||0.01|
|9/23 to 9/29 (6.5 Games)||20.5||1.6||4.3||3.7||2.9||0.08|
|-- Per Game (152 GP)||3.6||0.33||0.76||0.64||0.45||0.01|