Pete Kozma Was the #47 Fantasy SS

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He was the #600 ranked fantasy player this season and the #47 SS. His value would have been higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he was the #41 SS. We split his 22 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 7 games he averaged 2.6 FPs and that declined to 2 in his final 8 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.51 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 1.5 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 8 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

Getting older did not stop Kozma from increasing production. His average Fantasy points increased by 275% this season.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points349
FP Average1.50.4
Regular Season GP2225
AVG0.2170.111
OPS0.5840.378
HR11
RBI82
R73
SB00
BB23
KO1520

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 4.8 fantasy points per week and had 3 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL4.8 FP per Week23
Week 714.5 (3 games 4.8 per game)+9.7
Week 84 (5 games 0.8 per game)
Week 90 (1 games)-4.8
Week 101 (3 games 0.3 per game)-3.8
Week 25-2 (2 games -1 per game)-6.8
Week 2612 (5 games 2.4 per game)+7.2
Week 274 (3 games 1.3 per game)

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 8.4 FD points and 5.9 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 10 and on FanDuel it was 15.7 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All8.4 ($2.1K)3 G, 4 B5.9 ($2.5K)3 G, 3 B
9/30 @MIL6 ($2K)--5 ($2.6K)--
9/29 @MIL6.5 ($2K)--5 ($2.6K)--
9/27 @MIN3 ($2K)-5.43 ($2.6K)--
9/23 KC0 ($2.1K)-8.40 ($2.5K)-5.9
9/22 KC12 ($2.1K)--10 ($2.5K)+4.1
9/21 KC6.2 ($2.1K)--5 ($2.5K)--
9/20 KC15.7 ($2K)+7.312 ($2.5K)+6.1
9/19 MIN6.2 ($2K)--5 ($2.5K)--
9/15 @CLE0 ($2K)-8.40 ($2.2K)-5.9
9/14 @CLE0--0--
5/31 LAA3--2--
5/30 LAA0--0--
5/29 LAA3--3--
5/26 CHW0--0--
5/20 @SEA0--0--
5/17 @SEA0--0--
5/16 CLE0--0--
5/15 CLE12.7--9--
5/14 CLE6.5 ($2.5K)--5 ($2.6K)--
5/13 SEA3.5 ($2K)-4.92 ($2.6K)-3.9
5/12 SEA19.2 ($2.5K)+10.814+8.1
5/9 @TEX24.9 ($2K)+16.519 ($2.2K)+13.1