SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
He was the #560 ranked fantasy player this season and the #167 OF. His value would have been higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he was the #160 OF. We split his 34 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). His fantasy production did not rise or fall significantly as the season went on. If you break up his season into 3 equal segments (start, middle, end) his average started at 1.4 FPs, ended at 1.5 FPs, and was 1 FPs in between. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Refsnyder is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. Our projected ceiling for Refsnyder when he 'goes off' is 9 fantasy points (his average is 1.3FPs).
STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON
Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a clear upward swing. His fantasy average improved by 86%.
SEASON TREND | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|
Fantasy Points | 44 | 27 |
FP Average | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Regular Season GP | 34 | 41 |
AVG | 0.167 | 0.176 |
OPS | 0.588 | 0.479 |
HR | 2 | 0 |
RBI | 5 | 0 |
R | 9 | 6 |
SB | 0 | 4 |
BB | 18 | 8 |
KO | 26 | 16 |
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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
He has averaged 3.7 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 3 weeks where he was +50% above average.
Week | Fantasy Points (GP) | Good Week | Bad Week |
---|---|---|---|
ALL | 3.7 FP per Week | 3 | 6 |
Week 1 | 0.5 (2 games 0.2 per game) | -3.2 | |
Week 2 | 4.5 (3 games 1.5 per game) | ||
Week 3 | 0 (2 games 0 per game) | -3.7 | |
Week 4 | 2 (2 games 1 per game) | ||
Week 5 | 8.5 (2 games 4.2 per game) | +4.8 | |
Week 6 | 0 (2 games 0 per game) | -3.7 | |
Week 7 | 3.5 (4 games 0.9 per game) | ||
Week 8 | 0.5 (3 games 0.2 per game) | -3.2 | |
Week 9 | 17 (5 games 3.4 per game) | +13.3 | |
Week 10 | 6 (3 games 2 per game) | +2.3 | |
Week 11 | 0.5 (2 games 0.2 per game) | -3.2 | |
Week 12 | 1 (4 games 0.2 per game) | -2.7 |
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
He averaged 4.1 FD points and 3.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was 3 and on FanDuel it was 6 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.
Game | FD Pts (Sal) | Good or Bad | DK Pts (Sal) | Good or Bad |
---|---|---|---|---|
All | 4.1 ($2K) | 4 G, 8 B | 3.6 ($2.4K) | 2 G, 6 B |
6/17 @NYY | 0 | -- | 0 | -- |
6/15 @NYY | 3 | -- | 2 | -- |
6/12 TOR | 3 | -- | 2 | -- |
6/11 TOR | 0 | -- | 0 | -- |
6/10 SEA | 0 | -- | 0 | -- |
6/9 SEA | 6.2 | -- | 5 | -- |
6/2 @SEA | 3 | -- | 3 | -- |
5/31 @OAK | 0 | -- | 0 | -- |
5/30 @OAK | 25.7 | -- | 18 | -- |
5/27 BAL | 12.2 | -- | 9 | -- |
5/26 BAL | 15.7 | -- | 12 | -- |
5/25 BAL | 6 | -- | 5 | -- |
5/23 BOS | 3 | -- | 4 | -- |
5/22 BOS | 15.2 | -- | 11 | -- |
5/19 @LAA | 0 | -- | 0 | -- |
5/17 @LAA | 3 | -- | 2 | -- |
5/14 @KC | 0 ($2K) | -4.1 | 0 ($2.6K) | -3.6 |
5/13 @BAL | 12.2 ($2K) | +8.1 | 9 ($2.6K) | +5.4 |
5/12 @BAL | 0 ($2K) | -4.1 | 0 | -3.6 |
5/9 ATL | 0 ($2K) | -4.1 | 0 ($2.6K) | -3.6 |
5/8 ATL | 0 ($2K) | -4.1 | 0 ($2.6K) | -3.6 |
5/4 TOR | 0 ($2.1K) | -4.1 | 0 ($2.6K) | -3.6 |
5/1 @DET | 3 ($2.1K) | -- | 3 ($2.9K) | -- |
4/28 @BOS | 0 ($2K) | -4.1 | 0 | -3.6 |
4/27 @BOS | 24.7 ($2K) | +20.6 | 21 ($2.6K) | +17.4 |
4/17 TEX | 3 ($2K) | -- | 3 ($2.1K) | -- |
4/16 TEX | 6.2 ($2K) | +2.1 | 4 ($2.1K) | -- |
4/13 PHI | 0 ($2.1K) | -4.1 | 0 ($2.1K) | -3.6 |
4/9 @CHW | 3 ($2.1K) | -- | 3 ($2.2K) | -- |
4/8 @BOS | 6.2 ($2.1K) | +2.1 | 4 ($2.2K) | -- |
4/5 @BOS | 6 ($2K) | -- | 4 ($2.3K) | -- |
4/3 @NYY | 3 ($2K) | -- | 2 ($2.3K) | -- |
3/30 BOS | 0 ($2K) | -4.1 | 0 ($2.6K) | -3.6 |
3/29 BOS | 6 ($2K) | -- | 4 ($2.6K) | -- |