Rodon Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Expectations vs Projection

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Both the market and projections have virtually the same expectations for Carlos Rodon. As of 5/12, Carlos Rodon is the #95 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (42%). Projections rank him #96. He is projected for more FPs than Michael Pineda who has virtually the same market rank (42% Owned) as Rodon. He is projected for 15 fantasy points in 20 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#97) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Carlos Rodon behind Giolito and above Sabathia but the projections rank Carlos Rodon over Giolito.

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Lower Own%C. Rodon ROSHigher Own%
W. LeBlanc (56 FP)15 FPT. Skaggs (6 FP)
J. De Leon (53 FP)#95 Starting PitcherB. Keller (4 FP)
R. Borucki (40 FP) 
 

**These projections are based on him returning 5/31.

Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
15 (#96) 
Wins 
7 (#97) 
Losses 
 
7 (#124)
Quality Starts11 (#62) 
 
Strikeouts104 (#85) 
 
Innings 
 
115 (#112)
Walks47 (#24) 
 
ERA 
 
3.83 (#109)
WHIP 
1.23 (#99) 

LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 5/1 VS BAL

  • 3.1 IP, 6 K, 8.71 ERA, 2.26 WHIP
  • FanDuel: $9400, 18.6 FPs (-$3160 value, -9.4 FPs)
  • DraftKings: $9400, 9 FPs (-$4023 value, -6.7 FPs)

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 1 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL1 FP per Week24
Week 1-3.7 (1 games)-4.7
Week 217.5 (1 games)+16.5
Week 3-1.3 (2 games -0.7 per game)-2.4
Week 412 (1 games)+11
Week 5-14.5 (1 games)-15.5
Week 6-3.8 (1 games)-4.8

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 30.1 points and on DraftKings it was 12.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was -1000 and on FanDuel it was -1000 FPs. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same is true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All30.1 ($8.3K)1 G, 1 B12.8 ($8.2K)2 G, 1 B
5/1 BAL18.6 ($9.4K)--9 ($9.4K)--
4/26 DET0 ($9.4K)-30.1-6.4 ($8.1K)-19.2
4/19 @DET43 ($8.8K)--23.9 ($8.3K)+11.1
4/14 @NYY37 ($7.8K)--20.5 ($7.6K)+7.7
4/8 TB29 ($8.1K)--12.7--
4/3 @CLE55 ($7.1K)+24.933.7+20.9
3/28 @KC28 ($7.5K)--17 ($7.5K)--