Ronald Acuna is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#4 OF)

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2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Ronald Acuna is projected to be an elite fantasy outfielder and worth a high draft pick. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #4 (at OF). In 2018, he was owned in 99 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.48 fantasy points per game in 151 games.

OF RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#2Mookie Betts589.90.312 AVG, 31 HR, 85 RBI, 123 R, 79 BB, 26 SB
#3Christian Yelich534.50.303 AVG, 29 HR, 96 RBI, 108 R, 72 BB, 20 SB
#4Ronald Acuna525.60.287 AVG, 36 HR, 97 RBI, 103 R, 65 BB, 22 SB
#5Aaron Judge497.50.286 AVG, 38 HR, 95 RBI, 105 R, 92 BB, 7 SB
#6George Springer488.10.282 AVG, 31 HR, 82 RBI, 109 R, 65 BB, 6 SB

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Ronald Acuna was the number #30 ranked OF and the #84 ranked player overall. His value would have been even better if he had played as many games as other elite OFs. Based on average fantasy points he is the #4 OF. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 37 games he averaged 3.9 fantasy points which was higher than his start (2.8 FP) and his ending average (3.5 FP). He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.11 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 3.4 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 15 fantasy points.

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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 19.8 fantasy points per week and had 3 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% vs just one bad week.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL19.8 FP per Week31
Week 523 (5 games 4.6 per game)
Week 614.5 (6 games 2.4 per game)
Week 713 (6 games 2.2 per game)
Week 816 (6 games 2.7 per game)
Week 912 (6 games 2 per game)
Week 1413.5 (3 games 4.5 per game)
Week 1510.5 (6 games 1.8 per game)
Week 161.5 (5 games 0.3 per game)-18.3
Week 1715 (2 games 7.5 per game)
Week 1816.5 (6 games 2.8 per game)
Week 1924.5 (6 games 4.1 per game)
Week 2031 (7 games 4.4 per game)+11.2
Week 2151 (7 games 7.3 per game)+31.2
Week 2224.5 (7 games 3.5 per game)
Week 2327.5 (6 games 4.6 per game)
Week 2431.5 (7 games 4.5 per game)+11.7
Week 2519.5 (6 games 3.2 per game)
Week 2616 (7 games 2.3 per game)
Week 2714.5 (6 games 2.4 per game)

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 13.7 points and on DraftKings it was 10.3 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 20 and on FanDuel it was 28.4 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All13.7 ($4K)23 G, 40 B10.3 ($4.8K)21 G, 38 B
9/30 @PHI9.5 ($4K)--7 ($4.7K)--
9/29 @PHI3 ($4K)-10.73 ($4.7K)-7.3
9/28 @PHI19.2 ($4.1K)--15 ($5.2K)--
9/27 @NYM9.5 ($3.9K)--8 ($5.2K)--
9/26 @NYM9 ($3.8K)--6 ($4.5K)--
9/25 @NYM13 ($3.9K)--9 ($4.6K)--
9/23 PHI0 ($4.2K)-13.70 ($4.7K)-10.3
9/22 PHI18.4 ($4.4K)--12 ($5K)--
9/21 PHI12.4 ($4.5K)--9 ($5.3K)--
9/20 PHI3.5 ($4.6K)-10.22 ($5.6K)-8.3
9/19 STL6.2 ($4.5K)-7.54 ($5.2K)-6.3
9/18 STL18.7 ($4.5K)--14 ($5.6K)--
9/17 STL12.5 ($4.5K)--11 ($5.5K)--
9/16 WAS0 ($4.3K)-13.70 ($5.5K)-10.3
9/15 WAS6.2 ($4.2K)-7.55 ($5.5K)-5.3
9/14 WAS34.4 ($4.2K)+20.727 ($4.5K)+16.7
9/12 @SF6 ($4.6K)-7.75 ($5.3K)-5.3
9/11 @SF18.2 ($4.6K)--14 ($5.3K)--
9/10 @SF3 ($4.4K)-10.72 ($4.9K)-8.3
9/9 @ARI49.6 ($4.3K)+35.937 ($5.1K)+26.7
9/8 @ARI18.2 ($4.4K)--14 ($4.8K)--
9/7 @ARI18.2 ($4.6K)--13 ($5K)--
9/6 @ARI3 ($4.4K)-10.72 ($5K)-8.3
9/5 BOS27.9 ($4.5K)+14.220 ($5.2K)+9.7
9/4 BOS3 ($4.6K)-10.72 ($5.2K)-8.3
9/3 BOS0 ($4.5K)-13.70 ($5.2K)-10.3
9/2 PIT30.9 ($4.5K)+17.224+13.7
9/1 PIT9.5 ($4.5K)--7 ($5.2K)--
8/31 PIT18.7 ($4.3K)--14 ($4.5K)--
8/30 CHC15.4 ($4.3K)--15 ($5.2K)--
8/29 TB6.5 ($4.5K)-7.25 ($5.4K)-5.3
8/28 TB6.5 ($4.5K)-7.24 ($5.4K)-6.3
8/26 @MIA12 ($4.4K)--9 ($5.3K)--
8/25 @MIA12 ($4.6K)--10 ($5.5K)--
8/24 @MIA6 ($4.4K)-7.75 ($5.5K)-5.3
8/23 @MIA21.7 ($4.4K)+816 ($5.6K)+5.7
8/22 @PIT21.7 ($4.5K)+816 ($5.7K)+5.7
8/21 @PIT6 ($4.7K)-7.74 ($5.7K)-6.3
8/20 @PIT6 ($4.9K)-7.77 ($5.8K)--
8/19 COL0 ($4.7K)-13.70 ($5.8K)-10.3
8/18 COL27.4 ($4.7K)+13.720 ($5.9K)+9.7
8/17 COL15.4 ($4.7K)--11 ($5.6K)--
8/16 COL9 ($4.8K)--6 ($5.7K)--
8/14 MIA47.4 ($4K)+33.735 ($4.9K)+24.7
8/13 MIA31.4 ($3.9K)+17.724 ($4.8K)+13.7
8/13 MIA50.1 ($3.9K)+36.436 ($4.8K)+25.7
8/12 MIL25.2 ($3.9K)+11.520 ($5.1K)+9.7
8/11 MIL18.7 ($3.9K)--14 ($4.8K)--
8/10 MIL18.4 ($3.9K)--15 ($4.7K)--
8/9 @WAS18.7 ($3.7K)--14 ($4.5K)--
8/8 @WAS31.2 ($3.9K)+17.522 ($4.7K)+11.7
8/7 @WAS0 ($3.9K)-13.70 ($4K)-10.3
8/7 @WAS0 ($3.9K)-13.70 ($4K)-10.3
8/5 @NYM6.5 ($4K)-7.25 ($4.7K)-5.3
8/4 @NYM0 ($3.9K)-13.70 ($4.8K)-10.3
8/3 @NYM12.2 ($3.7K)--10 ($4K)--
8/2 @NYM27.4 ($3.9K)+13.720 ($4.6K)+9.7
7/31 MIA28.2 ($3.5K)+14.522 ($4.5K)+11.7
7/30 MIA18.7 ($3.5K)--14 ($4.7K)--
7/29 LAD9 ($3.7K)--5 ($4.5K)-5.3
7/28 LAD3 ($3.7K)-10.72 ($4.6K)-8.3
7/27 LAD0 ($3.6K)-13.70 ($3.9K)-10.3
7/26 LAD22.2 ($3.5K)+8.516 ($4.3K)+5.7
7/24 @MIA6.2 ($3.3K)-7.54-6.3
7/23 @MIA28.4 ($3.2K)+14.720 ($4.4K)+9.7
7/22 @WAS12 ($3.2K)--11 ($3.7K)--
7/20 @WAS49.1 ($3.2K)+35.434 ($3.5K)+23.7
7/15 ARI0 ($3.2K)-13.70 ($3.9K)-10.3
7/14 ARI0 ($3.2K)-13.70 ($4.2K)-10.3
7/13 ARI9 ($3.3K)--7 ($4.2K)--
7/11 TOR6 ($3.8K)-7.75 ($4.2K)-5.3
7/10 TOR0 ($3.8K)-13.70 ($4.6K)-10.3
7/8 @MIL3--3--
7/6 @MIL6.5--5--
7/5 @MIL3 ($4K)-10.72 ($4.9K)-8.3
7/4 @NYY0 ($4K)-13.70 ($4.7K)-10.3
7/3 @NYY3 ($3.9K)-10.73 ($4.5K)-7.3
7/2 @NYY31.7 ($3.9K)+1823 ($4.6K)+12.7
7/1 @STL6.2 ($3.6K)-7.55 ($4.2K)-5.3
6/30 @STL37.6 ($3.6K)+23.928 ($4.3K)+17.7
6/29 @STL3 ($3.6K)-10.72 ($4.5K)-8.3
5/27 @BOS9.2--7--
5/26 @BOS24.7--20--
5/25 @BOS6.2--5--
5/23 @PHI0--0--
5/22 @PHI12.5--10--
5/21 @PHI0--0--
5/20 MIA19.7--14--
5/19 MIA6.2--4--
5/18 MIA0--0--
5/16 CHC12.7--10--
5/15 CHC21.7--16--
5/14 @CHC3--2--
5/13 @MIA21.2 ($4.2K)+7.514 ($4.7K)--
5/12 @MIA6.2 ($4.2K)-7.55 ($4.6K)-5.3
5/11 @MIA0 ($4.2K)-13.70 ($4.8K)-10.3
5/10 @MIA9.2 ($4.2K)--7 ($4.7K)--
5/9 @TB6.2 ($4.1K)-7.54 ($4.7K)-6.3
5/8 @TB18.7 ($4K)--14 ($4.7K)--
5/6 SF9.2 ($4K)--8 ($4.9K)--
5/5 SF3.2 ($4.1K)-10.52 ($4.8K)-8.3
5/4 SF0 ($3.7K)-13.70 ($4.5K)-10.3
5/3 @NYM24.7 ($3.8K)+1122 ($4.3K)+11.7
5/2 @NYM0 ($3.6K)-13.70 ($4K)-10.3
5/1 @NYM12.2 ($3.7K)--10 ($4.1K)--
4/29 @PHI27.5 ($3.6K)+13.819 ($4.3K)+8.7
4/28 @PHI3 ($3.6K)-10.72-8.3
4/27 @PHI12.5 ($3.2K)--10 ($4K)--
4/26 @CIN34.4 ($3.2K)+20.726 ($3.7K)+15.7
4/25 @CIN6.2--5--