Salvador Perez Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 C)

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Salvador Perez is projected to be the best fantasy catcher in the upcoming season. In 2018, he was owned in 97 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 2.96 fantasy points per game in 138 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is up slightly from where he finished last season.

C RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#1Salvador Perez409.10.255 AVG, 32 HR, 100 RBI, 70 R, 28 BB
#2Gary Sanchez380.60.234 AVG, 29 HR, 86 RBI, 79 R, 47 BB, 2 SB
#3Yadier Molina360.10.272 AVG, 21 HR, 81 RBI, 59 R, 32 BB, 6 SB
#4Jacob Realmuto346.40.250 AVG, 20 HR, 68 RBI, 64 R, 44 BB, 3 SB
#5Buster Posey326.30.246 AVG, 15 HR, 64 RBI, 60 R, 48 BB, 2 SB

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Salvador Perez was the number #4 ranked catcher and the #120 ranked player overall. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (129). Based on average fantasy points he is the #7 catcher. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 3 FPs in his first 42 games and 2.7 FP in his final 43 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.27 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 2.6 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 14 fantasy points.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

The table below shows his relatively steady fantasy production over the past 2 seasons.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points331344
FP Average2.62.7
Regular Season GP129128
AVG0.2330.268
OPS0.7090.792
HR2727
RBI8080
R5257
SB11
BB1717
KO10895

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 14.4 fantasy points per week and had 5 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 3 weeks where he was +50% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL14.4 FP per Week35
Week 518.5 (7 games 2.6 per game)
Week 618.5 (7 games 2.6 per game)
Week 731.5 (6 games 5.2 per game)+17.1
Week 813.5 (6 games 2.2 per game)
Week 924.5 (7 games 3.5 per game)+10.1
Week 1011 (6 games 1.8 per game)
Week 1118 (7 games 2.6 per game)
Week 121.5 (5 games 0.3 per game)-12.9
Week 134.5 (5 games 0.9 per game)-9.9
Week 14-1.5 (6 games -0.2 per game)-15.9
Week 155 (5 games 1 per game)-9.4
Week 1621.5 (6 games 3.6 per game)
Week 1710 (3 games 3.3 per game)
Week 1839 (7 games 5.6 per game)+24.6
Week 1910.5 (6 games 1.8 per game)
Week 208.5 (6 games 1.4 per game)
Week 2118 (7 games 2.6 per game)
Week 2219.5 (7 games 2.8 per game)
Week 232.5 (1 games)-11.9
Week 249 (2 games 4.5 per game)
Week 2521.5 (5 games 4.3 per game)
Week 2613.5 (7 games 1.9 per game)
Week 2712.5 (5 games 2.5 per game)

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 10 points and on DraftKings it was 7.6 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 17 and on FanDuel it was 24.7 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All10 ($3K)25 G, 37 B7.6 ($3.8K)24 G, 35 B
9/30 CLE0 ($2.9K)-100 ($3.3K)-7.6
9/28 CLE15.7 ($2.9K)+5.712 ($3.6K)+4.4
9/27 CLE6.5 ($3K)--5 ($4.1K)--
9/26 @CIN9.5 ($3K)--7 ($4.2K)--
9/25 @CIN12.4 ($3K)--10--
9/23 @DET6 ($2.9K)--5 ($3.8K)--
9/22 @DET18.7 ($3K)+8.714 ($4.2K)+6.4
9/21 @DET6 ($3K)--5 ($3.8K)--
9/20 @DET3 ($3K)-72 ($3.9K)-5.6
9/19 @PIT0 ($3.1K)-100 ($4.3K)-7.6
9/18 @PIT3--3--
9/17 @PIT9.7 ($3K)--7 ($4.2K)--
9/15 MIN0 ($3K)-100 ($4.3K)-7.6
9/14 MIN35.7 ($3K)+25.725 ($4K)+17.4
9/13 MIN28.2 ($2.9K)+18.221 ($3.9K)+13.4
9/12 CHW6 ($2.8K)--5 ($3.8K)--
9/10 CHW3 ($2.8K)-73 ($4.3K)-4.6
9/8 @MIN3 ($2.9K)-72 ($3.9K)-5.6
9/7 @MIN25.7 ($3K)+15.718 ($3.7K)+10.4
8/28 DET9.2 ($3.1K)--8 ($3.7K)--
8/26 CLE18.7 ($2.8K)+8.714 ($3.9K)+6.4
8/25 CLE12.2 ($2.5K)--9 ($3.6K)--
8/24 CLE28.7 ($2.8K)+18.720 ($3.6K)+12.4
8/23 @TB3.5 ($2.9K)-6.52 ($3.9K)-5.6
8/22 @TB0 ($2.9K)-100 ($3.9K)-7.6
8/21 @TB3 ($2.9K)-73 ($3.4K)-4.6
8/20 @TB6 ($3K)--5 ($4K)--
8/19 @CHW0 ($3K)-100 ($4.1K)-7.6
8/18 @CHW3 ($3K)-73 ($4.2K)-4.6
8/17 @CHW6.5 ($3.2K)--5 ($4K)--
8/16 TOR3 ($2.9K)-73 ($3.6K)-4.6
8/15 TOR43.9 ($2.9K)+33.933 ($3.6K)+25.4
8/14 TOR18.7 ($3K)+8.714 ($3.5K)+6.4
8/13 TOR0 ($3K)-100 ($3.4K)-7.6
8/12 STL12.2 ($3K)--10 ($3.7K)--
8/11 STL3 ($3K)-72 ($3.5K)-5.6
8/10 STL6 ($3K)--5 ($3.7K)--
8/8 CHC0 ($3K)-100 ($4K)-7.6
8/7 CHC3 ($3.1K)-73 ($4K)-4.6
8/6 CHC6 ($3.1K)--5 ($4K)--
8/5 @MIN3 ($3.1K)-73 ($4.3K)-4.6
8/4 @MIN0 ($2.9K)-100 ($3.9K)-7.6
8/3 @MIN28.2 ($3K)+18.221 ($4.4K)+13.4
8/2 @CHW0 ($2.9K)-100 ($4.6K)-7.6
8/1 @CHW9.2 ($3.2K)--7 ($4.7K)--
7/31 @CHW0 ($3.4K)-100 ($4.5K)-7.6
7/29 @NYY21.7 ($3.1K)+11.717 ($3.8K)+9.4
7/28 @NYY24.7 ($3.1K)+14.719 ($4K)+11.4
7/28 @NYY19.2 ($3.1K)+9.214 ($4K)+6.4
7/26 @NYY22.2 ($3.2K)+12.216 ($4.1K)+8.4
7/25 DET3 ($2.9K)-73 ($3.5K)-4.6
7/24 DET31.2 ($2.9K)+21.224 ($3.7K)+16.4
7/23 DET6.2 ($2.9K)--5 ($4K)--
7/22 MIN0 ($2.8K)-100 ($3.8K)-7.6
7/21 MIN25.2 ($2.8K)+15.218 ($3.7K)+10.4
7/20 MIN13 ($2.9K)--9 ($3.6K)--
7/15 @CHW3 ($2.9K)-73 ($3.6K)-4.6
7/14 @CHW25.2 ($2.9K)+15.219 ($3.7K)+11.4
7/13 @CHW6.5 ($2.9K)--5 ($3.7K)--
7/11 @MIN28.7 ($2.7K)+18.721 ($3.8K)+13.4
7/10 @MIN6.5 ($2.7K)--5 ($3.5K)--
7/9 @MIN6 ($2.6K)--5 ($3.8K)--
7/7 BOS6.5 ($2.7K)--4 ($3.6K)--
7/6 BOS3 ($2.5K)-73 ($3.1K)-4.6
7/4 CLE6 ($2.5K)--6 ($3.4K)--
7/3 CLE3 ($2.5K)-72 ($3.6K)-5.6
7/2 CLE6.5 ($2.5K)--5 ($3.4K)--
7/1 @SEA6 ($2.4K)--5 ($3.6K)--
6/30 @SEA3 ($2.4K)-73 ($3.6K)-4.6
6/29 @SEA0 ($2.4K)-100 ($3.6K)-7.6
6/27 @MIL3--3--
6/26 @MIL0 ($2.6K)-100 ($3.6K)-7.6
6/25 LAA0 ($2.6K)-100 ($3.9K)-7.6
6/23 @HOU6.2 ($2.9K)--5 ($3.7K)--
6/22 @HOU6 ($2.9K)--5 ($3.7K)--
6/20 TEX3 ($3.1K)-73 ($3.7K)-4.6
6/19 TEX0 ($3.2K)-100 ($3.8K)-7.6
6/18 TEX3--3--
6/17 HOU9.2--8--
6/16 HOU0--0--
6/15 HOU0--0--
6/13 CIN0--0--
6/12 CIN6--5--
6/10 @OAK18.7--14--
6/9 @OAK0--0--
6/8 @OAK6--5--
6/7 @OAK3--3--
6/6 @LAA6.2--4--
6/5 @LAA0--0--
6/4 @LAA24.7--19--
6/3 OAK0--0--
6/2 OAK16--13--
6/1 OAK3--2--
5/30 MIN9.2--8--
5/29 MIN3--2--
5/28 MIN6--6--
5/27 @TEX25.2--19--
5/26 @TEX0--0--
5/25 @TEX0--0--
5/24 @TEX23--16--
5/23 @STL18.7--14--
5/22 @STL18.7--14--
5/21 @STL3--3--
5/20 NYY0--0--
5/19 NYY9--7--
5/18 NYY34.7--25--
5/16 TB0--0--
5/15 TB0--0--
5/14 TB3 ($3.5K)-72 ($3.8K)-5.6
5/13 @CLE15.7 ($3.2K)+5.712 ($3.8K)+4.4
5/12 @CLE3.5 ($3.6K)-6.52-5.6
5/11 @CLE25.4 ($3.3K)+15.418 ($3.7K)+10.4
5/10 @BAL29.2 ($3.3K)+19.220 ($3.9K)+12.4
5/9 @BAL9.2 ($3.2K)--8 ($3.7K)--
5/8 @BAL22.2 ($3.2K)+12.216 ($3.7K)+8.4
5/6 DET6.5 ($3.4K)--5 ($3.7K)--
5/5 DET0 ($3.5K)-100 ($3.7K)-7.6
5/4 DET3 ($3.1K)-72 ($3.6K)-5.6
5/3 DET34.4 ($3.3K)+24.425 ($3.8K)+17.4
5/2 @BOS3.5 ($3.3K)-6.52-5.6
5/1 @BOS15.2 ($3.3K)+5.211 ($3.2K)--
4/30 @BOS9.5 ($3.3K)--7 ($3.5K)--
4/29 CHW9.2 ($3.1K)--8 ($3.3K)--
4/28 CHW12.4 ($3.1K)--9 ($3.3K)--
4/28 CHW9 ($3.1K)--7 ($3.3K)--
4/27 CHW6.2 ($3K)--5 ($3.3K)--
4/26 CHW9.2 ($3K)--8 ($3.5K)--
4/25 MIL3.5 ($2.7K)-6.52 ($3.2K)-5.6
4/24 MIL18.7 ($2.7K)+8.714 ($3.2K)+6.4