Schebler DraftKings Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

There are 2 other options at $3300 (Travis Jankowski, Guillermo Heredia) and Schebler is the best option of these 3. Instead of Schebler consider these better options at lower salaries: Jackie Bradley (8 FP), Chris Taylor (6.5 FP), Aaron Altherr (5.9 FP), and Mike Gerber (6.4 FP). Sean Rodriguez (4.8 FP), Melky Cabrera (4.5 FP), Matt Joyce (4.9 FP), Charlie Culberson (2.8 FP), and Robbie Grossman (5.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Schebler but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 5.6 FPs, a value reached in 58 of 137 games (42%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 37%.

  • 5/4 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CIN 4.7 (#9 Most Today) vs SF 4.3 (#14 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 5.74 Fantasy Points (#77), 3.45 plate appearances (#67), 0.216 BA (#114), 0.687 OPS (#96), 0.11 HR (#53), 0.41 RBI (#56), 0.44 runs (#65), 0.02 stolen bases (#88),
Lower SalaryS. ScheblerHigher Salary
J. Bradley (8 FP)6 FPS. Rodriguez (5 FP)
C. Taylor (6 FP)#125 OutfieldM. Cabrera (4 FP)
A. Altherr (6 FP) 
M. Joyce (5 FP)
M. Gerber (6 FP) 
C. Culberson (2.8 FP)
 
 
R. Grossman (5 FP)

FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 7.8 FanDuel pts Scott Schebler is the #80 ranked outfielder. At $2200 he is expected to be the #122 outfielder. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.7K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 3 other options at $2200 (Matt Kemp, Roman Quinn, Joey Rickard) and Schebler is ranked #2 among the 4. Instead of Schebler consider these better options at lower salaries: Juan Lagares (8.1 FP), Aaron Altherr (8.1 FP), Socrates Brito (8.2 FP), Keon Broxton (8.2 FP), and Tyler Naquin (9 FP). Curtis Granderson (7.7 FP), Melky Cabrera (5.7 FP), Ben Zobrist (7 FP), Carlos Gonzalez (7.7 FP), and Jay Bruce (6.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Schebler but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.1 FPs, a value reached in 78 of 137 games (57%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 44%.

Schebler is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

In week 7 rankings vs other outfielders, Hunter Pence (10.4 FP), Alex Gordon (14.1 FP), Ben Zobrist (13.8 FP), Ryan Braun (13.2 FP), and Lorenzo Cain (15 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Schebler but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 5% of leagues he is expected to produce 11.2 fantasy points (WK 7). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #82 outfielder of week 7. He is projected to be better than that (the #36 outfielder). His per game projected FP average is 2.6 which is better than his actual per game average (1.7). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing a projected 6 games.

He is projected for 15.4 fantasy points in week 7 (#36 OF) in 6 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
15.43 (#36) 
Avg 
 
0.241 (#109)
OPS 
 
0.667 (#78)
Home Runs1.04 (#24) 
 
Runs 
3.1 (#38) 
RBI 
 
2.46 (#58)
Stolen Bases 
 
0.14 (#100)

  • Based on 5/4 start percentages, Scott Schebler is valued behind Gonzalez and above Fowler but the projections rank Scott Schebler over Gonzalez in week 7.
  • May 6May 7May 8May 9May 10May 11May 12
    2.3 FP vs SF2 FP @OAK2 FP @OAK2.4 FP @OAK2 FP @SF2.4 FP @SF2.4 FP @SF

    Scott Schebler last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    5/3 vs SF0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-2
    5/2 @NYM0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-3
    5/1 @NYM0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-2
    4/29 @NYM2 FP, 9 FD, 6 DK0-2, 1 R, 2 BB
    4/28 @STL4 FP, 13 FD, 9 DK1-4, 2 RBI

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (16%), Scott Schebler is expected to be the #88 outfielder for the rest of the season. His projection based outfielder rank is #67. There could be an opportunity to acquire him while the market is still not as high on them as the projections are. Unless someone offers an even better outfielder value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 267 fantasy points in 111 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#117) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Scott Schebler behind Hernandez and above Pence but the projections rank Scott Schebler over Hernandez.

    Lower Own%S. Schebler ROSHigher Own%
    T. Naquin (271 FP)267 FPJ. Bruce (217 FP)
    B. McKinney (284 FP)#88 OutfieldM. Gonzalez (234 FP)
     
     
    A. Garcia (251 FP)
     
     
    L. Garcia (163 FP)
     
     
    A. Pollock (174 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    267 (#67) 
    Avg 
     
    0.224 (#147)
    OPS 
     
    0.719 (#115)
    Home Runs18 (#41) 
     
    Runs57 (#57) 
     
    RBI 
    49 (#65) 
    Stolen Bases 
     
    3 (#101)
    Strikeouts 
     
    114 (#124)

    He has more relative weaknesses than strengths which hurts his value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 6 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 6.2 FPs in 2 of them. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL6.2 FP per Week22
    Week 1-1.5 (2 games -0.8 per game)-7.8
    Week 210.5 (7 games 1.5 per game)+4.2
    Week 313.5 (5 games 2.7 per game)+7.2
    Week 45 (6 games 0.8 per game)
    Week 58 (6 games 1.3 per game)
    Week 62 (4 games 0.5 per game)-4.2

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 5.2 points and on DraftKings it was 3.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 8 and 12.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All5.2 ($2.4K)8 G, 15 B3.8 ($3.6K)7 G, 10 B
    5/3 SF0 ($2.4K)-5.20 ($3.5K)-3.8
    5/2 @NYM0 ($2.4K)-5.20 ($3.2K)-3.8
    5/1 @NYM0 ($2.3K)-5.20 ($3K)-3.8
    4/29 @NYM9.2 ($2.5K)+46 ($3.2K)+2.2
    4/28 @STL13 ($2.1K)+7.89 ($3.1K)+5.2
    4/27 @STL6.2 ($2.1K)--4 ($3.3K)--
    4/26 @STL12.4 ($2K)+7.28 ($3.3K)+4.2
    4/25 ATL6.2 ($2.1K)--4 ($3.3K)--
    4/24 ATL0 ($2.1K)-5.20 ($3.6K)-3.8
    4/23 ATL3 ($2K)--2 ($3.7K)--
    4/21 @SD0 ($2.2K)-5.20 ($3.5K)-3.8
    4/20 @SD9.2 ($2.3K)+49 ($3.4K)+5.2
    4/19 @SD0 ($2.4K)-5.20 ($3.6K)-3.8
    4/18 @SD6.2 ($2.4K)--4 ($3.7K)--
    4/17 @LAD0 ($2.4K)-5.20-3.8
    4/15 @LAD0 ($2.5K)-5.20 ($3.5K)-3.8
    4/14 STL0 ($2.6K)-5.20-3.8
    4/13 STL12.7 ($2.6K)+7.59 ($3.9K)+5.2
    4/11 MIA0 ($2.6K)-5.20-3.8
    4/10 MIA0 ($2.4K)-5.20-3.8
    4/9 MIA31.2 ($2.2K)+2624+20.2
    4/7 @PIT21.7 ($2.2K)+16.517 ($3.9K)+13.2
    4/6 @PIT6.2 ($2.3K)--5--
    4/5 @PIT0 ($2.2K)-5.20 ($4.1K)-3.8
    4/4 @PIT9 ($2.2K)+3.87 ($4.2K)+3.2
    4/3 MIL0 ($2.3K)-5.20-3.8
    4/2 MIL3.5 ($2.4K)--2--
    4/1 MIL6 ($2.6K)--4--
    3/31 PIT0 ($2.8K)-5.20 ($4.2K)-3.8
    3/28 PIT0 ($2.9K)-5.20 ($3.7K)-3.8