Shane Bieber Is a Better Value on DraftKings at $10.4K Than on FanDuel at $10.8 on 7/19

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is a better value on DrafKings than on FanDuel based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 36.7 FD points and is worth -$473 less than $10.8K on FD. On DK he is projected for 20.2 points and is worth +$237 more than $10.4K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (P) 7/19 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Justin Verlander43.1 FD Points$10700
#2 Jacob deGrom39.9 FD Points$10600
#3 Shane Bieber36.7 FD Points$10800
#4 Hyun-Jin Ryu36.7 FD Points$10500
#5 Patrick Corbin34.1 FD Points$11000
DRAFTKINGS (SP) 7/19 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#2 Jacob deGrom22.2 DK Points$10600
#3 Hyun-Jin Ryu20.4 DK Points$11000
#4 Shane Bieber20.2 DK Points$10400
#5 David Price18.1 DK Points$9300
#6 Patrick Corbin18 DK Points$10800

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Shane Bieber to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 55 projected fantasy points puts him at #14 behind Luis Castillo and ahead of Stephen Strasburg. He has averaged 3.68 fantasy points in his past 40 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 4.23 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#18) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 98%, he is the #5 most highly owned starting pitcher. Shane Bieber is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #9 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (SP) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#12 Zack Greinke (98% OWN)57 FP, 4.77 per game116 FP, 34 gp, 3.42 per game (#26)
#13 Luis Castillo (97% OWN)57 FP, 4.35 per game116 FP, 34 gp, 3.42 per game (#26)
#14 Shane Bieber (98% OWN)55 FP, 4.23 per game42 FP, 20 gp, 2.08 per game (#41)
#15 Stephen Strasburg (98% OWN)53 FP, 4.84 per game64 FP, 22 gp, 2.91 per game (#31)
#16 Aaron Nola (98% OWN)53 FP, 4.44 per game218 FP, 33 gp, 6.6 per game (#7)

WEEK 17 AND 18 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Shane Bieber is projected for 5.24 fantasy points in one game the rest of week which is good enough to be the #8 ranked starting pitcher and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average game with more fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above David Price but behind Jacob deGrom the rest of the week. Week 18 will not be as good based on projected rank (#22). He is projected for 4.84 fantasy points.

7/19 TO 7/21 RANK (SP)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#6 Blake Snell (98% OWN)6 FP (84% ST)4.96 FP
#7 Jacob deGrom (98% OWN)5.5 FP (92% ST)5.5 FP
#8 Shane Bieber (98% OWN)5.2 FP (91% ST)4.23 FP
#9 David Price (97% OWN)5.1 FP (84% ST)3.6 FP
#10 Kyle Hendricks (96% OWN)4.67 FP (70% ST)3.56 FP
7/22 TO 7/28 RANK (SP)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#20 Jose Berrios (98% OWN)4.93 FP (79% ST)4.47 FP
#21 Merrill Kelly (61% OWN)4.92 FP (36% ST)2.81 FP
#22 Shane Bieber (98% OWN)4.84 FP (91% ST)4.23 FP
#23 Walker Buehler (98% OWN)4.76 FP (87% ST)6.4 FP
#24 Brendan McKay (82% OWN)4.63 FP (27% ST)1.66 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

SHANE BIEBERFPWINLOSSIPKBB
Rest of 2019555.82.4778716.8
-- Per Game (13 Proj)4.30.450.186.06.71.3
7/15 to 7/21 (1 Game)5.20.510.125.76.81.2
7/22 to 7/28 (1 Game)4.80.400.206.46.51.3
2019 Season1068311915024
-- Per Game (20 GP)5.30.400.155.97.51.2
2018 to 201914719822926847
-- Per Game (40 GP)3.70.480.205.76.71.2