Steven Matz Is a Better Value on FanDuel at $8.3K Than on DraftKings at $8.5K on 8/25

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is a better value on FanDuel than on DraftKings based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 27.9 FD points and is worth -$479 less than $8.3K on FD. On DK he is projected for 14.3 points and is worth -$561 less than $8.5K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (P) 8/25 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#12 Reynaldo Lopez28.3 FD Points$7400
#13 Brock Burke28.1 FD Points$6700
#14 Steven Matz27.9 FD Points$8300
#15 Dylan Bundy27.8 FD Points$7100
#16 Joey Lucchesi27.5 FD Points$7400
DRAFTKINGS (SP) 8/25 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#6 Matt Boyd16.6 DK Points$10300
#7 Cole Hamels15.5 DK Points$9300
#8 Steven Matz14.3 DK Points$8500
#9 Brock Burke14.2 DK Points$6200
#10 Dallas Keuchel14.2 DK Points$8900

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

According to our projection, you can expect Steven Matz to be a bench player or a good option off the waiver wire. His 3.52 projected fantasy points puts him at #97 behind Dereck Rodriguez and ahead of Andrew Heaney. He has averaged -0.2 fantasy points in his past 58 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 0.53 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#106) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 79%, he is the #62 most highly owned starting pitcher. Steven Matz is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #73 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (SP) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#95 Reynaldo Lopez (53% OWN)3.6 FP, 0.55 per game240 FP, 118 gp, 2 per game (#42)
#96 Dereck Rodriguez (12% OWN)3.6 FP, 0.54 per game49 FP, 21 gp, 2.33 per game (#40)
#97 Steven Matz (79% OWN)3.5 FP, 0.53 per game49 FP, 21 gp, 2.33 per game (#40)
#98 Andrew Heaney (74% OWN)3.5 FP, 0.53 per game26 FP, 30 gp, 0.87 per game (#64)
#99 Dallas Keuchel (95% OWN)3.4 FP, 0.52 per game26 FP, 30 gp, 0.87 per game (#64)

WEEK 22 AND 23 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Steven Matz is projected for 0.38 fantasy points in 2 games the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #17 ranked starting pitcher and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a below average week with fewer fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Dallas Keuchel but behind Joey Lucchesi the rest of the week. Week 23 will not be as good based on projected rank (#81). He is projected for 0.64 fantasy points.

8/25 TO 8/25 RANK (SP)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#15 Michael Wacha (31% OWN)0.5 FP (19% ST)0.54 FP
#16 Joey Lucchesi (83% OWN)0.47 FP (47% ST)1.46 FP
#17 Steven Matz (79% OWN)0.38 FP (56% ST)0.53 FP
#18 Dallas Keuchel (95% OWN)0.37 FP (78% ST)0.52 FP
#19 Brad Peacock (42% OWN)0.03 FP (11% ST)1.2 FP
8/26 TO 9/1 RANK (SP)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#79 Jordan Lyles (41% OWN)0.73 FP (22% ST)0.74 FP
#80 Jordan Yamamoto (56% OWN)0.67 FP (29% ST)-0.57 FP
#81 Steven Matz (79% OWN)0.64 FP (56% ST)0.53 FP
#82 Matt Boyd (93% OWN)0.58 FP (53% ST)2.08 FP
#83 Joe Ross (52% OWN)0.54 FP (36% ST)-0.32 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

STEVEN MATZFPWINLOSSIPKBB
Rest of 20193.51.92.1353310.4
-- Per Game (7 Proj)0.530.290.325.34.91.6
8/19 to 8/25 (2 Games)0.380.290.295.15.31.6
8/26 to 9/1 (2 Games)0.640.270.325.54.91.7
2019 Season12.78712311637
-- Per Game (28 GP)0.450.290.254.44.11.3
2018 to 2019-11.57131827426895
-- Per Game (58 GP)-0.200.220.314.74.61.6