Tyler White is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#10 1B/DH)

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Tyler White is projected to be an elite fantasy first baseman and worth a high draft pick. In our latest projection he is the #10 first baseman based on total projected fantasy points. At the end of the 2018 season he was owned in just 67 percent of leagues. This should go up next season. He is projected to average 3.11 fantasy points per game in 151 games.

1B/DH RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#8Freddie Freeman479.30.298 AVG, 24 HR, 92 RBI, 86 R, 72 BB, 9 SB
#9Matt Carpenter478.40.258 AVG, 32 HR, 74 RBI, 100 R, 95 BB, 3 SB
#10Tyler White469.30.281 AVG, 29 HR, 98 RBI, 72 R, 64 BB
#11Carlos Santana462.50.247 AVG, 25 HR, 86 RBI, 83 R, 87 BB
#12Max Muncy452.50.261 AVG, 37 HR, 86 RBI, 85 R, 90 BB, 4 SB

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He was the number #54 ranked 1B and the #362 ranked player overall. We split his 65 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 22 games he averaged 4.4 fantasy points which was higher than his start (1.8 FP) and his ending average (2.2 FP). His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.27 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 2.8 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 14 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He was sble to improve his fantasy production significantly this season. His average Fantasy points increased by 17% this season.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points18248
FP Average2.82.4
Regular Season GP6520
AVG0.2710.298
OPS0.8790.910
HR123
RBI4210
R277
SB00
BB244
KO4914

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 12.2 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 5 weeks where he was +50% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL12.2 FP per Week56
Week 121.5 (2 games 0.8 per game)-10.7
Week 132.5 (4 games 0.6 per game)-9.7
Week 143.5 (3 games 1.2 per game)-8.7
Week 152.5 (1 games)-9.7
Week 1612 (5 games 2.4 per game)
Week 1810 (1 games)
Week 196 (5 games 1.2 per game)-6.2
Week 2024 (6 games 4 per game)+11.8
Week 2116.5 (4 games 4.1 per game)
Week 2220 (5 games 4 per game)+7.8
Week 2336.5 (7 games 5.2 per game)+24.3
Week 2419.5 (6 games 3.2 per game)+7.3
Week 2520 (6 games 3.3 per game)+7.8
Week 267 (5 games 1.4 per game)
Week 271 (5 games 0.2 per game)-11.2

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 10.1 FD points and 7.5 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 16 and 24.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All10.1 ($3K)16 G, 24 B7.5 ($3.9K)13 G, 23 B
9/29 @BAL3 ($3.8K)-7.13 ($4K)-4.5
9/29 @BAL0--0--
9/28 @BAL0 ($3.9K)-10.10 ($4.1K)-7.5
9/26 @TOR0 ($3.8K)-10.10 ($4K)-7.5
9/25 @TOR9.5 ($3.8K)--7 ($3.9K)--
9/23 LAA9 ($4K)--8 ($4.7K)--
9/22 LAA3.5 ($4K)-6.62 ($4.1K)-5.5
9/21 LAA6.2 ($4.2K)--5 ($4.7K)--
9/19 SEA0 ($4K)-10.10 ($4.9K)-7.5
9/18 SEA9.5 ($4K)--7 ($4.1K)--
9/16 ARI9.5 ($3.9K)--7 ($4K)--
9/15 ARI6 ($4K)--4 ($4.1K)--
9/14 ARI6 ($4.1K)--5 ($4.4K)--
9/12 @DET6.5 ($4.1K)--4 ($4.6K)--
9/11 @DET22.2 ($4.3K)+12.116 ($4.5K)+8.5
9/10 @DET15.7 ($4.2K)+5.612 ($4.6K)+4.5
9/9 @BOS22.2 ($3.9K)+12.116+8.5
9/8 @BOS21.7 ($4.1K)+11.616 ($4.6K)+8.5
9/7 @BOS12.7 ($4K)--9 ($4.6K)--
9/5 MIN0 ($4.1K)-10.10 ($4K)-7.5
9/4 MIN9.7 ($4K)--7 ($4.2K)--
9/3 MIN6.2 ($4.1K)--5 ($4.4K)--
9/2 LAA6 ($4.1K)--5--
9/1 LAA16.2 ($4K)+6.111 ($4.3K)--
8/31 LAA3 ($3.7K)-7.12 ($4.4K)-5.5
8/30 LAA25.2 ($3.1K)+15.119 ($4.6K)+11.5
8/29 OAK24.7 ($3K)+14.619 ($3.9K)+11.5
8/28 OAK9.7 ($3K)--7 ($3.9K)--
8/27 OAK35.2 ($3K)+25.125 ($4.4K)+17.5
8/25 @LAA0 ($3.6K)-10.10 ($3.6K)-7.5
8/24 @LAA22.2 ($3.3K)+12.116 ($4.2K)+8.5
8/22 @SEA37.4 ($3K)+27.329 ($4.2K)+21.5
8/21 @SEA9 ($2.9K)--8 ($3.6K)--
8/20 @SEA0 ($2.8K)-10.10 ($3.8K)-7.5
8/19 @OAK3 ($2.8K)-7.13 ($4.1K)-4.5
8/17 @OAK3 ($2.3K)-7.15 ($3.5K)--
8/15 COL44.4 ($2.3K)+34.332 ($4.2K)+24.5
8/14 COL3 ($2.3K)-7.12 ($3.6K)-5.5
8/12 SEA0 ($2.3K)-10.10 ($3.8K)-7.5
8/11 SEA13 ($2.3K)--9 ($4.2K)--
8/10 SEA6.2 ($2K)--5 ($3.6K)--
8/9 SEA34.4 ($2K)+24.325 ($3.8K)+17.5
8/7 @SF31.2 ($2.1K)+21.124 ($3.9K)+16.5
8/6 @SF0 ($2.2K)-10.10 ($3.4K)-7.5
8/5 @LAD3 ($2.2K)-7.13 ($3.2K)-4.5
8/4 @LAD15.7 ($2.3K)+5.611 ($3.4K)--
8/3 @LAD0 ($2.2K)-10.10 ($4K)-7.5
7/31 @SEA6 ($2K)--6 ($3.4K)--
7/30 @SEA0 ($2K)-10.10 ($2.6K)-7.5
7/29 TEX30.9--24--
7/14 DET22.2 ($2.1K)+12.116 ($3.5K)+8.5
7/12 OAK0 ($2K)-10.10 ($3.4K)-7.5
7/11 OAK21.7 ($2K)+11.616 ($3.3K)+8.5
7/10 OAK0 ($2.1K)-10.10 ($3.8K)-7.5
7/9 OAK0 ($2.1K)-10.10 ($3.5K)-7.5
7/5 CHW9 ($2.1K)--7 ($3.5K)--
7/1 @TB3 ($2.1K)-7.12 ($3.5K)-5.5
6/30 @TB3 ($2.1K)-7.12 ($3.5K)-5.5
6/28 @TB9 ($2K)--8 ($3.5K)--
6/24 KC3 ($2K)-7.12 ($3.1K)-5.5
6/22 KC0 ($2K)-10.10 ($2.7K)-7.5
6/19 TB6 ($2.1K)--5 ($2.7K)--
6/18 TB0--0--
6/17 @KC6--5--
6/16 @KC0--0--