Washington Nationals Power Ranking: Surprisingly Still Top 5

1LOS ANGELES DODGERS (9-8, 52.9%): Winning 62% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 100-62

They have a 35.4 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 5/2). The odds of them winning the World Series are 5/1 and they win it all in 20.6 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances have dropped since 4/8 when they were at 29.1 percent.

2HOUSTON ASTROS (11-5, 68.8%): Winning 61% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 101-61

They have a 31.8 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 11/4). They have a 17.3 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 6/1). Their chances are up significantly since 4/8 where they were at 11.5%.

3NEW YORK YANKEES (6-9, 40%): Winning 61% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 94-68

Their current odds of winning the AL are 11/4 and in simulations they win the conference 17.7% of the time. The odds of them winning the World Series are 6/1 and they win it all in 9.6 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances have dropped since 3/29 when they were at 19.1 percent.

4WASHINGTON NATIONALS (7-7, 50%): Winning 59% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 94-68

Computer simulations give them a 16.9% chance of winning the NL with Vegas odds at 8/1. They have a 9% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 16/1. Their chances are up significantly from 3.6% on 4/3. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 4/3.

5MILWAUKEE BREWERS (10-6, 62.5%): Winning 58% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 91-71

They have a 14.6 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 6/1). They have a 7.8% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 12/1. Their chances are up significantly from 3.6% on 3/19. Their power ranking is better than their projected record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #7.

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6BOSTON RED SOX (6-10, 37.5%): Winning 58% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 92-70

They have a 12.6 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 4/1). They have a 6% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 8/1. Their chances are down from 11.1% on March 27.

7CHICAGO CUBS (5-9, 35.7%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 87-75

Computer simulations give them a 6.7% chance of winning the NL with Vegas odds at 9/1. They have a 3.5 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 18/1). Their chances have dropped since 3/30 when they were at 8.8 percent. Their power ranking is better than their projected record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #14.

8PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (9-5, 64.3%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 89-73

They have an 8 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 6/1). They have a 4.1 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 12/1). Their chances are down from 6.9% on April 6. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 4/4.

9OAKLAND ATHLETICS (10-9, 52.6%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 89-73

They have a 4.5 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 20/1). They have a 2 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 40/1). Their chances are up significantly since 4/9 where they were at 0.6%. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 4/9.

10ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (9-6, 60%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 91-71

They have an 8.5 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 7/1). They have a 4.2 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 14/1). Their chances are up significantly from 2.3% on 4/8.

11TAMPA BAY RAYS (12-4, 75%): Winning 55% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 96-66

Computer simulations give them a 16.2% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 12/1. They have a 6.7% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 25/1. Their chances are up significantly since 3/29 where they were at 1.1%. Their power ranking is not as good as their projected record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #3.

12ATLANTA BRAVES (9-6, 60%): Winning 53% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 88-74

Their current odds of winning the NL are 10/1 and in simulations they win the conference 4.3% of the time. The odds of them winning the World Series are 20/1 and they win it all in 1.7 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are up significantly since 4/1 where they were at 0.5%. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 4/1.

13SEATTLE MARINERS (13-5, 72.2%): Winning 53% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 88-74

Their current odds of winning the AL are 10/1 and in simulations they win the conference 3.4% of the time. They have a 1.3% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 20/1. Their chances are down from 2.7% on April 11. Their power ranking is up 6 spots since 3/11.

14NEW YORK METS (9-6, 60%): Winning 53% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 85-77

They have a 3.2 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 10/1). They have a 1.2 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 20/1). Their chances have held steady over the past month. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 3/11.

15LOS ANGELES ANGELS (8-7, 53.3%): Winning 51% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 82-80

They have a 12% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 22% back on 3/24. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 4/1.

16ARIZONA D-BACKS (7-9, 43.8%): Winning 50% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 83-79

They have a 20% chance of making the playoffs. This is a big jump from the 9% chance they had back on 3/30.

17CLEVELAND INDIANS (8-7, 53.3%): Winning 49% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 89-73

Their current odds of winning the AL are 11/2 and in simulations they win the conference 7.8% of the time. They have a 2.4 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 12/1). Their chances have dropped since 3/24 when they were at 5.2 percent. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 3/18. Their power ranking is not as good as their projected record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #9.

18PITTSBURGH PIRATES (8-6, 57.1%): Winning 49% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 79-83

They have a 10% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 18% back on 4/1. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 4/1.

19MINNESOTA TWINS (8-4, 66.7%): Winning 48% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 85-77

They have a 4.6 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 10/1). They have a 1.4% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 20/1. Their chances are up significantly from 0.4% on 3/20. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 3/18.

20COLORADO ROCKIES (4-12, 25%): Winning 47% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 71-91

On 3/27 their projected win total was up to 87 wins. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 3/29.

21TEXAS RANGERS (7-7, 50%): Winning 45% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 72-90

Their projected win total is down from 77 wins on April 5. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 3/11.

22SAN DIEGO PADRES (11-6, 64.7%): Winning 44% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 72-90

Their projected win total is down since 3/7 when it was at 67. While not great, they still have an outside shot at making the playoffs (1.6%).

23SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (7-10, 41.2%): Winning 44% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 69-93

On 3/11 their projected win total was up to 72 wins.

24KANSAS CITY ROYALS (5-10, 33.3%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 73-89

On 3/18 their projected win total was up to 78 wins. They still have a small 2.5% chance of making the playoffs. Their power ranking is not as good as their projected record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #20.

25CINCINNATI REDS (5-9, 35.7%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 64-98

Their projected win total is down from 68 wins on March 31. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 3/11.

26CHICAGO WHITE SOX (5-9, 35.7%): Winning 40% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 67-95

Their projected win total is down from 70 wins on April 6.

27TORONTO BLUE JAYS (5-11, 31.2%): Winning 39% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 64-98

On 3/9 their projected win total was up to 70 wins.

28MIAMI MARLINS (4-12, 25%): Winning 38% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 56-106

Their projected win total is down from 65 wins on March 19.

29BALTIMORE ORIOLES (6-10, 37.5%): Winning 37% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 59-103

Their projected win total is down since 2/20 when it was at 53.

30DETROIT TIGERS (8-7, 53.3%): Winning 34% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 62-100

Their projected win total is down from 65 wins on April 8.