Which First Baseman-DH Do You Draft First? Nelson Cruz or Freddie Freeman?

DRAFT ADVICE AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest pre-season projection, you can expect Nelson Cruz will be an elite fantasy starter. His 566.12 projected fantasy points puts him ahead of Freddie Freeman making him our #1 ranked first baseman. He has averaged 3.98 fantasy points in his past 120 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.88 fantasy points. He is underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 98%, he is the #10 most highly owned first baseman. Nelson Cruz is expected to improve on last season's #10 fantasy position rank.

NEXT SEASON RANK (1B/DH) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS IN 2019
#1 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)566 FP, 3.88 per game478 FP, 120 gp, 3.98 per game (#2)
#2 Freddie Freeman (98% OWN)518 FP, 3.3 per game592 FP, 158 gp, 3.75 per game (#3)
#3 Jose Abreu (99% OWN)513 FP, 3.52 per game499 FP, 159 gp, 3.14 per game (#14)
#4 Yordan Alvarez (97% OWN)512 FP, 3.4 per game348 FP, 87 gp, 4 per game (#1)
#5 Anthony Rizzo (98% OWN)512 FP, 3.29 per game506 FP, 146 gp, 3.47 per game (#10)

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

NELSON CRUZ WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Nelson Cruz is projected for 13.51 fantasy points in 4 games the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #1 ranked first baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is the highest ranked first baseman the rest of the week, ahead of Yordan Alvarez. Week 2 will be slightly worse based on projected rank (#3). He is projected for 21.82 fantasy points.

WEEK 1 RANK (1B/DH)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)13.5 FP3.88 FP
#2 Yordan Alvarez (97% OWN)12.4 FP3.4 FP
#3 Rhys Hoskins (99% OWN)12.1 FP3.02 FP
#4 Freddie Freeman (98% OWN)11.8 FP3.3 FP
#5 J.D. Martinez (99% OWN)11.7 FP3.26 FP
WEEK 2 RANK (1B/DH)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Carlos Santana (99% OWN)23.3 FP3.44 FP
#2 J.D. Martinez (99% OWN)23.2 FP3.26 FP
#3 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)21.8 FP3.88 FP
#4 Freddie Freeman (98% OWN)20.4 FP3.3 FP
#5 Anthony Rizzo (98% OWN)19 FP3.29 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

NELSON CRUZFPHRRBIRBBSB
2020 Projection5664813198740.6
-- Per Game (146 Proj)3.90.330.900.670.510.00
3/26 to 3/29 (3.6 Games)13.51.22.92.21.80.01
3/30 to 4/5 (5.4 Games)21.81.94.93.72.70.03
2019 Season4784110881560
-- Per Game (120 GP)4.00.340.900.680.470.00