Will the Minnesota Twins Go Over or Under 84 Wins in 2019?

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The regular season went worse than expected. They won 78 games vs an expected win total of 79.4. They met expectations at home, it was on the road that they struggled. They won 35.8% on the road which was much worse than expected (45.2%). They won 49 at home and were expected to win 42.9. We are projecting a +5.4 win improvement next season. They are averaging 83.4 wins per simulation and are projected to finish eighth in the American League. They have a nice projected cushion over the #9 ranked Royals who are projected for 76.1 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is -0.23 which ranks #9 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #7 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #10 in road games.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 162 Games4.6 (#6)0.250 (#7)0.584 (#10)
Road4.2 (#10)0.239 (#9)0.553 (#12)
Home4.9 (#5)0.261 (#3)0.616 (#5)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.8 (#9)0.256 (#10)0.588 (#7)
Road5.1 (#11)0.261 (#100.594 (#7)
Home4.5 (#9)0.252 (#12)0.584 (#8)

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TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Twins in all of their games would have earned a +1149 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have delivered a +595 profit risking 100 units on each game (85-77 PL). The Twins have lost against the run line on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.

Season RecapGS-GAMoney LineRun Line RecordO/U Record
All Games4.6 - 4.878-84, +114985-77, +59580-78 50.6% Over
On Road4.2 - 5.129-52, -193141-40, -47140-39 50.6% Over
At Home4.9 - 4.549-32, +114944-37, +106540-39 50.6% Over
9/30 CHW5-4Win +76Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
9/29 CHW8-3Win +71Covered -1.5Over 8
9/28 CHW12-4Win +74Covered -1.5Over 9
9/28 CHW2-1Win +60Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
9/27 DET9-3Win +78Covered -1.5Over 9
9/26 DET11-4Win +71Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/25 DET2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
9/23 @OAK5-1Win +170Covered +1.5Under 8.5
9/22 @OAK2-3Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
9/21 @OAK6-7Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 8
9/19 @DET8-2Win +83Covered -1.5Over 9
9/18 @DET5-3Win +93Covered -1.5Under 8.5
9/17 @DET6-1Win +89Covered +1.5Under 9
9/16 @KC9-6Win +95Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/15 @KC3-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
9/14 @KC4-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
9/13 @KC4-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
9/12 NYY3-1Win +190Covered +1.5Under 9
9/11 NYY10-5Win +165Covered +1.5Over 9.5
9/10 NYY2-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
9/9 KC3-1Win +75Covered -1.5Under 9.5
9/8 KC1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
9/7 KC10-6Win +61Covered -1.5Over 9.5
9/5 @HOU1-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
9/4 @HOU2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 7.5
9/3 @HOU1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 7.5
9/2 @TEX4-18Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 11
9/1 @TEX4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10
8/31 @TEX10-7Win +109Covered +1.5Over 11.5
8/30 @CLE3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
8/29 @CLE4-3Win +170Covered +1.5Under 10
8/28 @CLE1-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Push 9
8/26 OAK2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/25 OAK2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
8/24 OAK1-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
8/23 OAK6-4Win +155Covered +1.5Over 9.5
8/22 @CHW3-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
8/21 @CHW5-2Win +96Covered +1.5Under 8.5
8/20 CHW5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
8/19 DET5-4Win +53Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
8/18 DET5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
8/17 DET5-4Win +56Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
8/16 DET15-8Win +61Covered -1.5Over 9.5
8/15 PIT6-4Win +86Covered -1.5Over 8
8/14 PIT5-2Win +115Covered +1.5Under 9
8/12 @DET2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
8/11 @DET4-3Win +77Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
8/10 @DET3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/9 @CLE4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 7.5
8/8 @CLE2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
8/7 @CLE3-2Win +220Covered +1.5Under 8.5
8/6 @CLE0-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
8/5 KC6-5Win +77Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
8/4 KC8-2Win +42Covered -1.5Over 9
8/3 KC6-4Win +49Covered -1.5Over 9.5
8/1 CLE0-2Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
7/31 CLE2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
7/30 CLE5-4Win +130Covered +1.5Under 10
7/29 @BOS0-3Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
7/28 @BOS4-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 10.5
7/27 @BOS3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9
7/26 @BOS2-1Win +152Covered +1.5Under 10
7/25 @TOR12-6Win +83Covered -1.5Over 9.5
7/24 @TOR5-0Win +88Covered -1.5Under 8.5
7/23 @TOR8-3Win +113Covered +1.5Over 9.5
7/22 @KC3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/21 @KC2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/20 @KC5-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
7/15 TB11-7Win +92Covered -1.5Over 9
7/14 TB6-19Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
7/13 TB11-8Win +95Covered +1.5Over 8.5
7/12 TB5-1Win +131Covered +1.5Under 8
7/11 KC8-5Win +48Covered -1.5Over 9.5
7/10 KC4-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10
7/9 KC3-1Win +50Covered -1.5Under 8.5
7/8 BAL10-1Win +67Covered -1.5Over 9.5
7/7 BAL5-4Win +70Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
7/6 BAL6-2Win +67Covered -1.5Under 8.5
7/5 BAL5-2Win +70Covered -1.5Under 10
7/4 @MIL2-3Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
7/3 @MIL0-2Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
7/2 @MIL5-6Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 8
7/1 @CHC10-11Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 12
6/30 @CHC9-14Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 10.5
6/29 @CHC6-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
6/28 @CHW2-1Win +87Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
6/27 @CHW1-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
6/26 @CHW4-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
6/24 TEX2-0Win +61Covered -1.5Under 9
6/23 TEX6-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10
6/22 TEX1-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Push 9
6/21 BOS2-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
6/20 BOS4-1Win +150Covered +1.5Under 8.5
6/19 BOS6-2Win +175Covered +1.5Over 7
6/17 @CLE1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
6/16 @CLE9-3Win +170Covered +1.5Over 9
6/15 @CLE6-3Win +180Covered +1.5Over 8
6/14 @DET1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
6/13 @DET2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
6/12 @DET6-4Win +93Covered +1.5Over 9
6/10 LAA7-5Win +88Covered -1.5Over 9
6/9 LAA1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/8 LAA2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
6/7 CHW7-2Win +50Covered -1.5Over 8.5
6/6 CHW2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
6/5 CHW3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
6/5 CHW4-2Win +60Covered -1.5Under 9
6/3 CLE7-5Win +102Covered +1.5Over 8.5
6/2 CLE7-1Win +150Covered +1.5Under 8.5
6/1 CLE7-4Win +115Covered +1.5Over 8.5
5/31 CLE8-9Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 9.5
5/30 @KC8-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/29 @KC1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
5/28 @KC8-5Win +79Covered -1.5Over 9
5/27 @SEA1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
5/26 @SEA3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/25 @SEA1-2Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 7
5/23 DET1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
5/22 DET6-0Win +59Covered -1.5Under 9
5/21 DET4-2Win +47Covered -1.5Under 8.5
5/20 MIL3-1Win +84Covered -1.5Under 9
5/19 MIL4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
5/18 MIL3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/16 STL5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
5/15 STL4-1Win +84Covered -1.5Under 9
5/14 SEA0-1Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
5/13 @LAA1-2Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 7.5
5/12 @LAA5-3Win +106Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/11 @LAA5-4Win +164Covered +1.5Over 7.5
5/10 @LAA4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 7.5
5/8 @STL7-1Win +145Covered +1.5Push 8
5/7 @STL6-0Win +110Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/6 @CHW5-3Win +67Covered -1.5Under 9
5/5 @CHW8-4Win +74Covered -1.5Over 9.5
5/4 @CHW6-4Win +57Covered -1.5Over 9
5/3 @CHW5-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/2 TOR4-0Win +95Covered +1.5Under 9
5/1 TOR4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
4/30 TOR5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10
4/29 CIN2-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
4/28 CIN3-1Win +67Covered -1.5Under 10.5
4/27 CIN9-15Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
4/26 @NYY3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9.5
4/25 @NYY4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
4/24 @NYY3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
4/23 @NYY1-14Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
4/22 @TB6-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
4/21 @TB1-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 7.5
4/20 @TB7-8Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 7.5
4/18 CLE2-1Win +100Covered +1.5Under 7.5
4/17 CLE1-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 7.5
4/12 CHW4-0Win +43Covered -1.5Under 9
4/11 HOU9-8Win +145Covered +1.5Over 8
4/10 HOU4-1Win +144Covered +1.5Under 8
4/9 HOU0-2Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8
4/7 SEA4-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
4/5 SEA4-2Win +95Covered +1.5Under 8
4/4 @PIT7-3Win +105Covered +1.5Over 8
4/2 @PIT4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 8
4/1 @BAL7-0Win +109Covered +1.5Under 8.5
3/31 @BAL6-2Win +85Covered -1.5Under 9
3/29 @BAL2-3Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9.5