Willians Astudillo is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#10 C)

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Willians Astudillo is projected to be an elite fantasy catcher and worth a high draft pick. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #10 (at C). At the end of the 2018 season he was owned in just 23 percent of leagues. This should go up next season. He is projected to average 2.93 fantasy points per game in 106 games.

C RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#8Francisco Cervelli321.90.259 AVG, 16 HR, 67 RBI, 52 R, 56 BB
#9Robinson Chirinos314.10.258 AVG, 22 HR, 68 RBI, 56 R, 42 BB
#10Willians Astudillo310.80.279 AVG, 18 HR, 69 RBI, 52 R, 31 BB
#11Omar Narvaez276.20.287 AVG, 14 HR, 47 RBI, 46 R, 48 BB
#12Yasmani Grandal274.30.254 AVG, 18 HR, 56 RBI, 52 R, 43 BB

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He was the number #51 ranked catcher and the #452 ranked player overall. Not playing many games certainly was the main reason for the disappointing season. Based on average fantasy points he was the #3 catcher. We split his 29 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed an upward trajectory as the season went on. He averaged 1.4 FPs in his first 9 games and 3.4 FP in his final 10 games. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for Astudillo when he 'goes off' is 8 fantasy points (his average is 2.7FPs).

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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 9 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 8.8 FPs in 3 of them. He had 3 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL8.8 FP per Week33
Week 149 (2 games 4.5 per game)
Week 152 (2 games 1 per game)-6.8
Week 16-0.5 (3 games -0.2 per game)-9.3
Week 222 (1 games)-6.8
Week 236.5 (4 games 1.6 per game)
Week 2414 (2 games 7 per game)+5.2
Week 2513 (5 games 2.6 per game)
Week 2614 (4 games 3.5 per game)+5.2
Week 2719.5 (6 games 3.2 per game)+10.7

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 8.9 points and on DraftKings it was 6.9 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 17 and 22.2 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All8.9 ($2.3K)9 G, 12 B6.9 ($3.3K)9 G, 12 B
9/30 CHW3 ($2.8K)-5.93 ($3.7K)-3.9
9/29 CHW15.7 ($2.8K)+6.812 ($3.7K)+5.1
9/28 CHW6.5 ($2.7K)--4 ($3.6K)--
9/27 DET26.2 ($2.5K)+17.318 ($3.4K)+11.1
9/26 DET9 ($2.5K)--9 ($3.5K)--
9/25 DET3 ($2.5K)-5.93 ($3.6K)-3.9
9/22 @OAK18.7 ($2.6K)+9.815 ($3.2K)+8.1
9/21 @OAK3 ($2.7K)-5.93 ($3.2K)-3.9
9/19 @DET19.5 ($2.5K)+10.614 ($3.5K)+7.1
9/17 @DET3.5 ($2.5K)-5.42 ($3.2K)-4.9
9/15 @KC6 ($2.5K)--6 ($3.4K)--
9/14 @KC15.5 ($2.5K)+6.613 ($3.4K)+6.1
9/12 NYY9.7 ($2.5K)--7 ($3.3K)--
9/11 NYY9.7 ($2.6K)--7 ($3.3K)--
9/10 NYY0 ($2.2K)-8.90 ($3.1K)-6.9
9/9 KC25.2 ($2.2K)+16.319 ($3.3K)+12.1
9/5 @HOU18.7 ($2K)+9.814 ($3.4K)+7.1
9/2 @TEX3 ($2.2K)-5.93 ($3.6K)-3.9
9/1 @TEX0 ($2.2K)-8.90 ($3.6K)-6.9
8/29 @CLE18.7 ($2K)+9.814 ($3.3K)+7.1
8/28 @CLE0 ($2K)-8.90 ($3.3K)-6.9
8/25 OAK6 ($2K)--5 ($3.3K)--
7/14 TB0 ($2.3K)-8.90 ($3.3K)-6.9
7/12 TB0 ($2.2K)-8.90 ($3K)-6.9
7/10 KC0 ($2.2K)-8.90 ($3.3K)-6.9
7/3 @MIL0 ($2K)-8.90 ($3.2K)-6.9
7/2 @MIL6 ($2K)--6 ($2.9K)--
7/1 @CHC22.2 ($2K)+13.317 ($2.8K)+10.1
6/30 @CHC6.5--5--