headshot
Rick
Porcello
College None
Team Boston Red Sox
22SP
6'5"Height
202Weight
30Age
11Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Rick Porcello's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (91%), Rick Porcello is expected to be the #50 starting pitcher for the rest of the season. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of higher market expectations. He is only projected to be the #88 starting pitcher. There are other starting pitchers with virtually the same market rank (Chris Archer, Marco Gonzales, Francellis Montas 91% Owned) and Porcello ranks #3 out of 4. He is projected for 19 fantasy points in 20 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#88) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Rick Porcello behind Woodruff and above Montas but the projections rank Montas over Rick Porcello.

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WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Based on start%, Eflin is expected to produce more fantasy points than Rick Porcello and the projections validate that assessment. Price is the player that the market has ranked 1 spot below Rick Porcello but the projections have Price putting up more fantasy points. Starting in 65% of leagues he is expected to produce 2.5 fantasy points (WK 10). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #42 starting pitcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #84 starting pitcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 2.4 short of expectations.

He is projected for 0.1 fantasy points in week 10 (#95 SP) in 4 games.


  • Based on 5/24 start percentages, Rick Porcello is valued behind Eflin and above Price but the projections rank Price over Rick Porcello in week 10.
  • LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 5/22 VS TOR

    • 6 IP, 4 K, 1.5 ERA, 0.5 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $7800, 31 FPs (+$744 value, +2.7 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $8200, 17.7 FPs (+$542 value, +1.1 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged -0.8 fantasy points per week and had 5 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 4 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 26.5 points and on DraftKings it was 16.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was -1000 and on FanDuel it was -1000 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), while on DraftKings he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2019BOS101056.73404719554.441.3000
    2018BOS3333191.31770190481774.281.1710
    2017BOS3333203.311170181482364.641.3920
    2016BOS3333223.02240189321933.141.0030
    2015BOS2828172.09150149381964.911.3600
    2014DET3231204.715130129412113.431.2333
    2013DET3229177.01380142421854.321.2810
    2012DET3131176.310120107442264.601.5300
    2011DET3131182.01490104462104.741.4000
    2010DET2727162.71012084381884.931.3900
    2009DET3131170.7149089521763.961.3300
    Career (11 Seasons)3213171919.31381100141144820534.261.30103
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2019BOS3328101054670.801211.910
    2018BOS9791271601861911.011311.340
    2017BOS12510538611892250.800512.840
    2016BOS8578231302342291.00039.610
    2015BOS10394251001891551.2111212.770
    2014DET897818442591961.300011.260
    2013DET878518342291351.721611.690
    2012DET1019016632541461.710614.110
    2011DET1039618812451711.4001213.050
    2010DET968918722211621.4031112.930
    2009DET817523302531471.711612.220
    Career (11 Seasons)10009092347715231318241.3686612.090
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    March0113.51100002.26941043000073.429
    April224.7655000028.13015154113250101484.273
    May113.6633000019.21688402152011304.211
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home323.4155000031.22512123011230001497.208
    Away027.1144000019272015618202111364.338
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day137.5550000243225206013222111470.314
    Night212.3644000026.22077316210001391.204
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Ariz.0113.51100004.210772035010198.455
    vs. Balt.016.7511000046330052000090.353
    vs. Chi-A003110000652220072010102.217
    vs. Det.104.511000066331025000091.250
    vs. Hou.012.5711000076221013000195.222
    vs. Oak.100110000820000280000114.077
    vs. Sea.117.712200009.11113820580000180.275
    vs. T.B.003.181100005.26221115000091.286
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Guaranteed Rate Field003110000652220072010102.217
    Fenway Park323.4155000031.22512123011230001497.208
    T-Mobile Park0113.51100002.26941043000073.429
    Tropicana Field003.181100005.26221115000091.286
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Turf017.8422000010.11699314100101189.372
    Grass334.0277000040.13623186015332011672.229
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Pre All-Star344.899000050.25232279119432112861.260
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP0014.2990000011.1122318301280102223.286
    RISP w/Two out0011.129000005.2510710730101121.238
    Runners on Base009.9900000202027224114172112370.270
    Bases Empty001.4790000030.23255505260000491.254
    Bases Loaded0033.753000001.12650000000014.500
    Late Inning Pressure001810000012221000000016.400
    LIP-Runners On00---10000001221000000011.000
    with 0 outs004.0890000017.22088301160000274.274
    with 1 out004.5890000017.218119419150001305.265
    with 2 outs005.8790000015.1141310209122111282.237
    w/Bases Full 2 Out001082000000.1244000000008.667
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances323.3277000043.13616166112352011690.220
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter344.899000050.25232279119432112861.260
    > 5 Days Rest124.2444000023.1231111318150001383.253
    5 Days Rest214.3844000024.2231212507252111405.242
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    Chase Field0113.51100004.210772035010198.455
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    03/31@L0-1018.001002.769414300073
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/05@L0-2016.501004.7107723501098
    04/13vsL0-3012.601004.063305200090
    04/20@L0-309.601005.762211510091
    04/25vsW1-308.141006.063312500091
    04/30vsW2-305.901008.0200028000114
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    05/05@L2-305.401006.0522207001102
    05/11vsW3-305.491006.7544115000107
    05/17vsL3-405.061007.062211301095
    05/22@L3-404.671006.031110400080
    Past Projections
  • 23 May 2019

    Rick Porcello Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Rick Porcello Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?
  • 22 May 2019

    Rick Porcello's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

    Rick Porcello's Rest of Season Value is Surprising
  • 21 May 2019

    Rick Porcello Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

    Rick Porcello Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations
  • 20 May 2019

    Rick Porcello Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Rick Porcello Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?