|Michael Reed's Fantasy Scouting Report|
REST OF SEASON VALUE
As of 4/2, Michael Reed is the #139 ranked outfielder based on ownership percentage (1%). His projection based outfielder rank is #83. There could be a nice opportunity to acquire him before the market realizes he is undervalued. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better outfielder option available. He is projected for 291 fantasy points in 126 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#130) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Michael Reed behind Bourjos and above Heineman and the projections agree.
His value decreases in leagues where winning specific categories is important because he has more relative weaknesses than strengths.
WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE
In week 3 rankings vs other outfielders, Curtis Granderson (12.9 FP), Melky Cabrera (4.2 FP), Matt Kemp (8.6 FP), Hunter Pence (8.7 FP), and Ben Zobrist (12.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Reed but are starting in more leagues. Given he is starting in 0% of leagues there is no market expectation for any real fantasy production in week 3. His per game projected FP average is 2.4 which is better than his actual per game average (-1). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing a projected 6 games.
He is projected for 13 fantasy points in week 3 (#65 OF) in 6 games.
Michael Reed last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.
DAILY FANTASY VALUE
DRAFTKINGS VALUE (4/2): Michael Reed is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 5 DK pts (#61 among outfielders). He is the #77 highest priced outfielder ($3500). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.9K. There are 6 other options at $3500 (Hunter Pence, Juan Lagares, Odubel Herrera, Andrew Stevenson, Garrett Cooper, Michael Hermosillo) and Reed is ranked #3 among the 7. Instead of Reed consider these better options at lower salaries: Alex Gordon (6.9 FP), Peter Bourjos (5.1 FP), Robbie Grossman (6.3 FP), and Steven Duggar (5.2 FP). Curtis Granderson (2.5 FP), Jarrod Dyson (1.7 FP), Jake Marisnick (2.6 FP), Delino DeShields (4.2 FP), and Brian Goodwin (3.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Reed but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.7 FPs, a value reached in 1 of 11 games (9%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 40%.
FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 6.4 FanDuel pts Michael Reed is the #80 ranked outfielder. He is the #88 highest priced outfielder ($2100). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.3K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 4 other options at $2100 (Peter O'Brien, Franchy Cordero, Garrett Cooper, Jake Cave) and Reed is ranked #3 among the 5. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Peter Bourjos (6.6 FP), Hernan Perez (7.7 FP), Billy Hamilton (7.8 FP), Kevin Kiermaier (8.5 FP), and Kevin Pillar (8 FP). Curtis Granderson (3.2 FP), Matt Kemp (6.4 FP), Jay Bruce (5 FP), Jarrod Dyson (2.2 FP), and Jake Marisnick (3.5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Reed but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.7 FPs, a value reached in 1 of 11 games (9%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 46%.
Reed is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
His FanDuel average was 0 points and on DraftKings it was 0 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same is true on DraftKings.
|Career (5 Seasons)||26||43||6||8||0||0||2||19||1||0||.186||.222||.209|
|Career (5 Seasons)||1||0||9||0||0||0||0||1|
|2019 Situational Stats|
|vs. Lefthanded Pitcher||3||6||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||4||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|vs. Righthanded Pitcher||1||1||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||1||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|RISP w/Two out||1||1||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||1||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|Runners on Base||2||3||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||3||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|with 0 outs||3||4||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||2||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|with 1 out||1||1||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||1||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|with 2 outs||1||2||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||2||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|>= 7th Inning||1||2||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||1||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|Lineup Slot 1||1||3||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||3||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|Lineup Slot 7||1||2||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||1||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|Lineup Slot 9||1||2||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||1||0||0||.000||.000||.000||0||0||0||0||0||0|
|2019 Game Log|