headshot
Max
Scherzer
College None
Team Washington Nationals
31SP
6'3"Height
215Weight
34Age
11Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Max Scherzer's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Max Scherzer is projected to be the best fantasy starting pitcher in the upcoming season. In 2018, he was owned in 97 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 6.68 fantasy points per game in 33 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is the same as where he finished last season.

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Max Scherzer was the number one fantasy SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (35). Based on average fantasy points he is the #3 SP. We split his 35 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He peaked early in the season. He averaged 10.7 FPs in his first 11 games and 7.5 FP in his final 12 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Scherzer can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Scherzer when he 'goes off' is 22 fantasy points (his average is 7.7FPs).

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

The table below shows his relatively steady fantasy production over the past 2 seasons, which is a good sign given his advancing age.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 27 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 10 FPs in 8 of them. He had 8 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 47.6 FD points and 28 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 2.4 and on FanDuel it was 12 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was 36.8 fantasy points and 61 on FanDuel. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
2018WAS3333220.71870300511502.520.9121
2017WAS3131200.71660268551262.510.9020
2016WAS3434228.32070284561652.950.9610
2015WAS3333228.714120276341762.800.9243
2014DET3333220.31850252631963.141.1711
2013DET3232214.32130240561522.900.9700
2012DET3232187.71670231601793.751.2700
2011DET3333195.01590174562074.431.3400
2010DET3131195.712110184701743.501.2500
2009ARI3030170.39110174631664.121.3400
2008ARI16756.00406621483.051.2300
Career (12 Seasons)3383292117.3159820244958517393.211.09105
YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
2018WAS6662231241372160.60148.690
2017WAS6256221121341860.70048.630
2016WAS777531621572330.71128.960
2015WAS747127521732350.701108.480
2014DET807718611622250.7011010.840
2013DET736918401512330.64168.910
2012DET827823521281840.731211.730
2011DET1019629711772120.8301212.460
2010DET847620711701940.910811.570
2009ARI9478201011641641.011512.650
2008ARI241955151461.100211.890
Career (12 Seasons)8177572367817160421280.81376510.210
2017 Situational Stats
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
April322.9455000033.2241311419401003525.200
May312.2766100043.2271111639601100639.175
June320.9955100036.11484256510001546.114
July302.8455000031.22210105012501000522.190
August102.05440000221555315291100331.195
September314.0566000033.12415152114383100548.202
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Home643.2515150000977038351172713232031547.200
Away1021.8216162000103.25624211142813641011564.156
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Day441.9881000522516116415742104841.140
Night1222.7223231000148.210146451674019452002270.191
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
vs. Ariz.104.5220000121066414200000205.217
vs. Atl.224.4155000032.22416163014371200570.207
vs. Balt.002.251100008422202110000113.143
vs. Chi-N101.511000062110106000093.100
vs. Cin.100110000630000410100095.143
vs. LA-NL1001100007310002140000105.115
vs. Miami111.17441000231253235301001345.152
vs. Milw.101.6422000011522105110000184.139
vs. NY-NL313.2144000028211010625363000412.210
vs. Phil.204.3433000018.21999125221000307.268
vs. Pitt.0001100003.11000015000054.091
vs. S.D.101.041100008.2311112130000108.107
vs. S.F.101.69221000161033101210100207.182
vs. St.L.110.6922000013631014220003204.130
vs. Texas012.451100007.1332101100000109.115
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Dodger Stadium1001100007310002140000105.115
Great American Ball Park100110000630000410100095.143
Oriole Park at Camden Yards002.251100008422202110000113.143
Nationals Park643.2515150000977038351172713232031547.200
Citi Field302.05330000221255424292000315.162
Marlins Park0102210009220021110001131.069
Citizens Bank Park102.71100006.24220027000098.174
SunTrust Park212.37330000191155207201100334.172
Miller Park001.811000052110022000075.125
AT&T Park1011110009511000110000100.161
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Grass1662.5131312000200.2126625622115526873043111.178
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Post All-Star613.241313000072.153262692289552001181.204
Pre All-Star1052.118182000128.17336301392717321041930.163
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
RISP008.35280000032.1233630238421002496.205
RISP w/Two out006.75260000016121512032191002261.200
Runners on Base004.85300000072.138453956199073041009.163
Bases Empty001.193100000128.18817171753617800002102.185
Bases Loaded0067.55000000.2185000100017.500
Late Inning Pressure002.89150000018.21096435260001304.152
LIP-Runners On005.48000003.13520234000164.250
with 0 outs002.45310000069.242191993218831001057.174
with 1 out001.6310000067.241151254199112001046.175
with 2 outs003.55310000063.143282584158930041008.185
w/Bases Full 2 Out0002000000.1010000100014.000
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Last 7 Appearances413.5777000040.12916163216483100648.203
SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
As Starter1662.5131312000200.2126625622115526873043111.178
> 5 Days Rest1012.1815150000955724231253113332001528.172
5 Days Rest552.8215152000996536311062212841041485.184
< 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
Chase Field00911000058553029000098.348
Busch Stadium1001100007200002120000100.083
2017 Game Log
APRIL
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
04/07@W1-003.001006.742202700098
04/12vsL1-102.251006.04310210130104
04/18@W2-101.421007.0200037000116
04/23@W3-102.001008.0533219000110
04/28vsL3-203.001006.095521700097
MAY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
05/04vsW4-202.701007.02111211100107
05/09@L4-202.631008.04222211000113
05/14vsL4-202.831006.0933008100105
05/20@L4-303.051005.0433236000106
05/26vsW5-302.821008.73111213100108
05/31@W6-302.611109.05110011000100
JUNE
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
06/06@W7-302.391007.03100214000105
06/11vsL7-402.401007.33321110000109
06/16@W8-402.301008.04111210200118
06/21@L8-502.121108.02200111210121
06/27vsW9-502.091006.021100610093
JULY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
07/02@W10-501.971007.02000212000100
07/07vsL10-502.141007.76441110000120
07/15@W11-502.051006.0300041000095
07/21@L11-502.301005.085532900098
07/27vsW12-502.271006.0311139000109
AUGUST
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
08/01@L12-502.251001.000000000010
08/07vsL12-502.261007.0522129000114
08/13vsL12-502.281007.05221110000107
08/28vsW13-502.241007.05111210100100
SEPTEMBER
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
09/02@L13-502.221005.021102200075
09/08vsW14-502.351006.0644137100104
09/13vsL14-602.621006.0777067000116
09/19@W15-602.621007.0522017000112
09/24@W16-602.581006.0311111000087
09/30vsL16-602.551003.310001500054
Past Projections
  • 15 Nov 2018

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)
  • 12 Nov 2018

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)
  • 10 Nov 2018

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)
  • 08 Nov 2018

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)