As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD
Max Scherzer is projected to be the best fantasy starting pitcher in the upcoming season. In 2018, he was owned in 97 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 6.83 fantasy points per game in 33 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is the same as where he finished last season.
SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
Max Scherzer was the number one fantasy SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (35). Based on average fantasy points he is the #2 SP. We split his 35 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He peaked early in the season. He averaged 10.7 FPs in his first 11 games and 7.5 FP in his final 12 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for Scherzer when he 'goes off' is 22 fantasy points (his average is 7.7FPs).
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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS
The table below shows his relatively steady fantasy production over the past 2 seasons, which is a good sign given his advancing age.
WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
Out of 27 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 10 FPs in 8 of them. He had 8 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
His FanDuel average was 47.6 points and on DraftKings it was 28 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 2.4 and on FanDuel it was 12 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was 36.8 and on FanDuel it was 61 FPs. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.