headshot
Max
Scherzer
College None
Team Washington Nationals
31SP
6'3"Height
215Weight
34Age
11Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Max Scherzer's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Max Scherzer is projected to be the best fantasy starting pitcher in the upcoming season. In 2018, he was owned in 97 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 6.73 fantasy points per game in 33 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is the same as where he finished last season.

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Max Scherzer was the number one fantasy SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (35). Based on average fantasy points he is the #2 SP. We split his 35 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 11 games he averaged 10.7 FPs and that declined to 7.5 in his final 12 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Scherzer can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Scherzer when he 'goes off' is 22 fantasy points (his average is 7.7FPs).

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

The table below shows his relatively steady fantasy production over the past 2 seasons, which is fairly impressive given his advancing age.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 27 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 10 FPs in 8 of them. He had 8 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 47.6 points and on DraftKings it was 28 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 2.4 and on FanDuel it was 12 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was 36.8 fantasy points and 61 on FanDuel. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
2018WAS3333220.71870300511502.520.9121
2017WAS3131200.71660268551262.510.9020
2016WAS3434228.32070284561652.950.9610
2015WAS3333228.714120276341762.790.9143
2014DET3333220.31850252631963.141.1711
2013DET3232214.32130240561522.900.9700
2012DET3232187.71670231601793.751.2700
2011DET3333195.01590174562074.431.3400
2010DET3131195.712110184701743.501.2500
2009ARI3030170.39110174631664.121.3400
2008ARI16756.00406621483.051.2300
Career (12 Seasons)3383292117.3159820244958517393.211.09105
YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
2018WAS6662231241372160.60148.690
2017WAS6256221121341860.70048.610
2016WAS777531621572330.71128.950
2015WAS747127521732350.701108.460
2014DET807718611622250.7011010.820
2013DET736918401512330.64168.910
2012DET827823521281840.731211.730
2011DET1019629711772120.8301212.460
2010DET847620711701940.910811.570
2009ARI9478201011641641.011512.650
2008ARI241955151461.100211.890
Career (12 Seasons)8177572367817160421280.81376510.210
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
March1001100006500001101000100.217
April411.915511003318107228470002520.155
May402.2166000040.22610104210632000662.176
June132.31550000352299418453001526.176
July413.1855000034271312539351101531.218
August211.89660000382288519490100633.165
September11544100027251515326411010421.243
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Home932.5818182100125.28236361542917552121928.184
Away842.561414000088632925872211530021465.193
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Day552.51212100079.1572522632111571121279.198
Night1222.6120201100134.18840391783017511022114.182
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
vs. Ariz.101.29110000741110011000099.160
vs. Atl.223.1955110031271411217361101534.233
vs. Balt.101.222000015722202210001213.135
vs. Bos.014.5110000643302390001108.190
vs. Chi-N101.69221000161233011220000217.207
vs. Cin.201.522000012922103201000210.200
vs. Col.102.571100007122101110000103.045
vs. LA-NL102.0822000013933126221000227.191
vs. Miami402.67440000272298426250100425.216
vs. NY-NL103.86220000141066404180000205.196
vs. Phil.012.9533000018.11166326301000319.172
vs. Pitt.102.841100006.132210280000106.136
vs. S.F.112.7722000013944105191001212.188
vs. St.L.003.861100007433101111010104.160
vs. T.B.111.822000015933003172000203.173
vs. Tor.0131100006422111100000108.182
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Dodger Stadium101.5110000641102390000106.190
Great American Ball Park1001100006500001101000100.217
Oriole Park at Camden Yards1001100008200001120000111.077
Nationals Park932.5818182100125.28236361542917552121928.184
Citi Field103.86110000753320250000101.200
Rogers Centre0131100006422111100000108.182
Marlins Park202.57220000141054123150000220.182
Citizens Bank Park005.411000054332105000099.211
Tropicana Field011.29110000741100342000104.167
SunTrust Park028220000913118115130001212.325
Wrigley Field0001100007300001110000106.125
AT&T Park103110000652200210000199.217
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Turf022.0822000013833114142000212.174
Grass1752.630302100200.2137625822104727662143181.189
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Post All-Star522.851212100079582625841710822101267.201
Pre All-Star1252.4120201100134.28739361573418260042126.180
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
RISP006.64300000040.22134301211593114594.156
RISP w/Two out007.97290000020.1112118109323013325.151
Runners on Base005.66320000076.15452481051610382141178.202
Bases Empty000.853200000137.19113131363518700002215.180
Bases Loaded001623000000.126600000000121.000
Late Inning Pressure003.77130000014.1666206201000217.125
LIP-Runners On009.649000004.22551029100065.133
with 0 outs002.132000007352171794149731001096.196
with 1 out002.75320000072492322106158700011142.191
with 2 outs002.88320000068.2442522412210651131155.175
w/Bases Full 2 Out00---20000002550000000091.000
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Last 7 Appearances224771000453620206311631110725.218
SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
As Starter1772.5732322100213.2145656123115129082143393.188
> 5 Days Rest643.721313000082.1623434972712331111398.205
5 Days Rest1031.9418182100125.17831271442315741031895.174
< 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
Chase Field101.29110000741110011000099.160
2018 Game Log
MARCH
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
03/30@W1-000.001006.05000110000100
APRIL
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
04/04@L1-101.641005.0652127010110
04/09vsW2-100.901119.02000010000102
04/14vsW3-101.331007.01221111000103
04/20@W4-101.361006.0411039200106
04/25@W5-101.621006.0522021001099
MAY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
05/01vsW6-101.801006.3322128000106
05/06vsL6-101.761006.35110215100111
05/11@W7-101.711007.0411101100099
05/19vsL7-101.801007.05221313000121
05/25@W8-102.151006.0744124100114
05/30@W9-101.941008.02000112000111
JUNE
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
06/05vsW10-101.971008.0522001300099
06/10vsL10-202.011007.0422139000113
06/16@L10-302.071006.04221110100108
06/21vsL10-302.101007.0522219010102
06/26@L10-402.051007.0411034000104
JULY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
07/02vsL10-502.181006.0433039210108
07/07vsW11-502.341007.0744323000109
07/12@W12-502.421007.0533225000101
07/22vsW13-502.441006.0822017000107
07/27@W14-502.311008.03100111100106
AUGUST
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
08/02vsW15-502.341006.04221210000110
08/07vsL15-502.291007.0411116000113
08/12@L15-502.201007.03000111000106
08/17vsW16-502.121006.050001700096
08/23vsL16-602.141007.02221410000109
08/28@L16-602.231005.043320510099
SEPTEMBER
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
09/03vsL16-602.281007.04331111001104
09/08vsW17-602.321109.09330011100111
09/14@L17-702.531004.0766036100102
09/20vsL17-702.581007.05332213000104
09/25vsW18-702.541007.05110010100100
Past Projections
  • 14 Jan 2019

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)
  • 10 Jan 2019

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)
  • 08 Jan 2019

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)
  • 03 Jan 2019

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)

    Max Scherzer Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 SP)