headshot
Blake
Snell
College None
Team Tampa Bay Rays
4SP
6'4"Height
200Weight
26Age
4Exp
L/LBats/Throws
Blake Snell's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 35.8 FanDuel pts Blake Snell is the #4 ranked pitcher. He is the #1 highest priced pitcher ($11200). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Snell is worth $9.6K. Instead of Snell consider these better options at lower salaries: Chris Sale (38.2 FP), Noah Syndergaard (38.6 FP), and Jose Berrios (37 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 42 FPs, a value reached in 25 of 40 games (62%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 49%.

  • 5/24 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: TB 4 (#24 Most Today) vs CLE 3.5 (#28 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 35.81 Fantasy Points (#3), 0.42 wins (#6), 0.3 losses (#15 lowest), 6.15 strikeouts (#5), 5.92 innings (#5), 0.98 WHIP (#2), 2.72 ERA (#3),

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Snell is not the best option on DraftKings with a projected 20.2 DK pts (#3 among pitchers). He is the #1 highest priced pitcher ($11400). Based on the projection, Snell is worth $10.8K. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Chris Sale (21.4 FP) and Noah Syndergaard (22.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 21.3 FPs, a value reached in 28 of 40 games (70%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 47%.

Snell is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Blake Snell is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #2 while his projection (rest of week 9) rank is #11. When compared to other starting pitchers in week 10 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Zack Greinke (9.9 FP), Justin Verlander (7.5 FP), Clayton Kershaw (10.4 FP), Max Scherzer (17 FP), and Gerrit Cole (9.8 FP). Starting in 92% of leagues he is expected to produce 10.4 fantasy points (WK 10). Owners expect him to be the most productive starting pitcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #8 starting pitcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 3.2 short of expectations.

He is projected for 7.2 fantasy points in week 10 (#8 SP) in 2 games.


  • Based on 5/24 start percentages, Blake Snell is valued behind Strasburg and above Verlander but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 10.
  • Blake Snell last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Both the market and projections have virtually the same expectations for Blake Snell. As of 5/24, Blake Snell is the #2 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (98%). Projections rank him #3. Of the 16 98% owned starting pitchers, he is ranked #3. He is projected for 141 fantasy points in 23 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#5) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Blake Snell behind Strasburg and above Verlander but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 7 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 4.6 FPs in 3 of them. He had 3 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 38.2 points and on DraftKings it was 19.2 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2019TB9949.03407112373.301.0000
    2018TB3131180.72150221641121.890.9700
    2017TB2424129.3570119591134.031.3200
    2016TB191989.06809851933.531.6100
    Career (4 Seasons)8383448.0352405091863552.991.2000
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2019TB191861032350.92139.180
    2018TB413816121541481.000138.820
    2017TB655815011291261.000811.970
    2016TB443550070890.811614.560
    Career (4 Seasons)16914942233853981.0323010.910
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    March017.511000066553023020091.273
    April211.2144000022.11443204362201349.184
    May125.5233000014.21199115232011254.200
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home232.895500002818109417401401437.186
    Away114.8330000151388204223011257.232
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day145.1660000302818176010404312509.250
    Night20022000013300011220100185.073
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Ariz.10011000061000109000083.053
    vs. Chi-A101.51100006611100111001100.261
    vs. Col.1001100007200001130100102.091
    vs. Hou.017.511000066553023020091.273
    vs. K.C.0212.792200006.11110920553110140.393
    vs. NY-AL013.181100005.242200212000196.190
    vs. Tor.00011000061000019000082.056
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Guaranteed Rate Field101.51100006611100111001100.261
    Kauffman Stadium012111000036771032201075.400
    Rogers Centre00011000061000019000082.056
    Tropicana Field232.895500002818109417401401437.186
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Turf232.386600003419109418491401519.165
    Grass11822000091288203133011175.316
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Pre All-Star343.56880000433118176111624412694.203
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP0014.1460000077121110082110113.259
    RISP w/Two out0010.136000002.23330002000042.273
    Runners on Base008.3680000014111413212154412201.234
    Bases Empty001.24800000292044409470000493.189
    with 0 outs003.0780000014.21455206213200272.255
    with 1 out002.9380000015.1565104241110217.104
    with 2 outs004.85800000131277311170102205.240
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances332.9277000037251312319594212603.191
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    > 5 Days Rest13644000018211312307284112336.292
    5 Days Rest20033000019400012310100267.068
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter343.56880000433118176111624412694.203
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    03/28vsL0-107.501006.065532300091
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/02vsW1-103.461007.02000113000102
    04/08@W2-102.841006.06111011010100
    04/13@L2-102.161006.010001900082
    04/24vsL2-202.571003.353212300065
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    05/01@L2-304.351003.067713200175
    05/06vsW3-303.651006.010000910083
    05/12vsL3-403.641005.7422021201096
    05/18@L3-403.381006.061101901093
    Past Projections
  • 23 May 2019

    Blake Snell Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Blake Snell Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?
  • 22 May 2019

    Blake Snell Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

    Blake Snell Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations
  • 21 May 2019

    Blake Snell Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

    Blake Snell Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations
  • 20 May 2019

    Blake Snell Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Blake Snell Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?