As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD
Blake Snell is projected to be a must start starting pitcher next season. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #7 (at SP). In 2018, he was owned in 97 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 5.05 fantasy points per game in 33 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down slightly from where he finished last season.
SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
Blake Snell was the number #2 ranked SP. His value would have been even better if he had played as many games as other elite SPs. Based on average fantasy points he is the #1 SP. We split his 31 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He steadily increased his fantasy average as the season went on. He averaged 4.9 FPs in his first 10 games, 8 fantasy points in his next 10 and 11.5 FP after that. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. He averaged 8.2 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 18 fantasy points.
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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
He has averaged 10.2 fantasy points per week and had 8 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 6 weeks where he was +50% above average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
He averaged 41.4 FD points and 24.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -1.3 and on FanDuel it was 4 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was 34.5 and on FanDuel it was 58 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.