headshot
Pat
Valaika
College UCLA
Team Colorado Rockies
42B
5'11"Height
212Weight
26Age
4Exp
Minors
R/RBats/Throws
Pat Valaika's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 2.9 FanDuel pts Patrick Valaika is the #43 ranked third baseman. He is the #33 highest priced third baseman ($2500). Based on the projection, Valaika is worth $0.9K. There are 2 other options at $2500 (Pablo Sandoval, Jose Osuna) and Valaika is ranked #3 among the 3. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Sean Rodriguez (5.6 FP), Gordon Beckham (4.9 FP), Donovan Solano (5 FP), Logan Forsythe (6.4 FP), and Brad Miller (3.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 5.4 FPs, a value reached in 18 of 94 games (19%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 39%.

  • 7/13 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: COL 7.2 (#1 Most Today) vs CIN 6.8 (#2 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 2.9 Fantasy Points (#42), 1.29 plate appearances (#43), 0.246 BA (#30), 0.714 OPS (#32), 0.04 HR (#39), 0.14 RBI (#43), 0.17 runs (#41), 0.01 stolen bases (#31),

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Patrick Valaika is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 2.2 DK pts (#60 among second basemen). At $3000 he is expected to be the #62 second baseman. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Valaika is worth $1.2K. There are 2 other options at $3000 (Ian Kinsler, Addison Russell) and Valaika is ranked #3 among the 3. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Gordon Beckham (3.8 FP), Daniel Descalso (5.1 FP), Carlos Sanchez (4.9 FP), Jose Rondon (4.8 FP), and Nicky Lopez (5.5 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 5.5 FPs, a value reached in 9 of 94 games (10%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 36%.

Valaika is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

In week 17 rankings vs other second basemen he is projected for more points than 3 other second basemen starting in more leagues: Sean Rodriguez (1.9 FP), Logan Forsythe (5.1 FP), and Christian Arroyo (3.2 FP). Given he is starting in 0% of leagues there is no market expectation for any real fantasy production in week 17. His per game projected FP average is 2.6 which is better than his actual per game average (0).

He is projected for 5.5 fantasy points in week 17 (#47 2B) in 2 games.


  • Based on 7/13 start %s the market values Sanchez over Patrick Valaika and the projections agree.
  • Patrick Valaika last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among second basemen is #55. Based on ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings, Patrick Valaika has a market rank of #58 among second basemen. Patrick Valaika's projection rank is better than their market rank. Even though he is undervalued, he is not projected for more fantasy points than other second basemen with a better market ranking. He is projected for 52 fantasy points in 22 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #45 highest average. The market values Sanchez over Patrick Valaika and the projections agree.

    His projected fantasy points is lower than you would like given his relatively strong OPS projection.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 1.9 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 3.4 FD points and 2.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 7 and on FanDuel it was 6.2 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGABRHHRRBIBBKOSBCSAVGOBPSLG
    2019COL2647661262100.127.226.212
    2018COL681228192593000.155.213.245
    2017COL1101822847134075300.258.284.533
    2016COL131935120800.263.263.473
    Career (4 Seasons)217370457717492211200.208.251.394
    YEARTEAM2B3BTBSFSHHPIBGDP
    2019COL101000001
    2018COL503002004
    2017COL1109715001
    2016COL10900000
    Career (4 Seasons)18014617006
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    April152732100041300.194.111.074300000
    May220000000200.000.000.000000000
    June8173400122600.316.412.235700001
    July110000000000.000.000.000000000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Home13196610124500.435.526.3161000001
    Away132800000021600.067.000.000000000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Day7121000003300.200.000.000000001
    Night193556101231800.237.286.1711000000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    vs. Ariz.340000001100.200.000.000000000
    vs. Atl.241110001100.400.500.250200000
    vs. Bos.220000000200.000.000.000000000
    vs. LA-NL8165500122300.389.500.313800001
    vs. Phil.330000000200.000.000.000000000
    vs. S.D.150000000300.000.000.000000000
    vs. S.F.5110000001700.083.000.000000000
    vs. T.B.120000000200.000.000.000000000
    vs. Wash.1000000010001.000.000.000000000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Coors Field13196610124500.435.526.3161000001
    Dodger Stadium140000000100.000.000.000000000
    Fenway Park220000000200.000.000.000000000
    PETCO Park150000000300.000.000.000000000
    Tropicana Field120000000200.000.000.000000000
    Oracle Park5110000001700.083.000.000000000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    vs. Lefthanded Pitcher152333001241300.259.261.130600000
    vs. Righthanded Pitcher15243310002800.192.167.125400001
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Turf460000001300.143.000.000000000
    Grass224166101251800.239.244.1461000001
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Pre All-Star264766101262100.226.213.1281000001
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    RISP13106300121200.364.600.300600001
    RISP w/Two out852100001100.333.200.200100000
    Runners on Base18196410122700.286.421.211800001
    Bases Empty202802000041400.188.071.071200000
    Late Inning Pressure580000000300.000.000.000000000
    LIP-Runners On220000000000.000.000.000000000
    with 0 outs11132310123300.375.538.231700000
    with 1 out182022000021000.182.100.100200001
    with 2 outs13142100001800.133.071.071100000
    Leading Off980100003300.364.125.125100000
    >= 7th Inning12161000001600.059.000.000000000
    Extra Innings130000000200.000.000.000000000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Lineup Slot 2320000000000.000.000.000000000
    Lineup Slot 4110000000000.000.000.000000000
    Lineup Slot 5110000000000.000.000.000000001
    Lineup Slot 762123100011000.182.190.143400000
    Lineup Slot 8471000002200.222.000.000000000
    Lineup Slot 911153300123900.333.400.200600000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Playing 1B140000000300.000.000.000000000
    Playing 2B6182110002800.150.111.056200000
    Playing 3B250000000100.000.000.000000000
    Playing SS6101200001500.273.200.200200000
    Designated Hitter120000000200.000.000.000000000
    Pinch Hitter1173200123200.500.714.286500001
    2019 Game Log
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    04/02@L4-0200000002000.000.000.000
    04/05vsL10-6210000010000.000.000.167
    04/06vsL7-2300000001000.000.000.111
    04/07vsL12-6111000000000.125.125.200
    04/08vsL8-6411100001000.167.250.214
    04/09vsL7-1000000010000.167.250.250
    04/11@L1-0100000000000.154.231.235
    04/12@L3-2400000003000.118.176.190
    04/13@L5-2000000000000.118.176.190
    04/14@W4-0200000011000.105.158.200
    04/16@W8-2500000003000.083.125.167
    04/19vsW4-3100000001000.080.120.161
    04/20vsL8-5100000001000.077.115.156
    04/21vsW4-1100000000000.074.111.152
    04/22vsW7-5000000010000.074.111.171
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    05/14@W5-4200000002000.069.103.162
    05/15@L6-5000000000000.069.103.162
    JUNE
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    06/19@W6-4100000000000.067.100.158
    06/20@W6-4200000011000.063.094.167
    06/23@L6-3400000001000.056.083.152
    06/24@W2-0400000003000.050.075.140
    06/27vsL12-8010000010000.050.075.154
    06/28vsW13-9212001200000.095.190.185
    06/29vsW5-3312000001000.133.222.211
    06/30vsL10-5100000000000.130.217.207
    JULY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    07/05@L8-0100000000000.128.213.203
    Past Projections
  • 12 Jul 2019

    Valaika FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

    July 12 Fantasy Value & Options Report for Patrick Valaika
  • 07 Jul 2019

    Valaika FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

    Valaika FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice
  • 06 Jul 2019

    Does Valaika's Latest FanDuel Projection Justify His $2K Salary?

    Does Valaika's Latest FanDuel Projection Justify His $2K Salary?
  • 05 Jul 2019

    Valaika FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

    Valaika FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice