Atlanta
Hawks
Stadium State Farm Arena
14-30 Overall | EASTERN 12th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Southeast Division109.9117.8
Schedule
Regular season
Wed  1/2
@
Washington
L98-114
Fri  1/4
@
Milwaukee
L112-144
Sun  1/6
vs
Miami
W106-82
Tue  1/8
@
Toronto
L101-104
Wed  1/9
@
Brooklyn
L100-116
Fri  1/11
@
Philadelphia
W123-121
Sun  1/13
vs
Milwaukee
L114-133
Tue  1/15
vs
Oklahoma City
W142-126
Sat  1/19
vs
Boston
7:30pm
Mon  1/21
vs
Orlando
NBAt3:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

Before the season, the Hawks were projected to win 27.2 games (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 7/20 their projected win total was up to 35.4 before dropping to 20.4 on 11/19. Their current projected win total is 26.3.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 47% #5 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #7 Toughest

Hawks' Season Forecast Changes

Stream Atlanta games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B+

[NOTE: Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis] At 14-30 the Hawks are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 11.9 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 13 good wins vs 2 bad losses. They have won 24% of their road games and were expected to win 21%. At home they have a 42% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 35%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-7, 42%) is better than their expected 24% win percentage. In simulations where the Hawks played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 32.5% of the time (#28 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 10/8.

SportsLine has the best NBA picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NHL, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 54.8% (#21 in League). They average 109.9 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110. On the road they average 107.7 (108.7 expected), and at home 112.8 ppg (111.8 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.8 true FG% (#28 in League). They allow 117.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 117.5. They are allowing 118 (118.2 expected) on the road, and at home 117.6 ppg (116.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (ABOVE AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounding opponents by +0.4 per game (#14 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -2.8 per game (#30 in league).

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 5 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (35% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 6%. At #12 in the conference, they are behind the Wizards by 4.5 games. There is only a -0.12 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games so we do not expect them to pick up ground in the conference. They are ahead of the Knicks by 4 games. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Knicks. There is only a -0.31 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games. The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Hawks are just the 27th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Hawks are playing 7 games, traveling 15144 miles crossing 22 time zones. They rank #3 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

JAN 19
LIKELY LOSS
28% BOS
--
JAN 21
CLOSE GAME
45% ORL
--
JAN 23
CLOSE GAME
56% @CHI
590 miles
JAN 26
LIKELY LOSS
23% @POR
2170 miles
JAN 28
LIKELY LOSS
35% @LAC
1936 miles
JAN 30
LIKELY LOSS
35% @SAC
2085 miles
FEB 1
LIKELY LOSS
30% @UTA
1582 miles
FEB 2**
CLOSE GAME
54% @PHO
507 miles
FEB 4
LIKELY LOSS
18% @WAS
543 miles
FEB 7
LIKELY LOSS
29% TOR
--

The Atlanta Hawks' next game is on January 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • carmeloanthony-101718.jpg
    cbs sports

    Report: Melo has 'multiple options'

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
10 Adams, Jaylen PG6-219005/04/19960St. Bonaventure
1 Anderson, Justin SG6-623011/19/19933Virginia
24 Bazemore, Kent SG6-520107/01/19896Old Dominion
95 Bembry, DeAndre' SF6-621007/04/19942St. Joseph's (PA)
15 Carter, Vince SG6-622001/26/197720North Carolina
20 Collins, John PF6-1023509/23/19971Wake Forest
14 Dedmon, DeWayne C7-024508/12/19895Antelope Valley Coll. CA (J.C.
2 Dorsey, Tyler SG6-518302/18/19961Oregon
5 Hamilton, Daniel SG6-719508/08/19951Connecticut
3 Huerter, Kevin SG6-719008/27/19980Maryland
25 Len, Alex C7-125006/16/19935Maryland
7 Lin, Jeremy PG6-320008/23/19888Harvard
18 Plumlee, Miles C6-1124909/01/19886Duke
22 Poythress, Alex SF6-923509/06/19932Kentucky
6 Spellman, Omari PF6-924507/21/19970Villanova
12 Waller-Prince, Taurean SF6-822003/22/19942Baylor
11 Young, Trae PG6-218009/19/19980Oklahoma