|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
[NOTE: Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis] At 6-8 the Nets are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 5.2 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 4 good wins and one bad loss. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 3-2 home record is +18% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-6, 45%) is better than their expected 36% win percentage. In simulations where the Nets played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 45.4% of the time (#20 in the league). They have moved up from #28 in the league back on 7/1.
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.1% (#16 in League). They average 109.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 108.6. On the road they average 106 (107.9 expected), and at home 114.8 ppg (109.8 expected).
DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.8 true FG% (#15 in League). They allow 110.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 112.5. They are allowing 109 (112.8 expected) on the road, and at home 112 ppg (112 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 3.2 per game (#23 in league).
TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.1 per game (#17 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 5.3.
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NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY
The Nets next 6 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 3 games where they are favored by >55% of the simulations, 3 more 'toss up' games, and 4 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (32% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 10.1%. Their chances of winning their next 6 are 1.3%. At #8 in the conference, they are behind the Pistons by one game. With a +1.18 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are in a battle with Magic in the conference. With a +0.97 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of widening the gap. The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Nets are the 3rd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Nets are playing 8 games, traveling 5336 miles crossing 2 time zones. They rank #10 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Brooklyn Nets' next game. They are +2 underdogs and are expected to cover. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG
The Nets are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.3% chance of making the playoffs. On 6/22 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 43.3% on 11/7. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 36.5%. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were at 41%. They have a very slim chance (
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Nets' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|9||Carroll, DeMarre||SF||6-8||215||07/27/1986||9||Vanderbilt; Missouri|
|17||Davis, Ed||PF||6-10||225||06/05/1989||8||North Carolina|
|6||Dudley, Jared||SF||6-7||237||07/10/1985||11||Boston College|
|35||Faried, Kenneth||PF||6-8||220||11/19/1989||7||Morehead State|
|21||Graham, Treveon||SG||6-5||225||10/28/1993||2||Virginia Commonwealth|
|00||Kurucs, Rodions||SF||6-9||210||02/05/1998||0||No College|
|30||Musa, Dzanan||SG||6-9||208||05/08/1999||0||No College|
|10||Pinson, Theo||SG||6-6||218||11/05/1995||0||North Carolina|
|1||Russell, D'Angelo||PG||6-5||198||02/23/1996||3||Ohio State|
|15||Williams, Alan||PF||6-8||265||01/28/1993||3||California-Santa Barbara|