LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Nets are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.3% chance of making the playoffs. On 6/22 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 85.9% on 1/31. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 66.2%. Their chances of getting out of the first round is just 11% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 2.1%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the East at 0.2% (400/1 odds) and a 0.1% chance of winning it all (1000/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #6 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #7 Easiest

Nets' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B+

At 30-29 the Nets are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 25 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 16 impressive wins where they won as betting underdogs or won big as slight favorites vs 5 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 13-16 road record is +10% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-6, 45%) is under their expected 49% win percentage. In simulations where the Nets played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.4% of the time (#26 in the league). They have moved up from #28 in the league back on 7/1.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.8% (#15 in League). They average 112.3 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 109.2. On the road they average 109.6 (107.7 expected), and at home 114.9 ppg (110.8 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.5 true FG% (#15 in League). They allow 112.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 111.5. They are allowing 111.7 (112.5 expected) on the road, and at home 113.7 ppg (110.7 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1 per game (#12 in league). However, the team has recently been outrebounded by 5.3.

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.7 per game (#27 in league).

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The Nets next 6 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 7 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 3 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (30% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 9.5%. Their chances of winning their next 6 are 1.5%. With a -0.38 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are ahead of the Hornets by 2 games. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Hornets. There is only a -0.14 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games. Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Nets are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Nets are playing 8 games, traveling 3244 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #25 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
FEB 21
CLOSE GAME
44% POR
--
FEB 23
LIKELY LOSS
38% @CHA
531 miles
FEB 25
CLOSE GAME
54% SA
--
FEB 27
CLOSE GAME
53% WAS
--
MAR 1
CLOSE GAME
53% CHA
--
MAR 2**
CLOSE GAME
47% @MIA
1091 miles
MAR 4
CLOSE GAME
46% DAL
--
MAR 6
CLOSE GAME
50% CLE
--
MAR 9
CLOSE GAME
53% @ATL
747 miles
MAR 11
CLOSE GAME
43% DET
--

Sportsline has a free pick on the Brooklyn Nets' next game. They are +1 underdogs and are not expected to cover. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.