PLAYOFF FORECAST

They have a 7.3% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 1.8% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the East is 0.2%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 36.4 wins. Their 42 actual wins was above expectation. They exceeded expectations on the road. They went 19-22 on the road and were expected to win 14.9. Their 56.1% home win percentage was better than expected (52.6%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.5% (#16 in League). The team shooting has declined to 52.9% in their last 7 games. They average 112.2 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110.6. On the road they average 110.7 (109.1 expected), and at home 113.8 ppg (112 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55 true FG% (#8 in League). They allow 112.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 112.4. They are allowing 113.3 (113.5 expected) on the road, and at home 111.3 ppg (111.2 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.3 per game (#16 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.4 per game (#26 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 1.4.

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Nets in all of their games would have earned a +301 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +430 profit risking 110 to win 100 (45-37 ATS). The Nets have turned an ATS profit on the road but have lost at home.