|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|L / OT120-129|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Without Kyrie Irving and Al Horford their projected win total dropped significantly from 51 down to 44. With Kemba Walker, Enes Kanter and improved chemistry they are back up to a 48 win projection. Their odds to win it all are 25/1, 3.8% (#9). They are a good bet to win the championship (5.8 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the East at 15/2, 11.8%. Their sim chance is 14.3%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 49.5 games. The Celtics are averaging 48.8 wins per sim. At -1400 the Celtics are a good value to make the playoffs with a 98.7% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 9/2, 18.2%. They win the division in 24.4% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the East.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 49-33 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 64%. They were not good against the spread going 38-42-2 (-820 loss). They went over 47 times and came in under 35 times. Based on computer simulations they only have a 38% chance to beat the 76ers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.6% (#10 in League). They average 112.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.3. On the road they average 110.7 (109.6 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (112.9 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 54.9 true FG% (#6 in League). They allow 108 pts per game vs an expected value of 106.8. They are allowing 108.6 (107.6 expected) on the road, and at home 107.3 ppg (106 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.1 per game (#20 in league).
TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.7 per game (#5 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Kemba Walker who is projected to be the #10 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|37||Ojeleye, Semi||PF||6-6||240||12/05/1994||2||Duke; Southern Methodist|
|77||Poirier, Vincent||C||7-0||235||10/17/1993||0||No College|
|36||Smart, Marcus||PG||6-3||220||03/06/1994||5||Oklahoma State|
|27||Theis, Daniel||C||6-8||245||04/04/1992||2||No College|
|51||Waters, Tremont||PG||5-10||175||01/10/1998||0||Louisiana State|
|44||Williams, Robert||C||6-8||237||10/17/1997||1||Texas A&M|