Boston
Celtics
Stadium TD Garden
49-33 Overall | EASTERN 4th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Atlantic Division112.4108.0
Schedule
Postseason
Fri  5/3
vs
Milwaukee
L116-123
Mon  5/6
vs
Milwaukee
L101-113
Wed  5/8
@
Milwaukee
L91-116
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

PLAYOFF FORECAST

Without Kyrie Irving and Al Horford their projected win total dropped significantly from 51 down to 44. With Kemba Walker, Enes Kanter and improved chemistry they are back up to a 49 win projection. They have a 55.9% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 24.3% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the East is 10.3%. They have 3.5% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 52.1 wins. Their 49 actual wins was below expectation. They didn't meet expectations on the road and at home. Their 68.3% home win percentage was worse than expected (70.9%). They won 51.2% on the road which was worse than expected (56.3%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.4% (#10 in League). They average 112.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.3. On the road they average 110.7 (109.6 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (112.9 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.8 true FG% (#5 in League). They allow 108 pts per game vs an expected value of 106.8. They are allowing 108.6 (107.6 expected) on the road, and at home 107.3 ppg (106 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1 per game (#21 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.7 per game (#5 in league). Worst in their past 7 games with a turnover margin of -2.3.

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Celtics in all of their games would be down -158 units. Against the spread, they have lost -820 units risking 110 to win 100 (38-42 ATS). They are down against the spread at home and on the road.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
7 Brown, Jaylen SG6-722010/24/19963California
29 Edwards, Carsen PG6-019903/12/19980Purdue
20 Hayward, Gordon SF6-822503/23/19909Butler
11 Kanter, Enes C6-1125005/20/19928Kentucky
45 Langford, Romeo SG6-621510/25/19990Indiana
37 Ojeleye, Semi PF6-724112/05/19942Duke; Southern Methodist
--- Poirier, Vincent C7-025510/17/19930No College
36 Smart, Marcus PG6-422003/06/19945Oklahoma State
0 Tatum, Jayson SF6-820803/03/19982Duke
8 Walker, Kemba PG6-118405/08/19908Connecticut
51 Waters, Tremont PG5-1117201/10/19980Louisiana State
40 Williams, Grant PF6-724011/30/19980Tennessee
44 Williams, Robert C6-1024010/17/19971Texas A&M