PLAYOFF FORECAST

While not a playoff contender their projected win total did improve by nearly 3 wins from before and after the draft. In a shooters' league they drafted quality shooting. They are not playoff contenders based on our latest simulations.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 20.8 wins. Their 19 actual wins was below expectation. They came up short on the road. They were OK at home. They went 6-35 on the road and were expected to win 7.8. They won 13 at home and were expected to win 13.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54% (#28 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (104.5) than expected (104.3). On the road they average 103.8 (103.2 expected), and at home 105.2 ppg (105.5 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 59.3 true FG% (#30 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 65.2% in their last 7 games. They allow 114.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 112.3. They are allowing 115.7 (113.5 expected) on the road, and at home 112.5 ppg (111.1 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.4 per game (#22 in league). However, the team has recently outrebounded opponents by 4.1.

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.6 per game (#18 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Cavaliers in all of their games would be down -294 units. Against the spread, they have lost -930 units risking 110 to win 100 (38-43 ATS). They are down against the spread at home and on the road.