Cleveland
Cavaliers
Stadium Quicken Loans Arena
2-12 Overall | EASTERN 15th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Central Division103.4111.8
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  11/1
vs
Denver
L91-110
Sat  11/3
@
Charlotte
L94-126
Mon  11/5
@
Orlando
L100-102
Wed  11/7
vs
Oklahoma City
L86-95
Sat  11/10
@
Chicago
L98-99
Tue  11/13
vs
Charlotte
W113-89
Wed  11/14
@
Washington
L95-119
Mon  11/19
@
Detroit
7:00pm
Wed  11/21
vs
Los Angeles
ESPN8:00pm
Fri  11/23
@
Philadelphia
7:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 6 games is not good. They are are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 6 games. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 1-5 (42% chance). Their chances of winning 3 or more are 11.9%. At #15 in the conference, they are fighting with the Hawks for positioning. With a -0.27 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Cavaliers are the 10th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Cavaliers are playing 9 games, traveling 4241 miles crossing 2 time zones. They rank #23 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 19
CLOSE GAME
39% @DET
115 miles
NOV 21
LIKELY LOSS
26% LAL
--
NOV 23
LIKELY LOSS
11% @PHI
359 miles
NOV 24**
LIKELY LOSS
17% HOU
359 miles
NOV 26
LIKELY LOSS
30% MIN
--
NOV 28
LIKELY LOSS
14% @OKC
951 miles
NOV 30
LIKELY LOSS
14% @BOS
550 miles
DEC 1**
LIKELY LOSS
15% TOR
550 miles
DEC 3
LIKELY LOSS
27% @BKN
406 miles
DEC 5
LIKELY LOSS
11% GS
--

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

[NOTE: Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis] With a 2-12 record, the Cavaliers are falling well short of their money line projected win total of 5 wins. They have 2 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 0-7 road record is -23% lower than expected. Their 2-5 home record is -15% lower. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (2-9, 18%) is under their expected 33% win percentage. Cavaliers fans have to be disappointed that they have fallen well short of their pre-season expectations where they were #9 in the league in power ranking. In simulations where the Cavaliers played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 26.3% of the time (#29 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #9 winning 58.6%.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 53.7% (#25 in League). They average 103.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 107. On the road they average 102.4 (104.2 expected), and at home 104.3 ppg (109.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 58.1 true FG% (#29 in League). Team defense is trending up holding opponents to 54.5% in their last 7 games. Even though they allow a high shooting %, they actually allow fewer points (111.8) than expected (112.1). They are allowing 114.7 (112.9 expected) on the road, and at home 108.9 ppg (111.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.1 per game (#9 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.5 per game (#22 in league).

Sportsline has a free pick on the Cleveland Cavaliers' next game. They are +11 underdogs and are expected to cover. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

Before the season, the Cavaliers were projected to win 49.8 games (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 6/20 their projected win total was up to 50.9 before dropping to 17.6 on 11/17. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down significantly to 17.6 wins.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #5 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 46% #12 Easiest

Cavaliers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
8 Clarkson, Jordan PG6-519406/07/19924Tulsa; Missouri
15 Dekker, Sam SF6-923005/06/19943Wisconsin
9 Frye, Channing C7-025505/17/198312Arizona
55 Harrison, Andrew SG6-621310/28/19942Kentucky
3 Hill, George PG6-318805/04/198610Indiana-Purdue
1 Hood, Rodney SG6-820610/20/19924Mississippi State; Duke
26 Korver, Kyle SG6-721203/17/198115Creighton
0 Love, Kevin PF6-1025109/07/198810UCLA
22 Nance Jr., Larry PF6-923001/01/19933Wyoming
12 Nwaba, David SG6-421901/14/19932Santa Monica Coll. CA (J.C.);
16 Osman, Cedi SF6-821504/08/19951No College
20 Preston, Billy SF6-1024010/26/19970Kansas
2 Sexton, Collin PG6-219001/04/19990Alabama
5 Smith, J.R. SG6-622509/09/198514No College
13 Thompson, Tristan C6-1023803/13/19917Texas
41 Zizic, Ante C6-1125401/04/19971No College