|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
The subtle, smart moves the Mavericks made have helped them increase their projected wins to 41. In the West, that is still only 10th best and the Mavs still only have a 30% chance of making the playoffs, but they are trending in the right direction. They have a 7.4% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 2.2% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 0.6%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP
The regular season went worse than expected. They won 33 games vs an expected win total of 34.9. They came up short on the road. They were OK at home. Their 58.5% home win percentage was better than expected (52.7%). They won 22% on the road which was much worse than expected (32.6%).
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.5% (#14 in League). They average 108.9 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 108.5. On the road they average 107.4 (106.9 expected), and at home 110.3 ppg (110.2 expected).
DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.7 true FG% (#14 in League). They allow 110.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.9. They are allowing 112.3 (112.5 expected) on the road, and at home 108 ppg (109.4 expected).
REBOUNDING (ABOVE AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounding opponents by +0.4 per game (#13 in league).
TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1 per game (#23 in league).
TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG
Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Mavericks in all of their games would be down -1011 units. Against the spread, they have delivered a +650 profit risking 110 to win 100 (45-35 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.
|77||Doncic, Luka||SF||6-7||218||02/28/1999||1||No College|
|10||Finney-Smith, Dorian||SF||6-8||220||05/04/1993||3||Virginia Tech; Florida|
|11||Hardaway Jr., Tim||SG||6-6||205||03/16/1992||6||Michigan|
|44||Jackson, Justin||SF||6-8||210||03/25/1995||1||North Carolina|
|42||Kleber, Maxi||PF||6-11||240||01/29/1992||2||No College|
|1||Lee, Courtney||SG||6-5||215||10/03/1985||11||Western Kentucky|
|---||Wright, Delon||PG||6-5||183||04/26/1992||4||City College of San Francisco|