Dallas
Mavericks
Stadium American Airlines Center
33-49 Overall | WESTERN 14th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Southwest Division108.9110.1
Schedule
Regular season
Mon  4/1
vs
Philadelphia
W122-102
Wed  4/3
vs
Minnesota
L108-110
Fri  4/5
vs
Memphis
L112-122
Sun  4/7
@
Memphis
W / OT129-127
Tue  4/9
vs
Phoenix
W120-109
Wed  4/10
@
San Antonio
L94-105
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

PLAYOFF FORECAST

The subtle, smart moves the Mavericks made have helped them increase their projected wins to 41. In the West, that is still only 10th best and the Mavs still only have a 30% chance of making the playoffs, but they are trending in the right direction. They have a 7.4% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 2.2% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 0.6%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The regular season went worse than expected. They won 33 games vs an expected win total of 34.9. They came up short on the road. They were OK at home. Their 58.5% home win percentage was better than expected (52.7%). They won 22% on the road which was much worse than expected (32.6%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.5% (#14 in League). They average 108.9 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 108.5. On the road they average 107.4 (106.9 expected), and at home 110.3 ppg (110.2 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.7 true FG% (#14 in League). They allow 110.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.9. They are allowing 112.3 (112.5 expected) on the road, and at home 108 ppg (109.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (ABOVE AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounding opponents by +0.4 per game (#13 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1 per game (#23 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Mavericks in all of their games would be down -1011 units. Against the spread, they have delivered a +650 profit risking 110 to win 100 (45-35 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
37 Antetokounmpo, Kostas PF6-1020011/20/19971Dayton
45 Broekhoff, Ryan SG6-721508/23/19901Valparaiso
13 Brunson, Jalen PG6-319008/31/19961Villanova
77 Doncic, Luka SF6-721802/28/19991No College
10 Finney-Smith, Dorian SF6-822005/04/19933Virginia Tech; Florida
11 Hardaway Jr., Tim SG6-620503/16/19926Michigan
44 Jackson, Justin SF6-821003/25/19951North Carolina
42 Kleber, Maxi PF6-1124001/29/19922No College
1 Lee, Courtney SG6-521510/03/198511Western Kentucky
3 Macon, Daryl SG6-318511/29/19951Arkansas
7 Powell, Dwight PF6-1124007/20/19915Stanford
--- Roby, Isaiah SF6-821402/03/19980Nebraska
--- Wright, Delon PG6-518304/26/19924City College of San Francisco