Denver
Nuggets
Stadium Pepsi Center
7-2 Overall | WESTERN 2nd
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Northwest Division103.3100.3
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  11/2
@
Orlando
W91-87
Tue  11/5
vs
Miami
W109-89
Fri  11/8
vs
Philadelphia
W100-97
Sun  11/10
@
Minnesota
W / OT100-98
Tue  11/12
vs
Atlanta
9:00pm
Thu  11/14
vs
Brooklyn
TNT10:30pm
Sun  11/17
@
Memphis
6:00pm
Wed  11/20
vs
Houston
9:00pm
Fri  11/22
vs
Boston
9:00pm
Sun  11/24
vs
Phoenix
8:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 16/1, 5.9% (#8). Their simulation based win percentage (5.3%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the West at 10/1, 9.1%. Their sim chance is 10.7%. The Nuggets are averaging 49.7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 52.5 wins. At -1400 the Nuggets are a good value to make the playoffs with a 96.8% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/2, 40%. They win the division in 49.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 50.6 wins. Their 54-28 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. They went 42-40 against the spread (-200 loss). More of their games came in under (47) than went over (34). Based on computer simulations they only have a 37% chance to beat the Trail Blazers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.6% (#14 in League). They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.9. On the road they average 107.2 (110 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (113.8 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.3 true FG% (#13 in League). They allow 106.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 108.1. They are allowing 109.8 (109.7 expected) on the road, and at home 103.6 ppg (106.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.3 per game (#5 in league).

TURNOVERS (AVERAGE): Their turnover margin is zero (#13 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Nikola Jokic who is projected to be the #1 Center. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
5 Barton, Will SF6-519001/06/19917Memphis
25 Beasley, Malik SG6-419511/26/19963Florida State
31 Cancar, Vlatko SF6-821004/10/19970No College
3 Craig, Torrey SF6-721512/19/19902South Carolina Upstate
35 Dozier, PJ PG6-620510/25/19962South Carolina
9 Grant, Jerami PF6-822003/12/19945Syracuse
14 Harris, Gary SG6-421009/14/19945Michigan State
41 Hernangomez, Juancho PF6-923009/28/19953No College
15 Jokic, Nikola C7-025002/19/19954No College
4 Millsap, Paul PF6-724602/10/198513Louisiana Tech
11 Morris, Monte PG6-217506/27/19952Iowa State
27 Murray, Jamal PG6-420702/23/19973Kentucky
24 Plumlee, Mason C6-1123503/05/19906Duke
1 Porter Jr., Michael PF6-1021006/29/19980Missouri
8 Vanderbilt, Jarred PF6-921404/03/19991Kentucky