Denver
Nuggets
Stadium Pepsi Center
54-28 Overall | WESTERN 2nd
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Northwest Division110.7106.7
Schedule
Preseason
Tue  10/8
@
Portland
10:30pm
Thu  10/10
@
Los Angeles
10:30pm
Mon  10/14
@
Phoenix
10:00pm
Thu  10/17
vs
Portland
9:00pm
Regular season
Wed  10/23
@
Portland
ESPN10:00pm
Fri  10/25
vs
Phoenix
9:00pm
Mon  10/28
@
Sacramento
10:00pm
Tue  10/29
vs
Dallas
9:00pm
Thu  10/31
@
New Orleans
TNT9:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 16/1, 5.9% (#8). If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Nuggets would be a good betting value. Their 5% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #9 in the league. They are a good bet to win the West at 10/1, 9.1%. Their sim chance is 10.3%. The Nuggets are averaging 49.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 52.5 wins. At -1400 the Nuggets are a good value to make the playoffs with a 96.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/2, 40%. They win the division in 47.5% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 54-28 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 62%. They went 42-40 against the spread (-200 loss). More of their games came in under (47) than went over (34). Based on computer simulations they only have a 37% chance to beat the Trail Blazers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.6% (#14 in League). They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.9. On the road they average 107.2 (110 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (113.8 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.3 true FG% (#13 in League). They allow 106.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 108.1. They are allowing 109.8 (109.7 expected) on the road, and at home 103.6 ppg (106.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.3 per game (#5 in league).

TURNOVERS (AVERAGE): Their turnover margin is zero (#13 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Nikola Jokic who is projected to be the #1 Center. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
5 Barton, Will SG6-619001/06/19917Memphis
25 Beasley, Malik SG6-519511/26/19963Florida State
0 Bol, Bol C7-220811/16/19990Oregon
31 Cancar, Vlatko SF6-921504/10/19970No College
34 Cook, Tyler F6-924509/23/19970Iowa
3 Craig, Torrey SF6-721512/19/19902South Carolina Upstate
35 Dozier, PJ PG6-620510/25/19962South Carolina
--- Grant, Jerami SF6-922003/12/19945Syracuse
14 Harris, Gary SG6-421009/14/19945Michigan State
41 Hernangomez, Juancho PF6-923009/28/19953No College
15 Jokic, Nikola C7-025002/19/19954No College
4 Millsap, Paul PF6-824602/10/198513Louisiana Tech
11 Morris, Monte PG6-317506/27/19952Iowa State
27 Murray, Jamal PG6-420702/23/19973Kentucky
24 Plumlee, Mason PF6-1123503/05/19906Duke
1 Porter Jr., Michael PF6-1021006/29/19981Missouri
8 Vanderbilt, Jarred PF6-921404/03/19991Kentucky