Denver
Nuggets
Stadium Pepsi Center
54-28 Overall | WESTERN 2nd
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Northwest Division110.7106.7
Schedule
Postseason
Wed  5/1
vs
Portland
L90-97
Fri  5/3
@
Portland
L / 4OT137-140
Sun  5/5
@
Portland
W116-112
Tue  5/7
vs
Portland
W124-98
Thu  5/9
@
Portland
L108-119
Sun  5/12
vs
Portland
L96-100
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

PLAYOFF FORECAST

By keeping Paul Millsap the Nuggets will look to build on their success last season. With the moves that the Clippers, Lakers and Jazz made they are only projected to finish 4th in the West next season. They have a 48.9% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 22.7% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the West is 10.4%. They have 4.3% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 54 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +3.4 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. Their strength was at home. Their 82.9% home win percentage was much better than expected (71.7%). They won 48.8% on the road which was worse than expected (51.7%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.5% (#17 in League). They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.9. On the road they average 107.2 (110 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (113.8 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.2 true FG% (#13 in League). They allow 106.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 108.1. They are allowing 109.8 (109.7 expected) on the road, and at home 103.6 ppg (106.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.5 per game (#5 in league).

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.2 per game (#12 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Nuggets in all of their games would be down -436 units. Against the spread, they have lost -200 units risking 110 to win 100 (42-40 ATS). The Nuggets have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
5 Barton, Will SG6-619001/06/19917Memphis
25 Beasley, Malik SG6-519511/26/19963Florida State
0 Bol, Bol C7-220811/16/19990Oregon
3 Craig, Torrey SF6-721512/19/19902South Carolina Upstate
--- Grant, Jerami SF6-922003/12/19945Syracuse
14 Harris, Gary SG6-421009/14/19945Michigan State
41 Hernangomez, Juancho PF6-923009/28/19953No College
15 Jokic, Nikola C7-025002/19/19954No College
11 Morris, Monte PG6-317506/27/19952Iowa State
27 Murray, Jamal PG6-420702/23/19973Kentucky
24 Plumlee, Mason PF6-1123503/05/19906Duke
1 Porter Jr., Michael PF6-1021006/29/19981Missouri
8 Vanderbilt, Jarred PF6-921404/03/19991Kentucky
45 Welsh, Thomas C7-025502/03/19961UCLA