|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|W / OT100-98|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 16/1, 5.9% (#8). Their simulation based win percentage (5.3%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the West at 10/1, 9.1%. Their sim chance is 10.7%. The Nuggets are averaging 49.7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 52.5 wins. At -1400 the Nuggets are a good value to make the playoffs with a 96.8% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/2, 40%. They win the division in 49.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 50.6 wins. Their 54-28 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. They went 42-40 against the spread (-200 loss). More of their games came in under (47) than went over (34). Based on computer simulations they only have a 37% chance to beat the Trail Blazers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.6% (#14 in League). They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.9. On the road they average 107.2 (110 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (113.8 expected).
DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.3 true FG% (#13 in League). They allow 106.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 108.1. They are allowing 109.8 (109.7 expected) on the road, and at home 103.6 ppg (106.5 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.3 per game (#5 in league).
TURNOVERS (AVERAGE): Their turnover margin is zero (#13 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Nikola Jokic who is projected to be the #1 Center. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|25||Beasley, Malik||SG||6-4||195||11/26/1996||3||Florida State|
|31||Cancar, Vlatko||SF||6-8||210||04/10/1997||0||No College|
|3||Craig, Torrey||SF||6-7||215||12/19/1990||2||South Carolina Upstate|
|35||Dozier, PJ||PG||6-6||205||10/25/1996||2||South Carolina|
|14||Harris, Gary||SG||6-4||210||09/14/1994||5||Michigan State|
|41||Hernangomez, Juancho||PF||6-9||230||09/28/1995||3||No College|
|15||Jokic, Nikola||C||7-0||250||02/19/1995||4||No College|
|4||Millsap, Paul||PF||6-7||246||02/10/1985||13||Louisiana Tech|
|11||Morris, Monte||PG||6-2||175||06/27/1995||2||Iowa State|
|1||Porter Jr., Michael||PF||6-10||210||06/29/1998||0||Missouri|