PLAYOFF FORECAST

Detroit was projected for 41 wins before signing Derrick Rose. With him, they are now projected to win... 41. They have a 14% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 4.3% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the East is 1%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 41 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +0.4 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went as expected. They exceeded expectations at home. They went 15-26 on the road and were expected to win 16.5. They won 26 at home and were expected to win 24.2.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54% (#29 in League). The team shooting has declined to 49.2% in their last 7 games. They average 107 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 107.6. On the road they average 105.4 (105.9 expected), and at home 108.7 ppg (109.2 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.5 true FG% (#20 in League). Even though they allow a high shooting %, they actually allow fewer points (107.3) than expected (107.7). They are allowing 108.5 (109.1 expected) on the road, and at home 106.1 ppg (106.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (ABOVE AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounding opponents by +0.8 per game (#11 in league). However, the team has recently been outrebounded by 1.9.

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.8 per game (#11 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Pistons in all of their games would have earned a +77 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +130 profit risking 110 to win 100 (42-37 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.