|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Warriors are only projected to win 50 games with the injury to Klay Thompson, the losses of key veterans and the addition of new pieces like D'Angelo Russell. But come March 2020 they should be back on solid footing. Their odds to win it all are 12/1, 7.7% (#6). If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Warriors would be a good betting value. Their 7.3% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. They are a good bet to win the West at 8/1, 11.1%. Their sim chance is 13.5%. The Warriors are averaging 50.1 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 49 games. At -550 the Warriors are a good value to make the playoffs with a 96.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/2, 22.2%. They win the division in 21.9% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 57-25 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 74%. They were not good against the spread going 35-46-1 (-1560 loss). More of their games came in under (44) than went over (38). Based on computer simulations they only have a 48% chance to beat the Clippers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 59.5% (#1 in League). The team shooting has declined to 56.8% in their last 7 games. They average 117.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 118.1. On the road they average 117.2 (116.8 expected), and at home 118.1 ppg (119.3 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55.2 true FG% (#11 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 57.9% in their last 7 games. They allow 111.2 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.1. They are allowing 110.9 (111.1 expected) on the road, and at home 111.5 ppg (109.1 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1.9 per game (#7 in league).
TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.7 per game (#20 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Stephen Curry who is projected to be the #4 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|17||Bender, Dragan||SF||7-0||249||11/17/1997||3||No College|
|12||Bowman, Ky||PG||6-1||187||06/17/1997||0||Boston College|
|23||Green, Draymond||PF||6-6||230||03/04/1990||7||Michigan State|
|1||Lee, Damion||SG||6-5||210||10/21/1992||2||Drexel; Louisville|
|15||Mulder, Mychal||G||6-4||184||06/12/1994||0||Vincennes IN (J.C.); Kentucky|
|7||Paschall, Eric||PF||6-6||255||11/04/1996||0||Fordham; Villanova|
|6||Smailagic, Alen||PF||6-10||215||08/18/2000||0||No College|
|11||Thompson, Klay||SG||6-6||215||02/08/1990||8||Washington State|