Golden State
Warriors
Stadium ORACLE Arena
47-21 Overall | WESTERN 1st
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Pacific Division117.9111.8
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  3/2
@
Philadelphia
W120-117
Tue  3/5
vs
Boston
L95-128
Fri  3/8
vs
Denver
W122-105
Sun  3/10
vs
Phoenix
L111-115
Wed  3/13
@
Houston
W106-104
Sat  3/16
@
Oklahoma City
W110-88
Mon  3/18
@
San Antonio
Gametracker
Tue  3/19
@
Minnesota
8:00pm
Thu  3/21
vs
Indiana
10:30pm
Sat  3/23
vs
Dallas
8:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 6 games is generally good. They have 8 likely wins where they are winning >62% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -5 point favorite, and no games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 4-2 (32% chance). Their chances of winning their next 6 are 11.2%. At #1 in the conference, they are ahead of the Nuggets by one game. With a +0.9 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of widening the gap. The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Warriors are the 3rd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Warriors are playing 8 games, traveling 11350 miles crossing 14 time zones. They rank #2 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

MAR 18
CLOSE GAME
54% @SA
1480 miles
MAR 19**
LIKELY WIN
68% @MIN
1112 miles
MAR 21
LIKELY WIN
71% IND
--
MAR 23
LIKELY WIN
77% DAL
--
MAR 24**
LIKELY WIN
68% DET
--
MAR 27
LIKELY WIN
77% @MEM
1789 miles
MAR 29
LIKELY WIN
68% @MIN
1573 miles
MAR 31
LIKELY WIN
82% CHA
--
APR 2
CLOSE GAME
61% DEN
--
APR 4
LIKELY WIN
71% @LAL
338 miles

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 47-21 Warriors 'should have' 50 wins. They have 18 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 5 good wins (upset wins, or blowout victory in what was expected to be a close game). They have won 68% of their road games and were expected to win 66%. At home they have a 71% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 80%. Over the past 3 weeks they have not played as well going 5-5, 50%. The Warriors perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 75.6% of the time (#1 in the league). Their peak sim% was 85.8% back on 2/8.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 59.4% (#1 in League). The team shooting has declined to 56.5% in their last 7 games. They average 117.9 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 118.2. On the road they average 117.6 (116.7 expected), and at home 118.1 ppg (119.6 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55 true FG% (#10 in League). They allow 111.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.6. They are allowing 110.9 (111.6 expected) on the road, and at home 112.7 ppg (109.7 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.2 per game (#8 in league). However, the team has recently been outrebounded by 0.3.

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.6 per game (#19 in league).

Sportsline has a free pick on the Golden State Warriors' next game. They are -2.5 favorites and are not expected to cover. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Warriors are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 52.1% chance of winning it all. On 7/1 they had a 28.8% chance before increasing to 81.5% on 1/31. Their current chances are at 50.3%. Their chances of getting out of the first round is just 95% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 82.4%. Based on the odds, they have an 80% chance of winning the West (1/4) and a 71.4% chance of winning it all (2/5). In simulations they make the Finals 61.9% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #14 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #13 Toughest

Warriors' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
2 Bell, Jordan PF6-922401/07/19951Oregon
12 Bogut, Andrew C7-026011/28/198413Utah
4 Cook, Quinn PG6-217903/23/19932Duke
0 Cousins, DeMarcus C6-1127008/13/19908Kentucky
30 Curry, Stephen PG6-319003/14/19889Davidson
32 Derrickson, Marcus F6-724902/01/19960Georgetown
35 Durant, Kevin SF6-924009/29/198811Texas
10 Evans, Jacob SG6-621006/18/19970Cincinnati
23 Green, Draymond PF6-723003/04/19906Michigan State
9 Iguodala, Andre SG6-621501/28/198414Arizona
21 Jerebko, Jonas SF6-1023103/02/19878No College
15 Jones, Damian C7-024506/30/19952Vanderbilt
1 Lee, Damion SG6-621010/21/19921Drexel; Louisville
34 Livingston, Shaun PG6-719209/11/198513No College
5 Looney, Kevon C6-922002/06/19963UCLA
28 McKinnie, Alfonzo SF6-821509/17/19921Wis.-Green Bay
11 Thompson, Klay SG6-721502/08/19907Washington State