Golden State
Warriors
Stadium Chase Center
2-9 Overall | WESTERN 15th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Pacific Division111.7121.2
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  11/1
vs
San Antonio
L110-127
Sat  11/2
vs
Charlotte
L87-93
Mon  11/4
vs
Portland
W127-118
Wed  11/6
@
Houston
L112-129
Fri  11/8
@
Minnesota
L / OT119-125
Sat  11/9
@
Oklahoma City
L108-114
Mon  11/11
vs
Utah
L108-122
Wed  11/13
@
Los Angeles
ESPN10:00pm
Fri  11/15
vs
Boston
ESPN10:30pm
Sun  11/17
@
New Orleans
7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Warriors are only projected to win 50 games with the injury to Klay Thompson, the losses of key veterans and the addition of new pieces like D'Angelo Russell. But come March 2020 they should be back on solid footing. Their odds to win it all are 12/1, 7.7% (#6). If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Warriors would be a good betting value. Their 7.3% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. They are a good bet to win the West at 8/1, 11.1%. Their sim chance is 13.5%. The Warriors are averaging 50.1 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 49 games. At -550 the Warriors are a good value to make the playoffs with a 96.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/2, 22.2%. They win the division in 21.9% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 57-25 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 74%. They were not good against the spread going 35-46-1 (-1560 loss). More of their games came in under (44) than went over (38). Based on computer simulations they only have a 48% chance to beat the Clippers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 59.5% (#1 in League). The team shooting has declined to 56.8% in their last 7 games. They average 117.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 118.1. On the road they average 117.2 (116.8 expected), and at home 118.1 ppg (119.3 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55.2 true FG% (#11 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 57.9% in their last 7 games. They allow 111.2 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.1. They are allowing 110.9 (111.1 expected) on the road, and at home 111.5 ppg (109.1 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1.9 per game (#7 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.7 per game (#20 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Stephen Curry who is projected to be the #4 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
12 Bowman, Ky PG6-118706/17/19970Boston College
8 Burks, Alec SG6-621407/20/19918Colorado
2 Cauley-Stein, Willie C7-024008/18/19934Kentucky
32 Chriss, Marquese PF6-923307/02/19973Washington
30 Curry, Stephen PG6-318503/14/198810Davidson
10 Evans, Jacob SG6-421006/18/19971Cincinnati
23 Green, Draymond PF6-623003/04/19907Michigan State
1 Lee, Damion SG6-521010/21/19922Drexel; Louisville
5 Looney, Kevon PF6-922202/06/19964UCLA
7 Paschall, Eric PF6-625511/04/19960Fordham; Villanova
3 Poole, Jordan SG6-419406/19/19990Michigan
22 Robinson III, Glenn SF6-621101/08/19945Michigan
0 Russell, D'Angelo SG6-419302/23/19964Ohio State
4 Spellman, Omari PF6-824507/21/19971Villanova
11 Thompson, Klay SG6-621502/08/19908Washington State