Indiana
Pacers
Stadium Bankers Life Fieldhouse
16-9 Overall | EASTERN 6th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Central Division109.3105.2
Schedule
Regular season
Mon  12/2
@
Memphis
W117-104
Wed  12/4
@
Oklahoma City
W107-100
Fri  12/6
@
Detroit
L101-108
Sat  12/7
@
New York
W104-103
Mon  12/9
vs
Los Angeles
L99-110
Wed  12/11
vs
Boston
W122-117
Fri  12/13
@
Atlanta
7:30pm
Sun  12/15
vs
Charlotte
5:00pm
Tue  12/17
vs
Los Angeles
NBAt7:00pm
Fri  12/20
vs
Sacramento
7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

It looked like Ricky Rubio was going to go to Indiana immediately after Darren Collison retired. Our projection for the Pacers dropped from 50 to 48 wins because Rubio cannot shoot. By getting Brogden (and Jeremy Lamb) instead they improved to 51 wins despite losing Thaddeus Young and not retaining Bogdanovic. They are a great long-shot value to win the Championship. Their championship odds are 50/1, 2% (#11 best). Even with the juice, the Pacers are a good betting value. Their 7% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #6 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the East at 12/1, 7.7%. Their sim chance is 16.8%. The Pacers are averaging 51 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 47.5 games. At -900 the Pacers are a good value to make the playoffs with a 99.6% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/1, 12.5%. They win the division in 36.1% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the East.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 48-34 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 55%. They were not good against the spread going 40-41-1 (-510 loss). More of their games came in under (47) than went over (35). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Detroit Pistons. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.6% (#13 in League). The team shooting has declined to 51.6% in their last 7 games. They average 108 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 108.1. On the road they average 107.3 (106.5 expected), and at home 108.7 ppg (109.8 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55 true FG% (#7 in League). They allow 104.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 106.4. They are allowing 108.3 (107.7 expected) on the road, and at home 101 ppg (105.2 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.2 per game (#21 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.8 per game (#3 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Domantas Sabonis who is projected to be the #20 Forward. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
88 Bitadze, Goga C6-1125007/20/19990No College
10 Bowen, Brian SG6-619010/02/19980No College
7 Brogdon, Malcolm PG6-522912/11/19923Virginia
3 Holiday, Aaron PG6-018509/30/19961UCLA
8 Holiday, Justin SF6-618004/05/19896Washington
24 Johnson, Alize PF6-721204/22/19961Missouri State
26 Lamb, Jeremy SG6-518005/30/19927Connecticut
22 Leaf, TJ PF6-1022204/30/19972UCLA
9 McConnell, T.J. PG6-119003/25/19924Duquesne; Arizona
20 McDermott, Doug SF6-722501/03/19925Creighton
15 Mitrou-Long, Naz SG6-321808/03/19932Iowa State
4 Oladipo, Victor SG6-421305/04/19926Indiana
11 Sabonis, Domantas PF6-1124005/03/19963Gonzaga
14 Sampson, JaKarr SF6-721403/20/19934St. John's (N.Y.)
5 Sumner, Edmond PG6-419612/31/19952Xavier (Ohio)
33 Turner, Myles C6-1125003/24/19964Texas
1 Warren, T.J. SF6-822009/05/19935North Carolina State