Indiana
Pacers
Stadium Bankers Life Fieldhouse
38-20 Overall | EASTERN 3rd
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Central Division108.1102.9
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  2/2
@
Miami
W95-88
Mon  2/4
@
New Orleans
W109-107
Tue  2/5
vs
Los Angeles
W136-94
Thu  2/7
vs
Los Angeles
W116-92
Sat  2/9
vs
Cleveland
W105-90
Mon  2/11
vs
Charlotte
W99-90
Wed  2/13
vs
Milwaukee
L97-106
Fri  2/22
vs
New Orleans
7:00pm
Sat  2/23
@
Washington
7:00pm
Mon  2/25
@
Detroit
7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B+

At 38-20 the Pacers are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 34 wins. They have won 57% of their road games and were expected to win 53%. At home they have a 73% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 65%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-5, 58%) is better than their expected 55% win percentage. The Pacers are a good team (in simulations) and won 57.4% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#7 in the league). They have moved up from #12 in the league back on 1/29.

SportsLine has the best NBA picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NHL, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 56.2% (#14 in League). They average 108.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 108.6. On the road they average 108.4 (106.9 expected), and at home 107.9 ppg (110.2 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.5 true FG% (#2 in League). Team defense is trending up holding opponents to 51.4% in their last 7 games. They allow 102.9 pts per game vs an expected value of 105.6. They are allowing 107.3 (106.1 expected) on the road, and at home 98.8 ppg (105.2 expected).

REBOUNDING (ABOVE AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounding opponents by +0.5 per game (#14 in league). However, the team has recently been outrebounded by 1.

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.8 per game (#6 in league).

Stream Indiana games with SlingTV

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 6 games is generally good. They have 5 likely wins where they are winning >62% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -5 point favorite, and just 3 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 4-2 (32% chance). Their chances of winning their next 6 are 3.1%. At #3 in the conference, they are behind the Raptors by 4.5 games. Their projected wins (3.53) over the next 6 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term. They are ahead of the 76ers by one game. With a +1.16 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of widening the gap. Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Pacers are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Pacers are playing 8 games, traveling 4759 miles crossing 3 time zones. They rank #21 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

FEB 22
LIKELY WIN
68% NO
--
FEB 23**
LIKELY LOSS
34% @WAS
492 miles
FEB 25
CLOSE GAME
51% @DET
1001 miles
FEB 27
CLOSE GAME
47% @DAL
764 miles
FEB 28**
LIKELY WIN
79% MIN
764 miles
MAR 2
LIKELY WIN
74% ORL
--
MAR 5
LIKELY WIN
75% CHI
--
MAR 7
LIKELY LOSS
28% @MIL
245 miles
MAR 10
LIKELY LOSS
35% @PHI
583 miles
MAR 12
LIKELY WIN
91% NY
--

The Indiana Pacers' next game is on February 22. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Pacers are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 2.1% chance of winning it all. On 1/7 they had an 8.4% chance before dropping to 0.4% on 1/29. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 1.2%. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (76%). Their chances of getting out of the first round is 59% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 27.1%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the East at 2.4% (40/1 odds) and a 0.5% chance of winning it all (200/1). In simulations they make the Finals 11.2% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 54% #3 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 45% #1 Easiest

Pacers' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
44 Bogdanovic, Bojan SF6-821604/18/19894No College
2 Collison, Darren PG6-017508/23/19879UCLA
12 Evans, Tyreke PG6-622009/19/19899Memphis
3 Holiday, Aaron PG6-118509/30/19960UCLA
24 Johnson, Alize PF6-921204/22/19960Missouri State
6 Joseph, Cory PG6-319308/20/19917Texas
22 Leaf, TJ PF6-1022504/30/19971UCLA
23 Matthews, Wesley SG6-522010/14/19869Marquette
20 McDermott, Doug SF6-822501/03/19924Creighton
10 O'Quinn, Kyle C6-1025003/26/19906Norfolk State
4 Oladipo, Victor SG6-421005/04/19925Indiana
32 Reed, Davon SG6-520806/11/19951Miami (Fla.)
11 Sabonis, Domantas PF6-1124005/03/19962Gonzaga
5 Sumner, Edmond PG6-617612/31/19951Xavier (Ohio)
33 Turner, Myles C6-1125003/24/19963Texas
21 Young, Thaddeus SF6-822106/21/198811Georgia Tech