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PLAYOFF FORECAST

With their massive move to get Kawhi and PG the Clippers are now #1 in the West with nearly 55 wins per simulation. This assumes Kawhi sits around 15 games as part of load management. Their championship percentage leads the league. They have a 76% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 50% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the West is 32.1%. They have 20.6% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 42.4 wins. Their 48 actual wins was above expectation. They won more games than expected at home and on the road. They won 53.7% on the road which was much better than expected (43.4%). They won 26 at home and were expected to win 24.6.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.5% (#5 in League). They average 115.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.8. On the road they average 112.4 (112.3 expected), and at home 117.9 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56 true FG% (#17 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 61.2% in their last 7 games. They allow 114.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.2. They are allowing 114 (114.5 expected) on the road, and at home 114.6 ppg (111.9 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.7 per game (#18 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -1 per game (#22 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 1.3.

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Clippers in all of their games would have earned a +779 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +440 profit risking 110 to win 100 (44-36 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.