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PLAYOFF FORECAST

The Anthony Davis trade vaulted them to the top of the West. Despite what the odds makers sasy, they do not have the best chance of winning the championship… until / unless they acquire great shooters. They have a 63% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 36.7% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the West is 21.3%. They have 9% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 38.9 wins. Their 37 actual wins was below expectation. They met expectations at home, it was on the road that they struggled. They went 15-26 on the road and were expected to win 17.3. Their 53.7% home win percentage was as expected (52.7%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 55.4% (#18 in League). They average 111.8 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 112.5 (112.4 expected), and at home 111 ppg (114.4 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55.2 true FG% (#11 in League). They allow 113.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 114.3. They are allowing 115.8 (115 expected) on the road, and at home 111.2 ppg (113.6 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.3 per game (#15 in league). However, the team has recently outrebounded opponents by 5.4.

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.7 per game (#28 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Lakers in all of their games would be down -87 units. Against the spread, they have lost -1560 units risking 110 to win 100 (35-46 ATS). They are down against the spread at home and on the road.