SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Grizzlies are not contenders to win the championship at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are one of 8 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). They do not win the championship in any simulations. They are not a good value to win the West either at 600/1, 0.2%. The Grizzlies are averaging 32.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 27 games. At +1500 the Grizzlies are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 1.1% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 41% of their games last season so their 33-49 met expectations. They were not good against the spread going 39-42-1 (-720 loss). More of their games came in under (46) than went over (36). In their next game vs the Heat they are only winning 34% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.8% (#25 in League). They average 103.5 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 103.5. On the road they average 102.5 (102.5 expected), and at home 104.6 ppg (104.6 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.2 true FG% (#19 in League). Even though they allow a high shooting %, they actually allow fewer points (106.1) than expected (106.4). They are allowing 108.1 (107.9 expected) on the road, and at home 104.2 ppg (104.9 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.6 per game (#26 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.2 per game (#9 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Ja Morant who is projected to be the #15 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.