Miami
Heat
Stadium AmericanAirlines Arena
39-43 Overall | EASTERN 10th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Southeast Division105.7105.9
Schedule
Preseason
Tue  10/8
vs
San Antonio
7:30pm
Wed  10/9
@
Charlotte
7:30pm
Mon  10/14
vs
Atlanta
7:30pm
Thu  10/17
@
Orlando
7:00pm
Fri  10/18
vs
Houston
8:00pm
Regular season
Wed  10/23
vs
Memphis
7:30pm
Sat  10/26
@
Milwaukee
NBAt5:00pm
Sun  10/27
@
Minnesota
7:00pm
Tue  10/29
vs
Atlanta
NBAt7:30pm
Thu  10/31
@
Atlanta
TNT7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

They are one of 4 teams with 100/1, 1% odds to win the championship. Their simulation based win percentage (0.9%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the East at 40/1, 2.4%. Their sim chance is 3.3%. The Heat are averaging 43.3 wins per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 43.5 wins. At -300 the Heat are a good value to make the playoffs with a 85.7% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 5/6, 54.5%. They win the division in 68.6% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 49% of their games last season so their 39-43 met expectations. They were solid against the spread going 43-38-1 for (+120 profit). They went over 42 times and came in under 39 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Memphis Grizzlies. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.3% (#26 in League). They average 105.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 107.1. On the road they average 105.4 (105.7 expected), and at home 106 ppg (108.5 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.8 true FG% (#4 in League). They allow 105.9 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.2. They are allowing 106.1 (108.4 expected) on the road, and at home 105.8 ppg (106 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1.9 per game (#8 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.5 per game (#17 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jimmy Butler who is projected to be the #8 Forward. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

  • michael-jordan.jpg
    cbs sports

    Michael Jordan now in tequila business

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Adebayo, Bam C6-1025507/18/19972Kentucky
--- Alexander, Kyle PF6-1122010/21/19960Tennessee
22 Butler, Jimmy SG6-823209/14/19898Marquette
7 Dragic, Goran PG6-319005/06/198611No College
40 Haslem, Udonis PF6-823506/09/198016Florida
14 Herro, Tyler SG6-619501/20/20000Kentucky
16 Johnson, James PF6-824002/20/198710Wake Forest
5 Jones Jr., Derrick SF6-720002/15/19973Nevada-Las Vegas
0 Leonard, Meyers PF7-125502/27/19927Illinois
--- Martin, Jeremiah PG6-31850Memphis
--- Mulder, Mychal G6-418406/12/19940Vincennes IN (J.C.); Kentucky
25 Nunn, Kendrick SG6-319508/03/19950Illinois; Oakland University (
4 Okpala, KZ SF6-921004/28/19990Stanford
9 Olynyk, Kelly PF7-024004/19/19916Gonzaga
--- Reed, Davon SG6-520806/11/19952Miami (Fla.)
55 Robinson, Duncan SF6-821004/22/19941Williams; Michigan
--- Silva, Chris PF6-922309/19/09960South Carolina
11 Waiters, Dion SG6-421512/10/19917Syracuse
20 Winslow, Justise SF6-722503/26/19964Duke