Miami
Heat
Stadium AmericanAirlines Arena
39-43 Overall | EASTERN 10th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Southeast Division105.7105.9
Schedule
Regular season
Mon  4/1
@
Boston
L105-110
Wed  4/3
vs
Boston
L102-112
Fri  4/5
@
Minnesota
L109-111
Sun  4/7
@
Toronto
L / OT109-117
Tue  4/9
vs
Philadelphia
W122-99
Wed  4/10
@
Brooklyn
L94-113
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 40.6 wins. Their 39 actual wins was below expectation. Home court was not an advantage, at least not in terms of meeting expectations. They were OK on the road. They went 20-21 on the road and were expected to win 17. Their 46.3% home win percentage was much worse than expected (57.6%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.1% (#26 in League). They average 105.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 107.1. On the road they average 105.4 (105.7 expected), and at home 106 ppg (108.5 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.7 true FG% (#4 in League). They allow 105.9 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.2. They are allowing 106.1 (108.4 expected) on the road, and at home 105.8 ppg (106 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.2 per game (#7 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.6 per game (#17 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Heat in all of their games would have earned a +474 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +120 profit risking 110 to win 100 (43-38 ATS). The Heat have turned an ATS profit on the road but have lost at home.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Adebayo, Bam C6-1025507/18/19971Kentucky
31 Anderson, Ryan PF6-1024005/06/198810California
7 Dragic, Goran PG6-319005/06/198610No College
40 Haslem, Udonis PF6-823506/09/198015Florida
16 Johnson, James PF6-824002/20/19879Wake Forest
5 Jones Jr., Derrick SF6-720002/15/19972Nevada-Las Vegas
00 Maten, Yante PF6-824008/14/19960Georgia
--- Nunn, Kendrick SG6-318408/03/19950Illinois; Oakland University (
9 Olynyk, Kelly PF7-024004/19/19915Gonzaga
0 Richardson, Josh SG6-620009/15/19933Tennessee
55 Robinson, Duncan SF6-821004/22/19940Williams; Michigan
3 Wade, Dwyane SG6-422001/17/198215Marquette
11 Waiters, Dion SG6-421512/10/19916Syracuse
21 Whiteside, Hassan C7-026506/13/19896Marshall
20 Winslow, Justise SF6-722503/26/19963Duke