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PLAYOFF FORECAST

They were up 2-0 against the eventual champ. They kept Middleton and Lopez but by losing Malcolm Brogden to a division rival resulting in their slipping to #2 in the East. With Kawhi leaving Toronto they are back on top. They have an 81.4% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 56% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the East is 35.8%. They have 19.8% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 60 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +3.2 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. They won more games than expected at home and on the road. Their 80.5% home win percentage was better than expected (76.1%). They won 65.9% on the road which was better than expected (62.3%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.9% (#3 in League). The team shooting has declined to 53.7% in their last 7 games. They average 118.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 116.5. On the road they average 116.4 (115.7 expected), and at home 119.9 ppg (117.3 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 53 true FG% (#1 in League). They allow 109.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.2. They are allowing 110.7 (111.7 expected) on the road, and at home 107.8 ppg (108.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +4.8 per game (#1 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.3 per game (#16 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Bucks in all of their games would have earned a +22 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +1180 profit risking 110 to win 100 (47-32 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.