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PLAYOFF FORECAST

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The regular season went better than expected. They won 60 games vs an expected win total of 56.8. They exceeded expectations on both the road and at home. Their 80.5% home win percentage was better than expected (76.1%). They won 65.9% on the road which was better than expected (62.3%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 58% (#3 in League). The team shooting has declined to 53.3% in their last 7 games. They average 118.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 116.5. On the road they average 116.4 (115.7 expected), and at home 119.9 ppg (117.3 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 53 true FG% (#1 in League). They allow 109.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.2. They are allowing 110.7 (111.7 expected) on the road, and at home 107.8 ppg (108.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +4.8 per game (#1 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.3 per game (#16 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Bucks in all of their games would have earned a +22 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +1180 profit risking 110 to win 100 (47-32 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.